Miljørisikoanalyse (MRA) for Oseberg Delta 2 i Nordsjøen
Statoil ASA
Rapportnr.:5HY Dokumentnr.:(,*' Dato for utgivelse:
,QQKROGVIRUWHJQHOVH
.21./8'(5(1'(6$00(1'5$*
'(),1,6-21(52*)25.257(/6(5
,11/('1,1* $NWLYLWHWVEHVNULYHOVH +HQVLNWIRUPnO 6WDWRLOVDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUDNXWWIRUXUHQVLQJ *MHOGHQGHUHJHOYHUNVNUDY 5DSSRUWRSSE\JQLQJ %(6.5,9(/6($987%/c61,1*66&(1$5,(5 ,QQOHGQLQJ $NWLYLWHWVRYHUVLNWRJXWEOnVQLQJVVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU 8WEOnVQLQJVUDWHURJYDULJKHWHU 2/-('5,)7602'(//(5,1* 2OMHW\SHRJROMHQVHJHQVNDSHU 2OMHGULIWVPRGHOOHQ 0RGHOOHQVEHJUHQVQLQJRJNUDYWLOLQQJDQJVGDWD %HVNULYHOVHDYXWEOnVQLQJVVFHQDULHU 2OMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJ±5HVXOWDWHU 0(72',..)250,/-5(77(75,6,.2$1$/<6( 0,/-%(6.5,9(/6( 9HUGLIXOOHNRV\VWHP.RPSRQHQWHU9.HU 8WYDOJDY9.HU 0,/-5(77(75,6,.2$1$/<6(±5(68/7$7(5 0XOLJHNRQVHNYHQVHUYHGHQXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWD 0LOM¡ULVLNR 2SSVXPPHULQJDYPLOM¡ULVLNR5()(5$16(5
9('/(**$$
9('/(**%%
9('/(**&&
KONKLUDERENDE SAMMENDRAG
2VHEHUJHUHWROMHIHOWPHGHQLGHQQRUGOLJHGHOHQDY1RUGVM¡HQFDNPIUDODQG+DYG\SHWL
RPUnGHWHUSnFDPHWHU2VHEHUJHUE\JGXWLIOHUHIDVHUIHOWVHQWHUHWPHG2VHEHUJ$%RJ'7XQH 9HVWIODQNHQRJ'HOWDVDPWIRUVDWHOOLWWHQ2VHEHUJ'HOWD,GHQIRUHOLJJHQGHDQDO\VHQHUGHWNXQ'HOWD VRPHUYXUGHUWPHGKHQV\QWLOPLOM¡ULVLNR
,IRUHOLJJHQGHPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHHUGHWVHWWSnHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJHWQRUPDOWSURGXNVMRQVnUIRU VDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDSn2VHEHUJIHOWHW$QDO\VHQHUHQGHODYHWVW¡UUHSURVMHNW'19*/XWI¡UHUIRU6WDWRLO GHUWLGOLJHUH+\GURRSHUHUWHIHOWL1RUGVM¡HQRJ1RUVNHKDYHWRSSGDWHUHVPHGKHQV\QWLOPLOM¡ULVLNR 0LOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQHUJMHQQRPI¡UWVRPHQVNDGHEDVHUWDQDO\VHLKHQKROGWLO1252*VYHLOHGQLQJIRU JMHQQRPI¡ULQJDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHUIRUSHWUROHXPVDNWLYLWHWHUSnQRUVNVRNNHO2/)0LOM¡ULVLNRHQ YXUGHUHVRSSPRW6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHU
+¡\HVWHPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUVDWHOOLWWHQ2VHEHUJ'HOWDHULK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQDYGHW
LQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOPHQVWLOVYDUHQGHYHUGLL SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHU'HWHUVW¡UVWELGUDJIUDVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQXDYKHQJLJDYIDVH)LJXU 3nDNWLYLWHWVQLYnHUXWVODJHWK¡\HVWYHGNRPSOHWWHULQJDYROMHEU¡QQHUIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOPHGL K¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH)RUSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHUJDVVLQMHNVMRQGHQVW¡UVWHELGUDJV\WHU PHGIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOLNDWHJRULHQ$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
5HVXOWDWHQHVRPOHJJHVWLOJUXQQLDQDO\VHQYLVHUDWPLOM¡ULVLNRHQYHGIRUYHQWHWDNWLYLWHWVQLYnSn VDWHOOLWWHQ2VHEHUJ'HOWDHULQQHQIRU6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHURJGHWNDQGHUIRU NRQNOXGHUHVPHGDWDNWLYLWHWHQHUDNVHSWDEHOYXUGHUWRSSPRWRSHUDW¡UHQVDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUULVLNR
Figur 0-1 0LOM¡ULVLNRIRUGHXOLNH9.JUXSSHQHLHWhøyaktivitetsår (øverst)RJLHWnormalt produksjonsår (nederst)VDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDVRPDQGHODY6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNH DNVHSWNULWHULHU
DEFINISJONER OG FORKORTELSER
Akseptkriterier .ULWHULHUVRPEHQ\WWHVIRUnXWWU\NNHHWDNVHSWDEHOWULVLNRQLYnL
YLUNVRPKHWHQXWWU\NWYHGHQJUHQVHIRUDNVHSWDEHOIUHNYHQVIRUHQJLWW PLOM¡VNDGH
ALARP $V/RZ$V5HDVRQDEO\3UDFWLFDEOHVnODYVRPGHWHUSUDNWLVNPXOLJ Analyseområde 2PUnGHWVRPHUEDVLVIRUPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQRJVRPHUVW¡UUHHQQ
LQIOXHQVRPUnGHW5HVVXUVEHVNULYHOVHQGHNNHUDQDO\VHRPUnGH
BOP %ORZRXW3UHYHQWHU
cP &HQWLSRLVHPnOHHQKHWIRUYLVNRVLWHW DFU 'HILQHUWHIDUHRJXO\NNHVKHQGHOVHU
Eksempelområde 7LOEUXNLEHUHGVNDSVSODQOHJJLQJHQHUGHWGHILQHUWDUHDOHUNDOW
HNVHPSHORPUnGHU'LVVHHUNDUDNWHULVHUWYHGDWGHOLJJHUL\WUHN\VWVRQHKDU K¡\WHWWKHWDYPLOM¡SULRULWHUWHORNDOLWHWHURJVRPRJVnSnDQGUHPnWHUVHWWHU VWUHQJHNUDYWLOROMHYHUQEHUHGVNDSHQ'LVVHHNVHPSHORPUnGHQHHUGHUIRU IRUKnQGVGHILQHUWVRPGLPHQVMRQHUHQGHIRUROMHYHUQEHUHGVNDSHQ
