Sampling
Sampling & & Mapping Forest Resources Mapping Forest Resources
Ross Nelson Ross Nelson NASA
NASA –– Goddard SpaceGoddard Space
Using Satellite LiDAR Data Using Satellite LiDAR Data
NASA
NASA –– Goddard Space Goddard Space Flight Center Flight Center
Biospheric Sciences Branch Biospheric Sciences Branch Code 614.4
Code 614.4
With guest appearances by:
Dan Kimes, Jon Ranson, Guoqing Sun, Paul Montesano, Slava Kharuk,
Erik Næsset, Terje Gobakken,
Jonathan Boudreau, Hank Margolis, André Beaudoin, Chhun-Huor Ung, Luc Guindon, Philippe Villemaire, Tim Gregoire, Göran Ståhl
But first, a little background….
Outline:
Outline:
- Siberia
Q b
- Quebec
WILL LAND ECOSYSTEMS
EXACERBATE OR MITIGATE WARMING ?
Largest remaining uncertainties about the Earth’s carbon budget are in its terrestrial components.
7.6 ± 0.4
NEED TO REDUCE THESE UNCERTAINTIES
Global Carbon
Budget (Canadell et al., 2007)
To Atmosphere
Unidentified
4.1 ± 0.04
1.5 ± 0.5
UNCERTAINTIES
Fossil Fuels Land Use
Ocean Uptake
Unidentified (“missing”)
Terrestrial Sink Atmospheric
To L d/O
Fossil Fuels
Change Peta (1015) grams of carbon/year
Carbonp
2.2 ± 0.4
Land/Ocean 2.2 ± 0.4
2.8 ± 0.7 TROPICAL BIOMASS
LARGEST CONTRIBUTOR
The map shows areas with a canopy cover of at least 40%
least 40%
by woody plants taller than 5
meters
From 1990 to 2000, the global area of temperate forest increased by almost 3 million hectares per year, while deforestation in the tropics occurred at an
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Synthesis Report (2005)
average rate exceeding 12 million hectares per year over the past two decades.
Uncertainty in biomass change is greatest in tropics. Biomass density more uncertain than changes in forested area.
So how can we use lasers to measure the amount of wood on the ground? g
Airborne lasers (LiDARs) measure distance:
ground dist – tree dist. → tree height
tree height α biomass α carbon
photo: Kaiguang Zhao, TAMU
ICESat Land Applications ICESat Land Applications
Courtesy of Dave Harding, NASA GSFC
GLAS Waveform Range Offsets & Elevations
1064 nm Laser Pulse
Travel TTime
Return Amplitude
Outline:
Outline:
- Siberia
- Quebec
Study Area #1: South Central Siberia
(Ranson/Sun/Kimes/Kharuk/Montesano)- just NW of Lake Baikal
(N of Irkutsk to Krasnoyarsk, - 10° x 12° area,
811 414 k 2 - 811,414 km2,
- 55 GLAS orbits, L2a, - 101,831 GLAS pulses, - ~17.6 km between fls.
- MODIS for land cover, - GLAS for biomass
Study Area in Central Siberia
•
80˚ to 110˚ Longitude and 50˚ to 75˚Latitude Latitude
• The Russian forest contains 22% of the Earth’s forest area.
• Biomass/carbon estimates for these vast forest have only recently been characterized.
F i d i hi i i
• Forest inventory data in this region is lacking and decades old.
90N
MODIS MOD09 8-day composite, date: July 12 2003, Band combination: True Color
GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER BIOSPHERIC SCIENCES BRANCH
Kimes, Ranson, Sun, Nelson, Kharuk, Montesano.
Goals:
Goals:
Goals:
Goals:
•Produce the most accurate maps possible of timber volume and above ground forest phytomass/carbon stocks
for the Siberian study area.
• Develop test and integrate new remote sensing Develop, test, and integrate new remote sensing
methods for extracting forest canopy structure measures using MODIS and GLAS data.
