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Example 8.1 (cont)

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longitudinal analysis 279

As a side remark, we mentioned in Section 8.3.2 that any statistical analysis should end with some check of model fit. This is developed to some extent under the GEE approach, see Chapter 4 of Hardin and Hilbe (2003), but if we go to the generalized linear mixed model, this area is poorly developed. We will not touch on this any further here.

The GEE is a solution to the problem of fitting marginal models to this type of data. We have mentioned that there are substantial differences in the interpreta- tion of the regression coefficients from a marginal model and from a subject-spe- cific (mixed) model. In what way? Let us try to explore this in our example.

Example 8.1 (cont)

Assume in our blood pressure data above, there was a treatment target of 90 mmHg. Let us code measurements below 90 mmHg as “success = 1”, and measurements above 90 mmHg as “failure = 0”. This gives us a binary response, repeated throughout time, and we may be interested in investi- gating the effect of the three different treatments on this response. Let us start out by plotting the marginal effects in the three groups over time.

From Figure 8.7 we see that treatment A seems to perform worse than the other two treatments early in the study, but at the final visit there is really no difference between the treatments.

Figure 8.7 Marginal development of treatment success over time. Treatment A (solid line), B (dotted line), C (dashed line).

Week

Proportion below treatment target

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00

0000 101058 GRMAT #1C41220.book Page 279 Thursday, November 1, 2012 2:45 PM

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