Eksponeringsgrad %HQ\WWHVIRUnEHVNULYHKYRUYLGWN\VWHQHUHNVSRQHUWPRGHUDWHNVSRQHUW HOOHUEHVN\WWHWPKWE¡OJHHNVSRQHULQJ
Forvitring 1HGEU\WQLQJDYROMHLPLOM¡HW)RUYLWULQJVDQDO\VHQPnOHUI\VLVNHRJNMHPLVNH HJHQVNDSHUIRUROMHQWLOVWHGHLPLOM¡HWRYHUWLG
GOR )RUNRUWHOVHIRU*DVV2OMHIRUKROG)RUKROGHWPHOORPSURGXVHUWJDVVRJ SURGXVHUWROMHLEU¡QQHQ
Influensområde 2PUnGHWPHGVW¡UUHHOOHUOLNVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUIRUXUHQVQLQJPHGPHU HQQWRQQROMHLQQHQIRUHQ[NPUXWHLKWROMHGULIWVEHUHJQLQJHU Miljødirektoratet 7LGOLJHUH.OLPDRJIRUXUHQVQLQJVGLUHNWRUDWHW.OLI
MIRA 0HWRGHIRUPLOM¡UHWWHWULVLNRDQDO\VH2/) MRA 0LOM¡UHWWHWULVLNRDQDO\VH
MRDB 0DULQ5HVVXUV'DWD%DVH
NOROG 1RUVN2OMHRJ*DVV7LGOLJHUH2OMHLQGXVWULHQVODQGVIRUHQLQJ2/) PL 8WYLQQLQJVWLOODWHOVH3URGXNVMRQVOLVHQV
ppb 3DUWVSHUELOOLRQGHOHUSHUPLOOLDUG ppm 3DUWVSHUPLOOLRQGHOHUSHUPLOOLRQ Sannsynlighet for
treff
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQ[NPUXWHWUHIIHVDYROMHIUDHWSRWHQVLHOWXWVOLSS Restitusjonstid 5HVWLWXVMRQVWLGHQHURSSQnGGQnUGHWRSSULQQHOLJHG\UHRJSODQWHOLYHWLGHW
EHU¡UWHVDPIXQQHWHUWLOVWHGHSnWLOQ UPHWVDPPHQLYnVRPI¡UXWVOLSSHW QDWXUOLJYDULDVMRQWDWWLEHWUDNWQLQJRJGHELRORJLVNHSURVHVVHQHIXQJHUHU QRUPDOW%HVWDQGHUDQVHVnY UHUHVWLWXHUWQnUEHVWDQGHQHUWLOEDNHSn DYQLYnHWI¡UKHQGHOVHQ5HVWLWXVMRQVWLGHQHUWLGHQIUDHWROMHXWVOLSSVNMHURJ WLOUHVWLWXVMRQHURSSQnGG
THC 7RWDO+\GURFDUERQWRWDOWK\GURNDUERQ
TVD 7UXH9HUWLFDO'HSWK
VØK 9HUGVDWWNRV\VWHP.RPSRQHQW
1 INNLEDNING
,I¡OJHQGHNDSLWWHOHUEDNJUXQQHQIRUPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQEHVNUHYHWHQNRUWEHVNULYHOVHDY2VHEHUJIHOWHW KHQVLNWRJIRUPnOPHGDQDO\VHQVDPWJMHOGHQGHUHJHOYHUNRJDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUPLOM¡ULVLNR
1.1 Aktivitetsbeskrivelse
2VHEHUJHUHWROMHIHOWPHGHQRYHUOLJJHQGHJDVVNDSSHLGHQQRUGOLJHGHOHQDY1RUGVM¡HQFDNPIUD ODQGVH)LJXU+DYG\SHWLRPUnGHWHUSnFDPHWHU6DWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDVRPHUYXUGHUWL
IRUHOLJJHQGHPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHHUHQGHODYIHOWHWRJEOHRSSGDJHWVnVHQWVRPL
2VHEHUJHUE\JGXWLIOHUHIDVHU)HOWVHQWHUHWLV¡UKDUWRLQQUHWQLQJHUSURVHVVRJEROLJLQQUHWQLQJHQ 2VHEHUJ$RJERUHRJYDQQLQMHNVMRQVLQQUHWQLQJHQ2VHEHUJ%,GHQQRUGOLJHGHOHQDYIHOWHWOLJJHU 2VHEHUJ&LQQUHWQLQJHQVRPHUHQLQWHJUHUWSURGXNVMRQVERUHRJEROLJLQQUHWQLQJ3'42VHEHUJ'HU HQLQQUHWQLQJIRUJDVVSURVHVVHULQJNQ\WWHWWLO2VHEHUJIHOWVHQWHU2VHEHUJ9HVWIODQNHQHUE\JGXWPHGHQ KDYEXQQVUDPPHVRPHUNQ\WWHWWLO2VHEHUJ%2VHEHUJ'HOWDHUE\JGXWPHGHQKDYEXQQVUDPPH NQ\WWHWWLO2VHEHUJ'3URGXNVMRQHQIUD6WDWIMRUGIRUPDVMRQHQL*DPPD0DLQVWUXNWXUHQVWDUWHWL PHGWREU¡QQHUIUD2VHEHUJIHOWVHQWHU,QQUHWQLQJHQSnIHOWVHQWHUHWEHKDQGOHURJVnROMHRJJDVVIUD IHOWHQH2VHEHUJVW2VHEHUJ6¡URJ7XQH38'IRUGHQQRUGOLJHGHOHQDYIHOWHWEOHJRGNMHQWLMDQXDU 38'IRU2VHEHUJ'EOHJRGNMHQWLGHVHPEHU38'IRU2VHEHUJ9HVWIODQNHQLGHVHPEHU RJ38'IRU2VHEHUJ'HOWDLVHSWHPEHU
2VHEHUJIHOWHWLQQHKROGHUIOHUHUHVHUYRDUHUL%UHQWJUXSSHQDYPHOORPMXUDDOGHURJHUGHOWLQQLIOHUH VWUXNWXUHU+RYHGUHVHUYRDUHQHOLJJHUL2VHEHUJRJ7DUEHUWIRUPDVMRQHQHPHQEOLURJVnSURGXVHUWIUD (WLYHRJ1HVVIRUPDVMRQHQH5HVHUYRDUHQHOLJJHUSnPHWHUVG\S,WLOOHJJHUGHWUHVVXUVHUL 6WDWIMRUGIRUPDVMRQHQLIOHUHDYVDWHOOLWWVWUXNWXUHQHYHVWIRUKRYHGUHVHUYRDUHW
2VHEHUJIHOWHWSURGXVHUHUYHGWU\NNYHGOLNHKROGPHGDOWHUQHUHQGHYDQQRJJDVVLQMHNVMRQ9$*0DVVLY JDVVLQMHNVMRQK¡\WRSSHSnVWUXNWXUHQLKRYHGIHOWHWKDUI¡UWWLOVY UWJRGIRUWUHQJQLQJDYROMHQRJGHWHU QnGDQQHWHQVWRUJDVVNDSSHVRPGHWYLOEOLSURGXVHUWIUDLnUHQHIUHPRYHU,QMHNVMRQVJDVVEOHWLGOLJHUH LPSRUWHUWEODQWDQQHWIUD7UROOVW72*,RJ2VHEHUJYHVW0LQGUHGHOHUDYIHOWHWSURGXVHUHUPHG WU\NNDYODVWQLQJ
2OMHQEOLUWUDQVSRUWHUWJMHQQRPU¡UOHGQLQJHQL2VHEHUJ7UDQVSRUW6\VWHP276WLO6WXUHWHUPLQDOHQ
*DVVHNVSRUWHQVWDUWHWLJMHQQRPU¡UOHGQLQJHQ2VHEHUJ*DVVWUDQVSRUW2*7WLO6WDWSLSHV\VWHPHW YLD+HLPGDOLQQUHWQLQJHQ
8WIRUGULQJHQIRUKRYHGUHVHUYRDUHWSn2VHEHUJEOLUnEDODQVHUHROMHSURGXNVMRQHQXQGHUJDVVNDSSHQPHG JDVVXWWDNHWIUDIHOWHW%RUHDQOHJJHQHSn2VHEHUJ%RJ&EOHRSSJUDGHUWL3U¡YHXWYLQQLQJIUDHW RYHUOLJJHQGHNULWUHVHUYRDUL6KHWODQGJUXSSHQSnJnUIRUnHYDOXHUHSURGXNVMRQVHJHQVNDSHQH ,IRUHOLJJHQGHPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHHUGHWVHWWSnHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJHWQRUPDOWSURGXNVMRQVnUIRU VDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWD$QDO\VHQHUHQGHODYHWVW¡UUHSURVMHNW'19*/XWI¡UHUIRU6WDWRLOGHUWLGOLJHUHIHOWL 1RUGVM¡HQRJ1RUVNHKDYHWRSSGDWHUHVPHGKHQV\QWLOPLOM¡ULVLNR$QDO\VHQIRUIHOWVHQWHUHWHUSnEHJ\QW PHQLNNHLQNOXGHUWLLQQHY UHQGHDQDO\VH
0LOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQHUJMHQQRPI¡UWVRPHQVNDGHEDVHUWDQDO\VHLKHQKROGWLO1252*VYHLOHGQLQJIRU JMHQQRPI¡ULQJDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHUIRUSHWUROHXPVDNWLYLWHWHUSnQRUVNVRNNHO2/)0LOM¡ULVLNRHQ YXUGHUHVRSSPRW6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHU
Figur 1-1 /RNDVMRQDY'HOWDRJ2VHEHUJIHOWVHQWHU2VHEHUJ$ORNDVMRQHQHHUPDUNHUWL1RUGVM¡HQ
1.2 Hensikt/formål
6RPIRUEHUHGHOVHWLOGHSODQODJWHRSHUDVMRQHUSn'HOWDHUGHWXWDUEHLGHWHQPLOM¡UHWWHWULVLNRDQDO\VHIRU DNWLYLWHWHQH0LOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQHUJMHQQRPI¡UWVRPHQVNDGHEDVHUWDQDO\VHLKHQKROGWLO1RUVN2OMHRJ
*DVVWLGOLJHUH2/)VLQYHLOHGQLQJIRUJMHQQRPI¡ULQJDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHUIRUSHWUROHXPVDNWLYLWHWHUSn QRUVNVRNNHO2/)(QNRUWEHVNULYHOVHDYPHWRGHQHUJLWWL.DSLWWHO)RU\WWHUOLJHUHLQIRUPDVMRQ KHQYLVHVGHWWLOYHLOHGHUHQ0LOM¡ULVLNRHQYXUGHUHVRSSPRW6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHU
$QDO\VHQYXUGHUHUDNWLYLWHWHQHIRUEnGHHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJHWQRUPDOWSURGXNVMRQVnU
2OMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJHQHUYLVWIRUHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnUIRU'HOWDSUHVHQWHUWL.DSLWWHO,.DSLWWHO HUPLOM¡ULVLNRHQRSSVXPPHUWIRUDOOH9.NDWHJRULHUPHGIRUGHOLQJDYELGUDJIUDRYHUIODWHRJ
VM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJRJSHUDNWLYLWHW
*MHQQRPI¡ULQJDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHU0,5$IRUDNWLYLWHWHUNQ\WWHWWLOOHWLQJDYRJHOOHUSURGXNVMRQDY ROMHRJJDVVSnQRUVNVRNNHOHUSnNUHYGLKHQKROGWLOQRUVNORYYHUN
$QDO\VHQVRPXWI¡UHVIRU6WDWRLOHUGHILQHUWVRPHQVNDGHEDVHUWPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHGHUNRQVHNYHQVHQHDY ROMHXWEOnVQLQJHQHUNQ\WWHWRSSPRWVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQIUHNYHQVHQIRUHQVOLNKHQGHOVHIRUnWDOOIHVWH ULVLNRHQDNXWWHROMHXWVOLSSNDQKDSnXOLNHUHVVXUVHULRPUnGHW5HVVXUVHQHLRPUnGHWVRPEHQ\WWHVL DQDO\VHQRPWDOHVVRP9HUGVDWWHNRV\VWHP.RPSRQHQWHU9.RJHUHQVDPPHQVHWQLQJDYXOLNH G\UHSRSXODVMRQHUVM¡IXJOVM¡SDWWHG\UILVNHDUWHURJKDELWDWHUN\VWVRQHQ)RUnEOLEHWUDNWHWVRPHQ 9.LDQDO\VHQPnXOLNHNUDYWLOIUHGVVWLOOHVVHDYVQLWW
1.3 Statoils akseptkriterier for akutt forurensing
6WDWRLOKDUVRPHQLQWHJUHUWGHODYVHOVNDSHWVVW\ULQJVV\VWHPGHILQHUWDNVHSWNULWHULHQHIRUPLOM¡ULVLNR)RU VDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDHU6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHUEHQ\WWHWLIRUELQGHOVHPHG
JMHQQRPI¡ULQJHQDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQ7DEHOO$NVHSWNULWHULHQHDQJLUGHQ¡YUHJUHQVHQIRUKYD 6WDWRLOKDUGHILQHUWVRPHQDNVHSWDEHOULVLNRNQ\WWHWWLOHJQHDNWLYLWHWHUSnIHOWHWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUHQ JLWWNRQVHNYHQV'LVVHHUIRUPXOHUWVRPPnOSnVNDGHSnQDWXUOLJHUHVVXUVHU9.XWWU\NWYHG YDULJKHWUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGRJXOLNDOYRUOLJKHWVJUDG
6WDWRLODQYHQGHUGHVDPPHDNVHSWNULWHULHULDOOHUHJLRQHUSnQRUVNVRNNHO0LOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQIDQJHURSS HYHQWXHOOHIRUVNMHOOHULPLOM¡VnUEDUKHWLXOLNHUHJLRQHUIRUGLGHQWDUKHQV\QWLOIRUHNRPVWRJVnUEDUKHWDY PLOM¡UHVVXUVHQHLGHWHQNHOWHDQDO\VHRPUnGHWRJIRUGLGHQEHUHJQHUUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGIRUEHU¡UWHUHVVXUVHU 'HWWHI¡UHUWLODWGHWEHUHJQHVHQK¡\HUHPLOM¡ULVLNRLRPUnGHUGHUGHWHUK¡\DQGHODYEHU¡UWHVnUEDUH EHVWDQGHURJUHVVXUVW\SHU$NVHSWNULWHULHQHVHWWHUGHUYHGVWUHQJHUHNUDYWLORSHUDVMRQHULGHQQHW\SH RPUnGHU
$NVHSWNULWHULHQHXWWU\NNHU6WDWRLOVKROGQLQJRPDWQDWXUHQLVW¡UVWPXOLJJUDGVNDOY UHXEHU¡UWDY VHOVNDSHWVDNWLYLWHWHU.ULWHULHQHDQJLUPDNVLPDOWLOODWWK\SSLJKHWDYKHQGHOVHUVRPNDQIRUnUVDNHVNDGH SnPLOM¡HW
Tabell 1-1 6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHRJIHOWVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUIRUXUHQVLQJ Miljøskade Varighet av skaden
(restitusjonstid)
Installasjonsspesifikke akseptkriterier
Feltspesifikke akseptkriterier
0LQGUH PQG±nU [ [
0RGHUDW nU [ [
