-8-6-4-202468101214-8-6-4-202468101214200420052006200720082009 2004 Q1 2009 Q1 Chart 1.1 GDP in advanced economies and China. 4-quarter change. Per cent.

(1)

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Source: Thomson Reuters

Chart 1.1 GDP in advanced economies and China. 4-quarter change. Per cent.

2004 Q1 2009 Q1

Sweden US Euro area

Japan China

(2)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12

1) Dotted lines show estimated forward rates as at 25 March 2009. Thin lines show

forward rates as at 11 June 2009. Forward rates are based on Overnight Indexed Swap (OIS) interest rates.

Sources: Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank

US Euro area UK

Chart1.2 Key rates and estimated forward rates on 25 March 2009 and 11 June 2009¹⁾. Per cent. 1 June 2007 – 31 December 2012

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0 100 200 300 400 500

Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09

Sources: Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters

Chart 1.3 Credit risk for sovereign debt. Measured by 5-year CDS prices.

Basis points. 1 June 2007 11 June 2009

Ireland UK Greece Spain Germany Italy US

(4)

-2 -1 0 1 2 3

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Source: Statistics Norway

Chart 1.4 Mainland GDP. Change in volume from previous quarter. Per cent.

Seasonally adjusted. 2004 Q1 2009 Q1

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

LFS unemployment Registered unemployment Registered unemployed and on labour market programmes

Chart 1.5 Unemployed. Percentage of labour force. Seasonally adjusted.

February 1997 May 2009

Sources: Statistics Norway, Norwegian Labour and Welfare Administration (NAV) and Norges Bank

(6)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Money market rate Bank lending rates Key policy rate

1) 3-month NIBOR (effective).

2) Interest rate on new mortgage loans of NOK 1m within 60% of purchase price with variable interest rate. Figures for the 20 largest banks, weighted according to market share.

Sources: Norsk familieøkonomi AS and Norges Ba

Chart 1.6 Key policy rate, money market rate¹⁾ and bank lending rates on new loans²⁾. Per cent. 1 June 2007 – 11 June 2009

nk

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0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Euro area Japan Norway US

Emerging markets

Chart 1.7 Developments in equity markets. Index.

1 June 2007 = 100. 1 June 2007 11 June 2009

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0 1 2 3 4

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Norway US

Trading partners

Chart 1.8 Difference between 3-month money market rate and key policy rate expectations in the market¹⁾. Percentage points. 5-day moving average.

Historical (from 1 June 2007) and ahead (as at 11 June 2009)

1) Norges Bank's estimates from Q3 2009.

Sources: Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank

(9)

4 6 8 10

50 75 100 125

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) A rising curve denotes a weaker krone exchange rate.

Source: Norges Bank

I-44, left-hand scale EURNOK, right-hand scale USDNOK, right-hand scale

Chart 1.9 Exchange rates¹⁾. The import-weighted exchange rate index (I-44), 1995 = 100. EURNOK and USDNOK. Week 1 2002 Week 24 2009

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-2.5 0 2.5 5 7.5

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Chart 1.10 Consumer prices. 12-month change. Per cent.

January 2004 May 2009

CPI CPI-ATE 1)

Weighted median 20 per cent trimmed mean CPIXE 2)

1) CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products.

2) CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding temporary changes in energy prices. See Staff Memo 2008/7 and Staff Memo 2009/3 from Norges Bank for a description of the CPIXE.

Sources: Statistics Norway and Norges Bank

(11)

0 2.5 5

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) Average of expectations of employer/employee organisations

and experts (financial industry experts, macro analysts and academics).

Sources: TNS Gallup and Perduco

Expected inflation 5 years ahead Expected inflation 2 years ahead

Chart 1.11 Expected consumer price inflation 2 and 5 years ahead.¹⁾Per cent.

2004 Q1 2009 Q2

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0 0.5 1 1.5 2

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) 5-year forward rates 5 years ahead.

Chart 1.12 Differential between long-term forward interest rates in Norway and the euro area.¹⁾Percentage points. 1 January 2002 11 June 2009

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0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Variation CPI

Inflation target

Chart 1.13 Inflation. Moving 10-year average¹⁾ and variation²⁾in CPI³⁾. Per cent. 1980 2009³⁾

1) The moving average is calculated 7 years back and 2 years ahead.