• Compare these new remote sensing methods with existing ground estimates.
• Produce a realistic error bound on the remotely sensed carbon and timber volume estimates.
Carbon1.ppt
carbon and timber volume estimates.
Predicted Timber Volume - NN - 6 GLAS Variables
(MedH, Ht2, Fslope, Mjp2loc, Ga3, Npk); R2=0.78, RMSE=81 m3/ha
picture: J. Boudreau
GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER BIOSPHERIC SCIENCES BRANCH
Kimes et al.: Landcover Attributes from ICESat GLAS Data
Methods Methods
• Produce MODIS classification (500 m res.)
• Process waveform data for each GLAS shotProcess waveform data for each GLAS shot
• Develop models to extract timber volume, biomass, and height using field data.
• Apply models to all GLAS shots in the study area.
• Produce timber volume and biomass maps and a statistical error bound on the estimates for each class and for the total study area
Timber Volume Map Timber Volume Map
10
10 ° ° x 12 x 12 ° ° Study Area Study Area 10
10 x 12 x 12 Study Area Study Area GLAS and MODIS data:
GLAS and MODIS data:
•• MODIS forest classes MODIS forest classes
•• MODIS forest classes MODIS forest classes
•
• MODIS % tree cover MODIS % tree cover
•
• GLAS timber volume GLAS timber volume
Total Timber Volume (m
Total Timber Volume (m
33/ha): /ha):
Mean Forested Area:
Mean Forested Area:
Mean Forested Area:
Mean Forested Area:
MODIS/GLAS (10
MODIS/GLAS (10°° slope)slope)
163.4
163.4
±±11.8 m 11.8 m
33/ha /ha
MODIS/GLAS (90MODIS/GLAS (90°° slope)slope) MODIS/GLAS (90
MODIS/GLAS (90 slope)slope)
171.9
171.9
±±12.4 m 12.4 m
33/ha /ha Shepashenko et al. (1998) Shepashenko et al. (1998)
162.1 m
162.1 m
33/ha /ha
Above Ground Phytomass Above Ground Phytomass
10
10 ° ° x 12 x 12 ° ° Study Area Study Area
Using GLAS and MODIS data:
Using GLAS and MODIS data:
•• MODIS forest class, MODIS forest class,,,
•• MODIS % tree cover, MODIS % tree cover,
•• GLAS timber volume GLAS timber volume
Total Phytomass:
Total Phytomass:
forested area (10
forested area (10
°°slope): slope):
86 7
86 7
±±6 3 6 3 /h /h 86.7
86.7
±±6.3 ton/ha 6.3 ton/ha forested area (90
forested area (90
°°slope): slope):
90.3
90.3
±±6.7 ton/ha 6.7 ton/ha
Above Ground Carbon Estimates (Pg)
Central Siberia (10X12 degree study area)
Forest:
( g y )
4
2 3
etagrams)
95% CI
1 2
Weight (pe
0
Russian Forest Map (1990)
Land Resources of
SPOT-based 1km Gobal
MODIS MOD12- IGBP 1km Land
MODIS-based 500m Land
GLAS/MODIS 500m (2003) Map (1990) Resources of
Russia
1km Gobal Land Cover
(2000)
IGBP 1km Land Cover (2001)
500m Land Cover (2003)
500m (2003)
Dataset
[1.95±0.14 Pg]
Nelson et al.
(2008) Stolbovoi
et al. (2002)
Siberia – results:
1. Siberia: GLAS estimates of merchantable volume agree with ground estimates on a 811,414 km
2study area in
south-central Siberia.