%HW\GHOLJ nU [ [
$OYRUOLJ !nU [ [
1.4 Gjeldende regelverkskrav
)RUXUHQVQLQJVORYHQIRUPXOHUHUSOLNWHQRPnXQQJnIRUXUHQVQLQJ5DPPHIRUVNULIWHQVWLOOHUNUDYWLOEUXNDY
$/$53SULQVLSSHWRJSULQVLSSHUIRUULVLNRUHGXNVMRQPHGIRUEHKROGRPDWNRVWQDGHQHYHGWLOWDNHQHLNNH VWnULYHVHQWOLJPLVIRUKROGWLOGHQRSSQnGGHULVLNRUHGXNVMRQHQ
6W\ULQJVIRUVNULIWHQNUHYHUDWGHWV¡NHVRPVDPW\NNHIUDQRUVNHP\QGLJKHWHULIRUELQGHOVHPHGDOO W\SHDNWLYLWHWUHODWHUWWLOOHWLQJHWWHURJHOOHUSURGXNVMRQDYROMHRJJDVVLQRUVNVHNWRU,I¡OJH
6W\ULQJVIRUVNULIWHQVNDOGHWXWDUEHLGHVHQPLOM¡UHWWHWULVLNRDQDO\VHRJHQPLOM¡UHWWHW EHUHGVNDSVDQDO\VHLIRUELQGHOVHPHGDNWLYLWHWHQ
$NWLYLWHWVIRUVNULIWHQVWLOOHUNUDYWLOEHUHGVNDSVHWDEOHULQJRJNUDYWLOHWDEOHULQJDYEHUHGVNDSVVWUDWHJL
%HUHGVNDSHQVNDOHWDEOHUHVEDVHUWSnPLOM¡UHWWHGHULVLNRRJEHUHGVNDSVDQDO\VHURJGHWVNDOY UHHQ VDPPHQKHQJPHOORPPLOM¡ULVLNRRJEHUHGVNDSVQLYn%HUHGVNDSHQVNDOLYDUHWDKDYN\VWRJVWUDQGVRQH 9LGHUHVWLOOHU5DPPHIRUVNULIWHQNUDYWLODWRSHUDW¡UHQHVNDOVDPDUEHLGHRPEHUHGVNDSPRWDNXWW
IRUXUHQVQLQJJMHQQRPUHJLRQHUPHGIHOOHVEHUHGVNDSVSODQHURJEHUHGVNDSVUHVVXUVHU6W\ULQJVIRUVNULIWHQ VWLOOHUNUDYWLOHWDEOHULQJDYEDUULHUHUEnGHIRUnKLQGUHHQKHQGHOVHLnRSSVWnVDPW
NRQVHNYHQVUHGXVHUHQGHWLOWDN(WVDPPHQGUDJDYRYHQQHYQWHDQDO\VHUVDPWHQEHVNULYHOVHDYKYRUGDQ GHQSODQODJWHEHUHGVNDSHQPRWDNXWWIRUXUHQVQLQJHULYDUHWDWWVNDOVHQGHVP\QGLJKHWHQHLWLOVWUHNNHOLJ WLGI¡UDNWLYLWHWHQVWDUWHUQRUPDOWLIRUELQGHOVHPHGVDPW\NNHV¡NQDGHQMIU6W\ULQJVIRUVNULIWHQ
5HJHOYHUNHWIRUSHWUROHXPVYLUNVRPKHWILQQHVSn
KWWSZZZSWLOQRVW\ULQJVIRUVNULIWHQFDWHJRU\KWPO
1.5 Rapportoppbygning
2SSE\JQLQJHQDYUDSSRUWHQLOOXVWUHUHVL)LJXU.DSLWWHOKHQYLVQLQJHQHXWHQIRUILJXUHQDQJLUKYRUXOLNH W\SHULQIRUPDVMRQSUHVHQWHUHVRJNRPPHQWHUHVLUDSSRUWHQ
Figur 1-2 'HOSURVHVVHQLHQPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHIUDLQQJDQJVGDWDWLONRQNOXVMRQ.DSLWWHOKHQYLVQLQJHQ DQJLUKYRULUDSSRUWHQXOLNHW\SHULQIRUPDVMRQHQSUHVHQWHUHVRJNRPPHQWHUHV
2 BESKRIVELSE AV UTBLÅSNINGSSCENARIER
,I¡OJHQGHNDSLWWHOHUGHXOLNHXWEOnVQLQJVVFHQDULHQHEHVNUHYHWIRU'HOWDPHGWLOK¡UHQGHDNWLYLWHWHU
2.1 Innledning
6WDWRLOKDUXWI¡UWULVLNRYXUGHULQJPHGKHQV\QWLOROMHXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDRJEHUHJQHWVDQQV\QOLJKHW PHGWLOK¡UHQGHXWEOnVQLQJVUDWHURJ±YDULJKHWHU6WDWRLO)RUHOLJJHQGHDQDO\VHVHUSnHW
K¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJHWQRUPDOWSURGXNVMRQVnUIRU'HOWD)LJXUYLVHU2VHEHUJIHOWVHQWHULGHQQRUGOLJH GHOHQDY1RUGVM¡HQ
Figur 2-1 2VHEHUJIHOWVHQWHU2VHEHUJ$%RJ'LQRUGOLJHGHOHQDY1RUGVM¡HQ6WDWRLO
2.2 Aktivitetsoversikt og utblåsningssannsynligheter
$NWLYLWHWVRYHUVLNWRJVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUXWEOnVQLQJIRU'HOWDLHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnUHUYLVWL7DEHOORJ PHGVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJL7DEHOO
$NWLYLWHWVRYHUVLNWRJVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUXWEOnVQLQJIRU'HOWDLHWQRUPDOWDNWLYLWHWVnUHUYLVWL 7DEHOORJPHGVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJL7DEHOO
Tabell 2-1$NWLYLWHWVRYHUVLNWRJVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUXWEOnVQLQJSHUDNWLYLWHWIRU'HOWDLHW høyaktivitetsår6WDWRLO
Aktivitet Totalt antall
operasjoner
Frekvens
Frekvens per
operasjon Total frekvens
%RULQJROMHEU¡QQ [ [
.RPSOHWWHULQJROMHEU¡QQ [ [
3URGXNVMRQROMHEU¡QQ [ [
*DVVLQMHNVMRQJDVVEU¡QQ [ [
Totalt 8,55 x 10-4
Tabell 2-26DQQV\QOLJKHWIRURYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRU'HOWDLHWhøyaktivitetsår Utblåsningslokasjon Fordeling av
utslipp
2YHUIODWH
6M¡EXQQ
Tabell 2-3 $NWLYLWHWVRYHUVLNWRJVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUXWEOnVQLQJSHUDNWLYLWHWIRU'HOWDLHWnormalt aktivitetsår6WDWRLO
Aktivitet Totalt antall
operasjoner
Frekvens
Frekvens per
operasjon Total frekvens
%RULQJROMHEU¡QQ [ [
.RPSOHWWHULQJROMHEU¡QQ [ [
3URGXNVMRQROMHEU¡QQ [ [
*DVVLQMHNVMRQVEU¡QQJDVVEU¡QQ [ [
Totalt 4,59 x 10-4
Tabell 2-4 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRURYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRU'HOWDLHWnormalt aktivitetsår Utblåsningslokasjon Fordeling av
utslipp
2YHUIODWH
6M¡EXQQ
2.3 Utblåsningsrater og varigheter