2) The band around the CPI is the variation in the CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products in the average period, measured by +/- one standard deviation.

3) Projections for 2009 - 2011 from this Report form the basis for this estimate.

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-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 85

88 91 94 97 100 103 106

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

I-44, left-hand scale

3-month rate differential, right- hand scale

Chart 1.14 Three-month money market rate differential between Norway and trading partners¹⁾and the import-weighted exchange rate index (I-44)²⁾.

Monthly (historical) and quarterly figures (ahead).

January 2002 – December 2012

1) The differential between money market rates in the baseline scenario and a weighted average of forward rates among trading partners in the period 5 - 11 June 2009.

2) A rising curve indicates a stronger krone exchange rate.

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.15a Projected key policy rate in the baseline scenario with fan chart.

Quarterly figures. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

30% 50% 70% 90%

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-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.15b Estimated output gap in the baseline scenario with fan chart.

Quarterly figures. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

30% 50% 70% 90%

(17)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Chart 1.15c Projected CPI in the baseline scenario with fan chart.

4-quarter change. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

30% 50% 70% 90%

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0 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Chart 1.15d Projected CPIXE¹⁾in the baseline scenario with fan chart.

4-quarter change. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

1) CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding temporary changes in energy prices.

See Staff Memo 2008/7 and Staff Memo 2009/3 from Norges Bank for a description of the CPIXE.

30% 50% 70% 90%

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.16 Key policy rate in the baseline scenario in MPR 3/08,

17 December 2008, MPR 1/09 and MPR 2/09. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

MPR 3/08 17 Dec. 2008 MPR 1/09 MPR 2/09

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.17 Key policy rate and three-month money market rate in the baseline scenario. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

Key policy rate Money market rate

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-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Chart 1.18 Projected inflation and output gap in the baseline scenario.

Per cent. Quarterly figures. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

Output gap, left-hand scale CPI, right-hand scale CPIXE, right-hand scale 1)

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009

Key policy rate Taylor rule Growth rule

Rule with external interest rates

prices adjusted for tax changes and excluding temporary changes in energy prices (CPIXE) and 3-month money market rates. To ensure comparability with the key policy rate the simple rules are adjusted for risk premiums in 3-month money market rates.

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.19 Key policy rate, Taylor rule, growth rule and rule with external interest rates¹⁾. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2009 Q4

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Interest rate movements that follow from Norges Bank's average pattern of interest rate setting with a 90 % confidence interval

Key policy rate

1) Interest rate movements are explained by developments in inflation, mainland GDP growth, wage growth and key policy rates among trading partners. See Staff Memo 2008/3 for further discussion.

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.20 Key policy rate and interest rate developments that follow from

1) Per cent.

2002 Q1 2009 Q4

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Estimated forward rates

Money market rates in the baseline scenario

Chart 1.21 Money market rates in the baseline scenario and estimated forward rates¹⁾. Per cent. Quarterly figures. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

1) Forward rates are based on money markets rates and interest rate swaps. The blue band shows the highest and lowest forward rates in the period 5 - 11 June 2009.

Source: Norges Bank

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-3 -2 -1 0 1 2

2007 2008 2009 2010

Mainland GDP GDP trading partners

Chart 1.22 Actual and projected GDP for mainland Norway and trading partners. Growth from previous quarter. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2010 Q4

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.23a Key policy rate in the baseline scenario and the alternative scenarios with higher and lower demand. Per cent. Quarterly figures. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

Baseline scenario Lower demand Higher demand

30% 50% 70% 90%

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-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1.23b The output gap in the baseline scenario and the alternative scenarios with higher and lower demand. Per cent. Quarterly figures. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

30% 50% 70% 90%

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0 1 2 3 4 5

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Chart 1.23c CPIXE¹⁾ in the baseline scenario and the alternative scenarios with higher and lower demand. 4-quarter change. Per cent. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

30% 50% 70% 90%

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

1) The Executive Board's decision of 17 June 2009 is not shown in the chart.

