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Opposition Parties and the 2008 Parliamentary Elections in Angola

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Opposition Parties and the 2008 Parliamentary Elections in Angola

Inge Amundsen, Chr. Michelsen Institute

Conferência sobre as Eleições em Angola

Centro de Estudos e Investigação Científica (CEIC), Universidade Católica de Angola Terça-Feira, 4 de Novembro de 2008

(2)

Opposition parties in Angola

Background

CEIC-CMI cooperation

Research project:

Political parties in Angola

Amundsen, Pestana, Weimer, Seamba

CMI Working Paper

Opposition Parties and the Upcoming 2008

Parliamentary Elections in Angola (Bergen,

August 2008)

(3)

Political parties at election

Election day:

5th

September 2008

Parties

approved by Supreme Court

(4)

Election

results

(5)

Analysis

“Modern” parties lost

Ideology and principle no value

(PLD,FPD, AD)

“Traditional” parties won

Regional strongholds necessary

UNITA: Bié, Huambo (Cabinda)

PRS: Lundas/Chokwe people

FNLA: Zaire

ND: ?

(6)

Why did people vote MPLA?

Peace and reconciliationHistory

Pre-election survey

Election campaign

Biased access to resourcesBiased access to media

state-controlled radio, television and newspapers

Pressures

Buying of sobas

Election system

(7)

Election system

Favouring regionally based parties

The 5 seats of each provinceClientelism, traditional elitesIlliteracy

Favouring biggest party

Large number of smaller parties

Party splits and manipulations

Easy to register + state subvention systemBan on parties with less than 0.5% votes

D’Hondt method

(8)

D’Hondt method

Method for allocating seats

Party-list proportional representation systems

Favours large parties over scattered small parties

Example: Cabinda

(9)

D’Hondt method

Favours regionally based parties over nationally distributedExample: National constituency/Circulo nationais

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