7DEHOODQJLUUDWHRJYDULJKHWVIRUGHOLQJIRUXWEOnVQLQJIUDVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDLHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJ 7DEHOOYLVHUIRUGHOLQJHQIRUHWQRUPDOWDNWLYLWHWVnU)RU'HOWDHUG¡JQEHQ\WWHWVRPOHQJVWH YDULJKHW5DWHYXUGHULQJHQHRPIDWWHUDOOHEU¡QQHURJDOOHRSHUDVMRQHULEU¡QQHULQNOXVLYHERULQJDY SURGXNVMRQVEU¡QQHUNRPSOHWWHULQJHUEU¡QQHULGULIWVDPWJDVVLQMHNVMRQVEU¡QQHUVOLNGHWDQWDVDW DNWLYLWHWVQLYnHWHULHWnUPHGK¡\DNWLYLWHWRJLHWnUPHGQRUPDOSURGXNVMRQ
9HNWHWYDULJKHWIRUKHQKROGVYLVHQRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRU'HOWDHURJG¡JQ Tabell 2-5 5DWHRJYDULJKHWVIRUGHOLQJIRUXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDLHWhøyaktivitetsår6WDWRLO
Utslipps- sted
Fordeling overflate/
sjøbunn
Rate Sm3/d
Varigheter (døgn) og sannsynlighetsfordeling for de ulike
varighetene Sannsynlighet
for raten
2 5 14 35 91
2YHUIODWH
6M¡EXQQ
Tabell 2-6 5DWHRJYDULJKHWVIRUGHOLQJIRUXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDLHWnormalt aktivitetsår6WDWRLO
Utslipps- sted
Fordeling overflate/
sjøbunn
Rate Sm3/d
Varigheter (døgn) og sannsynlighetsfordeling for de ulike
varighetene Sannsynlighet
for raten
2 5 14 35 91
2YHUIODWH
6M¡EXQQ
3 OLJEDRIFTSMODELLERING
,GHWWHNDSLWOHWEOLU2VHEHUJ6¡UUnROMHQVHJHQVNDSHUROMHGULIWVPRGHOOHQRJPRGHOOHQVEHJUHQVQLQJHU EHVNUHYHW(QNRUWEHVNULYHOVHDYXWEOnVQLQJVVFHQDULHQHRJUHVXOWDWHQHIUDROMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJHQHU RJVnLQNOXGHUWLLQQHY UHQGHNDSLWWHO
3.1 Oljetype og oljens egenskaper
,PRGHOOHULQJDYROMHGULIWHWWHUXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDEHQ\WWHV2VHEHUJ6¡UROMHQ
%DNJUXQQVLQIRUPDVMRQHQHULQQKHQWHWIUDIRUYLWULQJVVWXGLHQJMHQQRPI¡UWDY6,17()2VHEHUJ6¡UL 6,17()
2VHEHUJ6¡UROMHQHUHQSDUDILQVNUnROMHRJKDUHQPLGGHOVWHWWKHWNJPPHGHWODYW
DVIDOWHQLQQKROGRJPLGGHOVYRNVLQQKROGVRPUHVXOWHUHULHQUHODWLYWK¡\IRUGDPSQLQJ2VHEHUJ6¡UROMHQ KDUHWUHODWLYWK¡\WVWLYQHSXQNW&RJGHWNDQGHUIRUILQQHVPXOLJKHWHUIRUDWROMHQVWLYQHUSn RYHUIODWHQ6,17()
.DUDNWHULVWLNNHUIRU2VHEHUJ6¡UROMHQHUVDPPHQIDWWHWL7DEHOO
Tabell 3-1 3DUDPHWHUHIRU2VHEHUJ6¡UUnROMHEHQ\WWHWLVSUHGQLQJVEHUHJQLQJHQHIRUVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWD 6,17()
Parameter Oseberg Sør
2OMHWHWWKHW>NJPñ@
0DNVLPXP YDQQLQQKROG YHG
&>YROXP@
9LVNRVLWHWIHUVNROMHYHG&
V>F3@
9RNVLQQKROGIHUVNROMH>YHNW@
$VIDOWHQLQQKROGIHUVNROMH
>YHNW@
3.2 Oljedriftsmodellen
2OMHGULIWVPRGHOOHQVRPHUDQYHQGWHU6,17()V26&$5PRGHOO2LO6SLOO&RQWLQJHQF\$QG5HVSRQVH 6,17()26&$5HUHQWUHGLPHQVMRQDOROMHGULIWVPRGHOOVRPEHUHJQHUROMHPHQJGHSn
KDYRYHUIODWHQSnVWUDQGRJLVHGLPHQWHUVDPWNRQVHQWUDVMRQHULYDQQV¡\OHQ5HVXOWDWHUIUD26&$5HUL WUHI\VLVNHGLPHQVMRQHUVDPWWLG0RGHOOHQLQQHKROGHUGDWDEDVHUIRUXOLNHROMHW\SHUPHGWLOK¡UHQGH I\VLVNHRJNMHPLVNHNRPSRQHQWHUYDQQG\SVHGLPHQWW\SHURJVWUDQGW\SHU2OMHGULIWVVLPXOHULQJHQHHU NM¡UWLHWîNPUXWHQHWWPHGHQVY UWGHWDOMHUWN\VWOLQMH2SSO¡VQLQJ,HWWHUNDQWHU ROMHGULIWVUHVXOWDWHQHHNVSRUWHUWWLOîNPUXWHQHWWWLOEUXNLPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VH,QIOXHQVRPUnGHQHL GHQQHUDSSRUWHQHURJVnSUHVHQWHUWLîNPUXWHQHWW
)RUVM¡EXQQVXWVOLSSHQHEOLUHQHJHQPRGXOL26&$5DQYHQGWHQQ UVRQHPRGHOOVRPEHUHJQHUGHQ I¡UVWHIDVHQDYVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQ-RKDQVHQ'HQEHVNULYHUKYRUGDQSOXPHQROMHJDVVRJ YDQQSDNNHQRSSI¡UHUVHJIUDVM¡EXQQWLORYHUIODWHHOOHUWLOHWHYHQWXHOWLQQODJULQJVG\S1 UVRQHPRGHOOHQ EHUHJQHUSOXPHQVIRUW\QQLQJRJVWLJHWLGRSSRYHULYDQQV¡\OHQ0RGHOOHQWDURJVnKHQV\QWLO
RSSGULIWVHIIHNWHUDYROMHRJJDVVWHWWKHWVVMLNWQLQJHQLGHWRPNULQJOLJJHQGHRPUnGHWVDPWVLGHVWU¡P)RU VM¡EXQQVXWVOLSSHQHHUYHUWLNDOSURILOLYDQQPDVVHQHPHGKHQV\QWLOWHPSHUDWXURJVDOLQLWHWODJWLQQL PRGHOONM¡ULQJHQH/HYLWXV/HYLWXV
)LOPW\NNHOVHQVRPGDQQHVSnRYHUIODWHQHWWHUHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJEHUHJQHVLQ UVRQHPRGHOOHULQJHQ )RURYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJHQHUGHQLQLWLDOHROMHILOPW\NNHOVHQVDWWWLOPP
)RUnEHVWHPPHROMHQVGULIWRJVNMHEQHSnRYHUIODWHQEHUHJQHUPRGHOOHQRYHUIODWHVSHQQLQJWUDQVSRUWDY IODNGLVSHUJHULQJDYROMHQHGLYDQQPDVVHQHIRUGDPSQLQJHPXOVMRQRJVWUDQGLQJ,YDQQNRORQQHQEOLU GHWVLPXOHUWKRULVRQWDORJYHUWLNDOWUDQVSRUWRSSO¡VQLQJDYROMHNRPSRQHQWHUDGVRUSVMRQDYVHWQLQJHUL VHGLPHQWHUVDPWQHGEU\WQLQJ