Source: Norges Bank

Strategy period

3/03 2/043/04

1/04 1/052/053/05 1/06

2/06 3/06

1/07

2/073/071/08

Key policy rate

2/08

Chart 1.24 Interval for the key policy rate at the end of each strategy period, actual developments¹⁾and projection. Per cent.

January 2004 December 2012

3/08

17 Dec. 08 1/092/09

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1 Key policy rate in the baseline scenario in MPR 1/09 with fan chart and key policy rate in the baseline scenario from MPR 2/09 (red line).

Per cent. Quarterly figures. 2007 Q1 2012 Q4

30% 50% 70% 90%

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-2 -1 0 1 2

09 Q3 10 Q1 10 Q3 11 Q1 11 Q3 12 Q1 12 Q3

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 2 Factors behind changes in the interest rate path since MPR 1/09.

Accumulated contribution. Percentage points. 2009 Q3 2012 Q4

Interest rate premiums Interest rates abroad External demand Capacity utilisation Changes in the interest rate path

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11.6%

9.5%

5.8%

5.1%

4.4% 4.2%4.0%

2.5% 2.3%2.3%2.2%2.0%2.0%

1.3%

0.3% 0.3%

0.1% 0 % 2 % 4 % 6 % 8 % 10 % 12 % 14 %

0 % 2 % 4 % 6 % 8 % 10 % 12 % 14 %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1 Allotment per bank under the swap arrangement. Percentage of total assets

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0 50 100 150 200 250

2007 2008 2009

1)Premium on bonds above swap rate 2)Norges Banks' projections

Sources: DnB NOR Markets, Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank

Chart 2 Interest rate premiums on bank bonds and three-month money market rates.

Basis points. Week 1 2007 week 24 2009

3-year bank bond 1)

Money market premiums (3-month) 2) 5-year bank bond 1)

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-150,000 -100,000 -50,000 0

50,000 100,000 150,000

-150,000 -100,000 -50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000

2007 2008 2009

Source: Norges Bank

Chart 1 Developments in structural and total liquidity.

In millions of NOK. 1 June 2007 11 June 2009

Structural liquidity

Total liquidity

(35)

100 110 120

Chart 2.1 Capacity utilisation in manufacturing. Seasonally adjusted index.

2005 = 100. January 1980 – June 2009

US Euro area 1) Japan Sweden 1)

60 70 80 90

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

1) Converted from quarterly data.

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50 60 70

Chart 2.2 PMI¹⁾in advanced economies and China. Index. Seasonally adjusted.

January 2000 – May 2009

20 30 40 50

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) Manufacturing.

US Euro area Japan Sweden China

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100 125 150

Chart 2.3 Oil price (Brent Blend) in USD per barrel. 3 January 2000 – 11 June 2009.

Futures prices (broken lines) MPR 1/09 and MPR 2/09

Brent Blend

MPR 1/09 (May 2009 – September 2011) MPR 2/09 (July 2009 – December 2011)

0 25 50 75

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

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400 500 600

Chart 2.4 Commodity prices in USD. Index. 4 January 2000 = 100.

4 January 2000 – 11 June 2009. Futures prices from 11 June 2009 (broken lines).

July 2009 – December 2011

Cotton Wheat Aluminium Copper

0 100 200 300

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

Sources: Thomson Reuters, Chicago Board of Trade and Norges Bank

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2.5 5 7.5

CPI CPIXE

Chart 2.5 CPI and CPIXE¹⁾. 12-month change.

Per cent. January 2006 – March 2010²⁾

-2.5 0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

1) CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding temporary changes in energy prices. See Staff Memo 2008/7 and Staff Memo 2009/3 from Norges Bank for a description of the CPIXE.

2) Projections for June 2009 – March 2010 (broken lines). Monthly figures to September 2009, then quarterly figures.

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3 6

Chart 2.6 CPI-ATE¹⁾. Total and by supplier sector.

12-month change. Per cent. January 2006 – March 2010²⁾

CPI-ATE

Domestically produced goods and services 3) Imported consumer goods

-3 0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

2) Projections for June 2009 – March 2010 (broken lines). Monthly figures to September 2009, then quarterly figures.

3) Norges Bank's estimates.