MODIS/GLAS (10
MODIS/GLAS (10 ° ° slope) slope) 163.4 163.4 ± ± 11.8 m 11.8 m
33/ha /ha MODIS/GLAS (90
MODIS/GLAS (90 ° ° slope) slope) 171.9 171.9 ± ± 12.4 m 12.4 m
33/ha /ha Shepashenko et al. (1998), ground
Shepashenko et al. (1998), ground 162.1 m 162.1 m
33/ha /ha
10°forest estimates: + 0.8% difference, CV: 7.2%
90°forest estimates: + 6.0% difference, CV: 7.2%
Outline:
Outline:
- Siberia
Q b
- Quebec
“A Realistic Analysis of the Variability of
QCLP – Quebec Carbon LiDAR Project
y y
Carbon Estimates Using Airborne and Space LiDAR”
The QCLP Team:
- Ross Nelson – NASA/GSFC Dan Kimes NASA/GSFC - Dan Kimes – NASA/GSFC - Hank Margolis – Laval Univ.
- Jonathan Boudreau – Laval Univ.
- André Beaudoin – CFS - Chhun-Huor Ung – CFSg - Luc Guindon – CFS
- Philippe Villemaire - CFS - Tim Gregoire – Yale Univ.
- Erik Næsset – Nor. Univ. Life Sci.
- Terje Gobakken – Nor Univ Life Sci - Terje Gobakken – Nor. Univ. Life Sci.
- Göran Ståhl – Swed. Univ of Ag. Sci.
+ Ryan Collins, Capitol Air
The Quebec sampling plan:
Satellite LiDAR:
GLAS (9-11/03)
bPALS= f(ht, cc)GLAS
Airborne LIDAR:
PALS (8/05)
bground= f(ht, cc)PALS
Ground Reference:
MNRQ and CFS ground plots (400 m2).
(y2000 – 2004)
photo:
J. Boudreau
l t t 59 75N
~62N
last tree ~59.75N 1710
km 1056
km
62N
1061 km
~55N
~50N
775 km
~49N
The Quebec sampling plan:
Satellite LiDAR:
) ( 753 . 0 ) ( 587 . 6 ) ( 846 . 3 ) 515 . 4 ˆ (
SRTM GLAS
GLAS
PALS w f r
b = − + − −
GLAS (9-11/03)
N 1325 Rsq 0.6012 AdjRsq 0.6003 RMSE 31.986
75 100 125 150 175
) ( )
( )
( )
( GLAS GLAS SRTM
PALS f
ass (t/ha)
bPALS= f(ht, cc)GLAS
-50 -25 0 25 50 75
GLAS bioma
Airborne LIDAR:
PALS (8/05)
535 . 2 ) ( 154 . ˆground=10 hqa − b
-25 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250
PALS biomass (t/ha)
bground= f(ht, cc)PALS
biomass (t/ha)ry biomass (t/ha) drydr
) (m hqa
Ground Reference:
MNRQ and CFS ground plots (400 m2).
(y2000 – 2004)
photo:
J. Boudreau
MNRQ Ground Reference GLAS estimates
Accuracy Assessment: Quebec Southern Ecozones - Regional Estimates:
biomass stan.err. no. Biomass stan.err. percent
(t/ha) (t/ha) plots (t/ha) (t/ha)‡ difference
Northern Temperate Ecozone: (109,769 km2) Ecozone: (109,769 km )
Conifer 76.60 5.82 49 64.69 1.86 - 15.5
Deciduous 77.85 4.95 176 89.91 4.62 + 15.5
Mixedwood 65.91 2.79 313 82.22 1.21 + 24.7
Mi d d E
Mixedwood Ecozone:
(98,101 km2)
Conifer 85.90 1.57 583 74.61 3.14 - 13.1
Deciduous 75.00 2.98 290 82.98 3.33 + 10.6
Mixedwood 87.15 1.43 1177 81.80 1.53 - 6.1
Southern Boreal Ecozone:
(374,665 km2)
Conifer 86.36 0.37 10,007 63.80 5.07 - 26.1
Deciduous 56 71 1 77 617 60 68 3 42 + 7 0
Deciduous 56.71 1.77 617 60.68 3.42 + 7.0
Mixedwood 82.16 0.73 3602 68.54 1.93 - 16.6
Provincial Comm. For. 81.90 0.50 16814 76.14 2.52 - 7.0
‡ SRS standard errors, stratified linear model, w/prediction error, w/covariance.
photo:
J. Boudreau
…that would be
5.04 ± 0.42 Gt dry biomass,
or 2.52 ± 0.21 Gt C
in Quebec
Thank you.