26&$5EHQ\WWHUEnGHWRRJWUHGLPHQVMRQDOHVWU¡PGDWDIUDK\GURG\QDPLVNHPRGHOOHU'HWHUJHQHUHUW KLVWRULVNHGDJVJMHQQRPVQLWWOLJHVWU¡PGDWDIUDSHULRGHQPHGîNPRSSO¡VQLQJ'DWDVHWWHW HURSSDUEHLGHWDY+DYIRUVNQLQJVLQVWLWXWWHW+,RJEHKDQGOHWYLGHUHDY6,17()'DWDVHWWHWLQQHKROGHU EnGHRYHUIODWHVWU¡PRJVWU¡PQHGRYHULYDQQV¡\OHQ'HQK¡\HUHKRULVRQWDOHRSSO¡VQLQJHQ
VDPPHQOLJQHWPHGWLGOLJHUHVWXGLHUSnVWU¡PGDWDHQHJLUHQEHGUHEHVNULYHOVHDYVWU¡PIRUKROGHQHL KDYRPUnGHQHRJVSHVLHOWLQQRYHULN\VWVRQHQRJIMRUGHU'HQQRUVNHN\VWVWU¡PPHQYLOO¡VHVEHGUHRSS PHGIOHUHVWU¡PSXQNWHUQRHVRPYLOI¡UHWLOHQNUDIWLJHUHRSSOHYHOVHDYN\VWVWU¡PPHQ'HWWHYLOJLHQ VW¡UUHVSUHGQLQJDYROMHVSHVLHOWLQRUGOLJUHWQLQJVDPPHQOLJQHWPHGWLGOLJHUHVWXGLHU(QEHJUHQVQLQJ YHGnEHQ\WWHGDJVJMHQQRPVQLWWOLJHVWU¡PGDWDHUDWHIIHNWHQDYWLGHYDQQVVWU¡PPHUIDOOHUERUW'HWWHHU NRPELQHUWPHGKLVWRULVNHYLQGGDWDIUD0HWHRURORJLVNLQVWLWXWWPHGîNPRSSO¡VLQJIUDSHULRGHQ PHGWLGVLQWHUYDOOWUHWLPHU
6WRNDVWLVNHVLPXOHULQJHUPHGIRUVNMHOOLJHVWDUWWLGVSXQNWHUHUPRGHOOHUW,GHVWRNDVWLVNHPRGHOOHULQJHQH HUHWEHVWHPWDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUXWI¡UWHWWHUKYHUDQGUHLpQNM¡ULQJ$QWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUIRUGHXOLNH VFHQDULHQHDYKHQJHUDYXWVOLSSVYDULJKHWHQRJPnOHWHUnKDWLOVWUHNNHOLJDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUVOLNDW SHULRGHQGHWPRGHOOHUHVIRUnUVWLGHOOHUKHOHnUHWHUGHNNHWDYKLVWRULVNYDULDELOLWHWLVWU¡PRJYLQG )¡OJHWLGHQWLOKYHUROMHSDUWLNNHOVRPVOLSSHVXWHUVLPXOHUWYDULJKHWIRUHWXWEOnVLQJVVFHQDULRSOXVV G¡JQ$QWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUYDULHUHUIUDSHUnUYHGGDJHUVXWEOnVQLQJVYDULJKHWWLOIRUGDJHUV YDULJKHW2OMHGULIWVVLPXOHULQJHQHHUXWI¡UWIRUKHOHnUHW
)RUnNXQQHEHUHJQHVWDWLVWLVNHUHVXOWDWHUHUROMHGULIWVSDUDPHWHUHDNNXPXOHUWIRUKYHUVLPXOHULQJLKYHU EHU¡UWHUXWH'LVVHUHVXOWDWHQHHULJMHQEUXNWIRUEODnEHUHJQHWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWHULHQJLWWUXWH 7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWHUKHUGHILQHUWVRPDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUDYWRWDOWDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUKYRUHW
ROMHIODNSDUWLNNHOSnKDYRYHUIODWHQKDUWUXIIHWHQîNPUXWHXDYKHQJLJDYKYRUOHQJHGHWKDUY UW ROMHLUXWHQ
3.3 Modellens begrensning og krav til inngangsdata
(QKYHUPRGHOOYLOQ¡GYHQGLJYLVY UHHQIRUHQNOLQJDYYLUNHOLJKHWHQ'HWWHPHGI¡UHUDWGHWYLOY UHHW YLVVWDYYLNPHOORPPRGHOOHQVSUHGLNVMRQHURJYLUNHOLJKHWHQPHQGHWNDQVDPWLGLJY UHPHGSnnJM¡UH GHWHQNOHUHnDYGHNNHRJIRUVWnJHQHUHOOHWUHQGHURJIHQRPHQHULSURVHVVHUVRPVWXGHUHV,GHWWH NDSLWWHOHWSnSHNHVQRHQDYGHYLNWLJVWHNMHQWHIRUHQNOLQJHQHRJDQWDNHOVHQHL26&$5,WLOOHJJJM¡UHVGHW UHGHIRUXVLNNHUKHWHUVRPI¡OJHDYPRGHOOHQVRSSE\JQLQJVnYHOVRPRSSVHWWHWDYVLPXOHULQJHQHRJ LQQJDQJVGDWDHQHVRPHUEHQ\WWHW
0RGHOOHULQJHQDYXOLNHSURVHVVHUVRPIMHUQHUIRUXUHQVQLQJHQIUDHQVLPXOHULQJHUVSHVLHOWLQWHUHVVDQWGD GHQQHKDUVWRUHIIHNWSnRPIDQJHWDYHYHQWXHOOHVNDGHYLUNQLQJHULNM¡OYDQQHWDYHW
ROMHXWVOLSSROMHXWEOnVQLQJ2OMHL26&$5IMHUQHVIUDPLOM¡HWJMHQQRPIRUGDPSQLQJGHJUDGHULQJRJ HYHQWXHOWPHNDQLVNRSSVDPOLQJ9LGHUHNDQROMHWLOHQYLVVJUDGLPPRELOLVHUHVSnVWUDQGRJLVHGLPHQWHU
$YHIIHNWLYLWHWVKHQV\QI¡OJHVLNNHVHGLPHQWHUWROMHLVWRNDVWLVNHVLPXOHULQJHU2OMHSnVWUDQGGHJUDGHUHU EnGHLYLUNHOLJKHWHQRJLPRGHOOHQPHQGHWWHVNMHUVDNWHUHHQQIRUROMHLYDQQNRORQQHQ2OMHNDQ WUDQVSRUWHUHVXWDYGHWPRGHOOHUWHRPUnGHWPHQPRGHOOEHUHJQLQJHQHVHWWHVQRUPDOWRSSVOLNDWGHWWHL YHUVWHIDOOEDUHJMHOGHUHQOLWHQDQGHODYGHWWRWDOHXWVOLSSHW,WLOOHJJWLOGHJUDGHULQJYLOIRUW\QQLQJDY ROMHQLYDQQNRORQQHQY UHHQYLNWLJNLOGHWLODWHIIHNWHQDYHWXWVOLSSUHGXVHUHVRYHUWLG-RKDQVHQ 26&$5HUHQSDUWLNNHOEDVHUWPRGHOOKYRUROMHRJNMHPLNDOLHULPRGHOOHQUHSUHVHQWHUHVVRPHWVHWWPHG SDUWLNOHU+YHUSDUWLNNHOKDUHQUHNNHHJHQVNDSHUVRPIRUDQGUHUVHJLO¡SHWDYHQVLPXOHULQJ'HWWH LQNOXGHUHUJHQHUHOOHHJHQVNDSHUVRPSRVLVMRQPDVVHRJI\VLVNXWVWUHNQLQJVnYHOVRPHJHQVNDSHU NQ\WWHWVSHVLHOWWLOROMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJYLVNRVLWHWYDQQLQQKROGNMHPLVNVDPPHQVHWQLQJYDQQO¡VHOLJKHW RJDQGUHHJHQVNDSHUIRUGHQEHQ\WWHGHROMHQ
,26&$5ILQQHVGHWWUHKRYHGW\SHUDYSDUWLNOHU'LVVHUHSUHVHQWHUHUKHQKROGVYLVNMHPLNDOLHUVRPHUO¡VWL YDQQHWGUnSHVN\HULYDQQNRORQQHQVRPI¡OJHDYNMHPLVNHOOHUQDWXUOLJGLVSHUJHULQJRJROMHSn
KDYRYHUIODWHQ
(QVLPXOHULQJEHVWnUDYHQUHNNHWLGVVWHJKYRUSDUWLNOHQHVHJHQVNDSHUIRUDQGUHV x 3DUWLNOHQHVSRVLVMRQHQGUHVVRPI¡OJHDYSnGUDJIUDYLQGRJVWU¡P
x 0DVVHQRJGHQNMHPLVNHVDPPHQVHWQLQJHQHQGUHVVRPI¡OJHDYEODQWDQQHWIRUGDPSQLQJ ELRGHJUDGHULQJRJXWO¡VQLQJIUDGUnSHVN\HURJRYHUIODWHIODNWLOO¡VWHNRPSRQHQWHU x 9DQQRSSWDNRJYLVNRVLWHWHQGUHVVRPGHODYHQNRPSOHNVIRUYLWULQJVSURVHVV