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5 6 7

Chart 2.7 Unit labour costs, mainland Norway and domestically produced goods and services in CPI-ATE¹⁾. Four-quarter growth. Smoothed. Per cent.

2000 Q1 – 2010 Q1²⁾

Unit labour costs

Domestically produced goods and services

0 1 2 3 4

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

1) Norges Bank's estimates.

2) Projections for 2009 Q2 – 2010 Q1 (broken lines) Sources: Statistics Norway and Norges Bank

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0 1 2

0 1 2 Chart 2.8 Indicator of external price impulses to imported

consumer goods measured in foreign currency. Annual change.

Per cent. 2000 – 2012¹⁾

-3 -2 -1 0

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

1) Projections for 2009 – 2012.

Sources: Thomson Reuters, Statistics Norway and Norges Bank

(43)

2 3 4

CPI-ATE SAM

Chart 2.9 CPI-ATE¹⁾. Actual figures, baseline scenario and

projections by SAM²⁾. Four-quarter change. Per cent. 2006 Q1 – 2009 Q4³⁾

0 1 2

2006 2007 2008 2009

2) System of models for short-term forecasting.

3) Projections for 2009 Q2 - 2009 Q4 (broken lines).

(44)

10 30

10

30 Energy prices in CPI

Estimated trend MPR 2/09

Estimated trend MPR 1/09

Chart 2.10 Energy component of the CPI¹⁾and estimated trend²⁾. 12-month change. Per cent. January 2006 – December 2012³⁾

-30 -10

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

-30 -10

1) The product groups Electricity, gas and other fuels and Fuels and lubricants.

2) The trend is estimated using an HP-filter on the actual and

projected movements of energy prices in the CPI, see Staff Memo 2008/7 and Staff Memo 2009/3 from Norges Bank.

3) Projections for June 2009 – December 2012 (broken lines).

Sources: Nord Pool, Statistics Norway and Norges Bank

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2 3 4

Chart 2.11 Indicators for actual change in production last 3 months and expected change in production in next 6 months. Index¹⁾.

October 2002 – October 2009

Household and corporate services, total

-2 -1 0 1

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) The scale runs from -5 to +5, where -5 indicates a sharp fall and +5 indicates strong growth.

See article "Norges Bank's regional network" in Economic Bulletin 2/05 for further information.

Source: Norges Bank's regional network

Retail

Corporate services Household services

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4 6

Chart 2.12 Mainland GDP. Actual figures, our baseline scenario and

projections by SAM¹⁾. Four-quarter change. Volume. Seasonally adjusted.

Per cent. 2006 Q1 – 2009Q4²⁾

-4 -2 0 2

2006 2007 2008 2009

1) System of models for short-term forecasting.

2) Projections for 2009 Q2 – 2009 Q4 (broken lines).

Mainland Norway GDP MPR 2/09 SAM

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100 105 110 115

Chart 2.13 Manufacturing. Different groups. Trend. Index¹⁾ January 2007 – April 2009

70 75 80 85 90 95

Jan-07 May-07 Sep-07 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-08 Jan-09

1) April 2008 = 100.

Source: Statistics Norway and Norges Bank

Chemical commodities Machine industry Metal industry

Furniture and other manufacturing

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2 4 6 8 10 12

Chart 2.14 Exports from mainland Norway. Annual volume change.

Per cent. 1971 – 2009¹⁾

-12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

1) Projections for 2009.

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1.3 1.4 1.5

Chart 2.15 Terms of trade. Index¹⁾. 2000 Q1 – 2009 Q1

Total Mainland Norway

0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) 2005 Q1 = 1.

(50)

25 30 35

Chart 2.16 Manufacturing investment statistics. Estimated

and actual investment (current prices). In billions of NOK. 2006 – 2010

10 15 20 25

May Aug Nov Feb May Aug Nov Actual

2006 2007 2008 2009

2010

Estimate published same year

Estimate for years ahead Actual

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0 5 10 15 20 25

Chart 2.17 Private investment mainland Norway. Total and

broken down into business and housing investment. Seasonally adjusted.

Four-quarter growth. Per cent. 2006 Q1 – 2012 Q4¹⁾

-35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

1) Projections for 2009 Q2 – 2012 Q4 (broken lines).