Summary:
1. Quebec:
- GLAS estimates of dry biomass within 1-26% of MNRQ ground estimates for commercial forest cover types - 582,536 km
2.
- assessed 1.27 million km
2using a space LiDAR.
ETM+/PALS/GLAS:
76.1 ± 2.5 t/ha (97 orbits)MNRQ ( d)
81 9 ± 0 5 t/h (16 814 l t )MNRQ (ground):
81.9 ± 0.5 t/ha (16,814 plots)% difference: -7.0%
CV, GLAS: 3.3%
So can you do large area forest inventories with ICESat/GLAS?
Yes.
Any problems associated with using GLAS for large area forest inventory and monitoring?
Yes, significant problems.
Problems include:
1. An apparent inability of GLAS to accurately measure short-stature, open forest.
PALS Mean Height GLAS Mean Height
PALS & GLAS Heights x Latitude
a convolved
2. Slope + large footprint waveform LiDAR = topography-forest canopy waveform Problems include:
Slope effects can be mitigated with DTMs.
Problems include:
3 C S /G S 2008 201
3. An observational hole in ICESat/GLAS data acquisitions, ca. 2008 – 2015.
4. A possibility that ICESat II (launch ~2015) will have degraded forest 4. A possibility that ICESat II (launch 2015) will have degraded forest
measurement capability due to - ∆ footprint size (50m to 70m), - ∆ pulse width (6 ns to 10 ns).
5. Unable to assess/measure forest degradation, i.e., the intermittent, scattered removal of individual high-value trees from a forest.
Satellite optical data, e.g., ETM, SPOT, MODIS → forest location and type.
Satellite LiDAR data to measure structure, estimate biomass and carbon.
Current Outlook on U.S. Satellite LiDARs:
ICESat I / GLAS:
(ice mission)( ) - 65m footprint, 172 m post spacing, waveform, 6 ns pulse width,- single beam system, 15 km between orbits at equator (91 day repeat), - launched Jan. 2003,
died October 19 2008 (will it rise again ?) - died October 19, 2008 (will it rise again ?)
ICESat II/GLAS:
- launch due sometime in 2015 (ice mission) - launch due sometime in 2015, (ice mission)
- 50-70m footprint, 140 m post spacing, waveform, 6-10 ns pulse width, - single beam system, 15 km between orbits, possible off-nadir pointing
to pick up across-track slope, - 3-5 year mission.
DESDynI:
with L-band radar (?) (solid earth mission) l h 2015 2017 (??)- launch ~2015-2017 (??),
- 25 m footprint, contiguous, 3-5 beams across-track, 3-5 year mission.
LIST:
a swath mapper launch 2017++??? (hydrology mission)LIST:
a swath mapper, launch 2017++??? (hydrology mission) - 5 m footprint, contiguous footprints, waveform- complete global coverage over 5 years.
GLAS-related Publications:
1 Boudreau J R F Nelson H A Margolis A Beaudoin L Guindon D S Kimes 2008 1. Boudreau, J., R.F. Nelson, H.A. Margolis, A. Beaudoin, L. Guindon, D.S. Kimes. 2008.
Regional aboveground forest biomass using airborne and spaceborne LiDAR in Québec. Remote Sensing of Environment 112(10): 3876 – 3890.
2 Gregoire T G Q F Lin J Boudreau and R Nelson 2008 Regression estimation following 2. Gregoire, T.G., Q.F. Lin, J. Boudreau, and R. Nelson. 2008. Regression estimation following
the square-root transformation of the response. Forest Science 54(6): 597-606.