Source: Statistics Norway and Norges Bank

Business Housing

Private investment mainland Norway

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5 8 10

Saving ratio 2)

Saving ratio excl. share dividends

Chart 2.18 Household saving. Share of disposable income.

Per cent. Annual figures. 1980–2012

-5 -3 0 3

1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012

1) Projections for 2009 - 2012 (broken lines).

2) Adjusted for estimated reinvested share dividends for 2000 – 2005 and redemption/reduction of equity capital for 2006 – 2012.

(53)

4 6 8

Income Consumption

Chart 2.19 Household real disposable income¹⁾and consumption²⁾. Annual growth. Per cent. 2000 – 2009³⁾

-2 0 2

2000 2003 2006 2009

2) Includes consumption in non-profit organisations. Volume.

3) Projections for 2009 (broken lines).

(54)

1 2 3

Chart 2.20 Indicator for actual change in employment and expected change in employment in next 3 months. Index¹⁾.

October 2002 – July 2009

-3 -2 -1 0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

1) The scale runs from -5 to +5, where -5 indicates a sharp fall and +5 indicates strong growth.

See article "Norges Bank's regional network" in Economic Bulletin 2/05 for further information.

(55)

3 4 5

Chart 2.21 Hourly productivity.

Four-quarter change. Seasonally adjusted. Base value. 2000 Q1 – 2010 Q1¹⁾

-2 -1 0 1 2

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

1) Projections for 2009 Q1 – 2010 Q1 (broken line).

(56)

4 6 8

Annual wage growth Unemployment rate

Chart 2.22 Annual wage growth¹⁾ and LFS unemployment.

Per cent. 1993 – 2009²⁾

0 2 4

1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008

1) Average for all groups. Including estimated costs of increase in number of vacation days and introduction of mandatory occupational pensions.

2) Projections for 2009 (broken lines).

Sources: Statistics Norway, Technical Reporting Committee on Income Settlements and Norges Bank

(57)

5 6 7

Manufacturing Construction Retail

Services Public sector Aggregated

Chart 2.23 Expected annual wage growth same year. Per cent.

October 2002 – April 2009

2 3 4 5

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

(58)

100 120 140

Chart 2.24 Non-oil deficit. In billions of NOK.

2001 – 2009

0 20 40 60 80

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Source: Ministry of Finance

(59)

100 120 140 160

Chart 2.25 Structural non-oil deficit¹⁾and expected real return on

the Government Pension Fund – Global. In billions of 2009 NOK. 2006 – 2012

Expected real return Structural non-oil deficit

0 20 40 60 80

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

1) Norges Bank's projections for 2010 – 2012 (broken lines).

Sources: Ministry of Finance and Norges Bank

(60)

110 130 150

Chart 2.26 Investment statistics for the petroleum industry. Estimated and actual investment (current prices). In billions of NOK. 2005 – 2010

30 50 70 90

May Aug Nov Feb May Aug Nov Feb

2006 2007 2008

2009 2010

Estimate published same year

Estimate for years ahead Actual

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2 4 6 8 10

Chart 2.27 Petroleum investment. Annual volume change.

Per cent. 2008 – 2012¹⁾

-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

1) Projections for 2009 – 2012.

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150 200 250

Chart 1 Loan debt as a percentage of disposable income¹⁾. Annual figures. 1978 – 2012²⁾

0 50 100 150

1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010

2) Projections for 2009 – 2012 (broken lines).

(63)

10 12 14

D 4-5 D 6-7 D 4-7

Chart 2 Interest burden across household groups.¹⁾Grouped in deciles by after-tax income. Per cent. Annual figures. 1986 – 2012²⁾

0 2 4 6 8

1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010

1) Projected from 2006.

2) Projections for 2009 –2012 (broken lines).

(64)

100 150 200

Chart 3 Household net lending¹⁾and gross debt accumulation.

In billions of NOK. Annual figures. 2004 – 2012²⁾

-100 -50 0 50

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Debt accumulation Net lending

1) Net lending is from Statistics Norway's institutional sector accounts. Adjusted for estimated reinvested share dividends 2000–2005 and redemption/reduction of equity capital for 2006 _–2012.

2) Projections for 2009 _– 2012.