3. Nelson, R.F., E. Næsset, T. Gobakken, G. Ståhl, and T. Gregoire. 2008. Regional Forest Inventory Using an Airborne Profiling LiDAR Journal of Forest Planning 13: 287 294 Inventory Using an Airborne Profiling LiDAR. Journal of Forest Planning 13: 287 - 294.
4. Nelson, R., J. Boudreau, T. Gregoire, H. Margolis, E. Næsset, T. Gobakken, and G. Ståhl.
2009. Estimating Québec Provincial forest resources using ICESat/GLAS. Canadian Jo rnal of Forest Research in press
Journal of Forest Research, in press.
5. Nelson, R., K.J. Ranson, G. Sun, D. Kimes, V. Kharuk, and P. Montesano. 2009.
Estimating Siberian timber volume using MODIS and ICESat/GLAS. Remote Sensing of Environment 113(3): 691 701 doi:10 1016/j rse 2008 11 010
of Environment 113(3): 691-701. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2008.11.010.
6. Nelson, R. 2009. Model effects on GLAS-based regional estimates of biomass and carbon.
International Journal of Remote Sensing, accepted for publication.
Statistical Framework:
n
ijk∑ ˆ
p
ijkp k
b b
∑ =
= 1 ˆ
ijk
ijk n
b
The orbit becomes my unit of observation
of observation.
i vegetation zone i - vegetation zone, j - cover type,
k - orbit, p – pulse.
Cover Type Biomass Estimate within Vegetation Zone:
ijk n
ijk
ij w b
b
ij
ˆ
ˆ = ∑ ijk where w
ijk= ∑
nijn
ijkk
ijk ij
1
∑ = ∑
= k
n
ijk 1∑
n= nij
k
wijk 1
= 1.0
nij
1 ˆ ) ( ˆ
ˆ ) r(
aˆ
v
1−
2= ∑
k=
ij ijk
ijk ij
b b
w b
j
i vegetation zone
SRS:
) 1
(
ijn
ij−
i - vegetation zone,j - cover type, k - orbit,
p – pulse.
Vegetation Zone Estimates of Biomass:
∑
=
ni ij iji
w b
b ˆ ˆ
ijij
w = a
and∑
niw
ij = 1.0∑
j=j j
1 i
j
a ∑
= j
ij 1
1
ˆ ) ˆ , v(
oˆ c 2
ˆ ) r(
aˆ v ˆ )
r(
aˆ v
1
1 1
1 2
im ij
n
j
n
j m
im ij
n
j
ij ij
i
w b w w b b
b
i i
i
∑ ∑
∑
−= = +
=
+
=
ˆ ) ( ˆ
ˆ ) ( ˆ
) ,
( ( , )
n
∑ ∑
nb b
b b
m j
i i j m
1
) (
) (
ˆ ) ˆ , v(
oˆ
c
2) , (
1 1
−
−
−
= ∑ ∑
= =
m j i
im iml
k
ij ijk
l im
ij
n
b b
b b
b b
) , ( j
Provincial Estimates – four models:
(n=104,044 , 97 orbits, SRS)
dry biomass estimates Prov. biom. totals
model mean(t/ha) SE (t/ha) CV(%) total(Gt) SE (Gt)
model mean(t/ha) SE (t/ha) CV(%) total(Gt) SE (Gt)
believe GLAS
Sqrt, nostr, noreg 41.72 2.82 6.8 5.29 0.35
Lin, nostr, reg 40.65 5.13 12.6 5.15 0.65
believe ETM+
Lin, str, reg 39.78 3.17 8.0 5.04 0.40
Sqrt, str, noreg 38.94 2.17 5.6 4.94 0.28
ΔC = 0.18 Gt
(~7% diff.)
- cannot add regression error to sqrt model (positive bias)
- stratified models lower due to nonforest biomass = 0 regardless of GLAS