,WLOOHJJNDQSDUWLNOHUJnIUDnUHSUHVHQWHUHGUnSHVN\HUWLOnUHSUHVHQWHUHRYHUIODWHIODNRJPRWVDWW 'UnSHVN\HUNDQVWLJHWLORYHUIODWHQVRPI¡OJHDYROMHQVRSSGULIWRJRYHUIODWHIODNNDQEODQGHVQHGL YDQQNRORQQHQVRPI¡OJHDYYLQGLQGXVHUWHE¡OJHURJWXUEXOHQV
6RPYHGHQKYHUIRUHQNOLQJDYHQNRPSOHNVNRQWLQXHUOLJSURVHVVYLOHQSDUWLNNHOEDVHUWPRGHOOY UH I¡OVRPIRUKYLONHQRSSO¡VQLQJVRPYHOJHV+YLVGHWEHQ\WWHVIOHUHSDUWLNOHULEHUHJQLQJHQHHUGHWVW¡UUH SRWHQVLDOIRUnRSSQnUHDOLVWLVNHVLPXOHULQJHUJLWWVWU¡PYLQGG\EGHRJN\VWGDWD)OHUHSDUWLNOHU EHW\ULPLGOHUWLGRJVnPHUUHVVXUVNUHYHQGHEHUHJQLQJHURJGHWHQGHOLJHYDOJDYRSSO¡VQLQJEOLUHQ DYYHLLQJPHOORPWLOJMHQJHOLJUHJQHNDSDVLWHWRJQ\WWHQDYn¡NHRSSO¡VQLQJHQ\WWHUOLJHUH'HWHULGHQQH DQDO\VHQEUXNWHWVWDQGDUGLVHUWRSSVHWWPHGSDUWLNOHU
%HDUEHLGLQJRJJHQHUHULQJDYVWDWLVWLVNHSDUDPHWHUH
%DVHUWSnGHVWRNDVWLVNHUHVXOWDWHQHIUD26&$5EHUHJQHVROMHGULIWVWDWLVWLNNWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWROMHRJ HPXOVMRQVPHQJGHWRWDOK\GURNDUERQNRQVHQWUDVMRQHURJVWUDQGLQJVPHQJGHUIRUIRUKnQGVGHILQHUWHî NPN\VWUXWHU
2OMHGULIWVWDWLVWLNNIRUnSHQWKDYHUSUHVHQWHUWVRPPLGGHOYHUGLHUDYGHIDNWLVNHSDUDPHWHUH+YHUJDQJ HQROMHSDUWLNNHOQnUHQQ\UXWHYLOUHOHYDQWHSDUDPHWHUHRJDQWDOOWUHIILUXWHQEOLRSSGDWHUW1nUDOOH XWEOnVQLQJXWVOLSSVVFHQDULHQHHUVLPXOHUWYLOVWDWLVWLNNIRUKYHUUXWHVWUDQGLQJVDUHDORJLQIOXHQVRPUnGHW EHUHJQHV
'HVWDWLVWLVNHUXWHQHWWSDUDPHWHUQHVRPSUHVHQWHUHLGHQQHUDSSRUWHQHU
x TreffsannsynlighetGHILQHUHVVRPGHWUHODWLYHDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUDYWRWDOHDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHU KYRUHWROMHIODNHQSDUWLNNHOSnKDYRYHUIODWHQKDUWUXIIHWHQUXWH,QIOXHQVRPUnGHGHILQHUHVVRP RPUnGHWPHGHQWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHW!IRUPHUHQQWRQQROMHLHQîNPUXWH x Treffsannsynligheten for ulike oljemengdekategorierWRQQWRQQ
WRQQVDPW!WRQQ'HILQHUHVVRPGHWUHODWLYHDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUDYWRWDOWDQWDOO VLPXOHULQJHUKYRUHWROMHIODNHQSDUWLNNHOSnKDYRYHUIODWHQKDUWUXIIHWHQUXWHLGHQEHVWHPWH ROMHPHQJGHNDWHJRULHQ
x Vannsøylekonsentrasjoner (Total hydrokarbonkonsentrasjoner)GHILQHUHVVRP JMHQQRPVQLWWVWDOORYHUDOOHVLPXOHULQJHUEDVHUWSnWLGVPLGOHWPDNVLPDOHYHUGLHURYHUHQ VLPXOHULQJLYDQQV¡\OHQIRUWRWDOROMHNRQVHQWUDVMRQ7+&!SSEGYVEnGHO¡VWHIUDNVMRQHU RJROMHGUnSHU
3.4 Beskrivelse av utblåsningsscenarier
2OMHGULIWVEHUHJQLQJHQHHUJMHQQRPI¡UWIRUHQORNDVMRQ'HOWDPHGSRVLVMRQ1
+DYG\SHWIRU'HOWDHUPHWHU6SUHGQLQJVPRGHOOHULQJHUHUJMHQQRPI¡UWIRURYHUIODWHRJ VM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWD6SUHGQLQJVEHUHJQLQJHQHIRUXWVOLSSDYROMHHUNM¡UWIRUYDULJKHWHU)RU 'HOWDHUGHWEHQ\WWHWXWEOnVQLQJVUDWHIRUEnGHRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQ,
ROMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJHQHHUGHWNM¡UWWLOVWUHNNHOLJDQWDOOVLPXOHULQJHUIRUnGHNNHLQQYDULDVMRQHULYLQGRJ KDYVWU¡PPHUJMHQQRPnUHW
)RUPRGHOOHULQJDYVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQHEOHGHWEHQ\WWHW*25*DVVROMHIRUKROGOLN6P6P IRUXWEOnVQLQJHQIUD'HOWD6WDWRLO'HWHUODJWWLOJUXQQDWJDVVHQLUHVHUYRDUHQHVRPGULYHU ROMHQRSSWLORYHUIODWHQHUPHWDQ'HVWDWLVWLVNHROMHGULIWVUHVXOWDWHQHHUSUHVHQWHUWLHWUXWHQHWWVRPKDU HQKRULVRQWDORSSO¡VQLQJSnîNP
3.5 Oljedriftsmodellering – Resultater
,GHWWHNDSLWWHOHWHUUHVXOWDWHQHIUDROMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJHQIRUXWEOnVQLQJVVFHQDULHWIRU'HOWDSUHVHQWHUW 7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWDYROMHSnRYHUIODWHQVWUDQGLQJDYROMHLN\VWVRQHQRJYDQQV¡\OHNRQVHQWUDVMRQHUHU SUHVHQWHUWKYHUIRUVHJ
1 UVRQHPRGHOOHULQJDYVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ
6LPXOHULQJVUHVXOWDWHQHIRUVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDYLVHUDWROMHSOXPHQVWLJHUWLOKDYRYHUIODWHQL O¡SHWDYVHNXQGHU2OMHQIUDSOXPHQGDQQHUHQROMHILOPPHGW\NNHOVHPPSnKDYRYHUIODWHQ IRUXWVDWWHQ*25Sn6P6PIRU2VHEHUJ6¡UROMHQ)RUnEHUHJQHYHUGLHQHHUYHNWHWUDWHIRU VM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQHPHGYHNWHWYDULJKHWSnG¡JQEHQ\WWHWLHQHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJQRHVRPJLUHQ JRGLQGLNDVMRQSnRSSI¡UVHOHQWLOROMHSOXPHQ
7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWDYROMHSnRYHUIODWHQ
)RUPRGHOOHUWHRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHUHUGHWJHQHUHUWROMHGULIWVVWDWLVWLNNSnUXWHQLYnh NPUXWHUIRUILUHVHVRQJHU
x 9nUPDUVPDL x 6RPPHUMXQLDXJXVW x +¡VWVHSWHPEHUQRYHPEHU x 9LQWHUGHVHPEHUIHEUXDU
,QIOXHQVRPUnGHQHJLWWHQXWEOnVQLQJIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQIUD'HOWDLGHXOLNH VHVRQJHQHHUSUHVHQWHUWL)LJXURJ)LJXU
2OMHPHQJGHNDWHJRULHQHHUSUHVHQWHUWIRURYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJL)LJXURJ)LJXURJHU EDVHUWSnKHOnUVVWDWLVWLNN0HUNLPLGOHUWLGDWLQIOXHQVRPUnGHQHHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWEOnVQLQJVUDWHURJ YDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHURJDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHWDYHQ HQNHOWROMHXWEOnVQLQJPHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIWRJ VSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRUKYHUVHVRQJ
5HVXOWDWHQHVRPYLVHUWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWDY!WRQQROMHSnLîNPVM¡UXWHUKDUWLOQ UPHWOLNH LQIOXHQVRPUnGHUIRURYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQ,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWJLWWHQRYHUIODWHRJ
VM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHUVW¡UVWLXWVWUHNQLQJRPVRPPHUHQ,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWKYRUVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQHU VW¡UUHHQQRUDQVMHWLOU¡GWLILJXUHQHHUNRQVHQWUHUWUXQGW'HOWDORNDVMRQHQJLWWEnGHHQ RYHUIODWHRJHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ
5HVXOWDWHQHVRPYLVHUWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWDYXOLNHROMHPHQJGHUSnRYHUIODWHQJLUVW¡UVWLQIOXHQVRPUnGHUL NDWHJRULHQWRQQROMHPHQPHGEHJUHQVHWWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWSnPDNVLPDOWKYRURPUnGHWIRU RYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJHQHUQRHVW¡UUH,GHDQGUHNDWHJRULHQHHULQIOXHQVRPUnGHQHPHUEHJUHQVHWRJ PDNVLPDOWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU
Figur 3-1 6DQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUWUHIIDY!WRQQROMHLîNPVM¡UXWHUJLWWHQoverflateutblåsning IUDDelta 2,SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHURJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHV LQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHWDYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSS PHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLıDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIWRJVSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRU KYHUVHVRQJ
Figur 3-2 6DQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUWUHIIDY!WRQQROMHLîNPVM¡UXWHUJLWWHQsjøbunnsutblåsning IUDDelta 2, SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHURJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHV LQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHWDYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSS PHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIWRJVSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRU KYHUVHVRQJ
Figur 3-3 6DQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUWUHIIDYROMHPHQJGHUWRQQWRQQWRQQHOOHU!
WRQQLîNPVM¡UXWHUJLWWHQoverflateutblåsningIUDDelta 2RJEDVHUWSnhelårsstatistikk ,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHURJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU VWRNDVWLVNVLPXOHULQJ0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHWDYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSSPHQ HUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIWRJVSUHGQLQJ
Figur 3-4 6DQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUWUHIIDYROMHPHQJGHUWRQQWRQQWRQQHOOHU!
WRQQLîNPVM¡UXWHUJLWWHQsjøbunnsutblåsning IUDDelta 2RJEDVHUWSnhelårsstatistikk ,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHURJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU VWRNDVWLVNVLPXOHULQJ0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHWDYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSSPHQ HUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIWRJVSUHGQLQJ
6WUDQGLQJDYROMHLN\VWVRQH
/DQGUXWHQHVRPKDUVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUVWUDQGLQJDYPHUHQQHWWWRQQROMHSHUîNPUXWHU SHUVHVRQJHUYLVWL)LJXUJLWWHQRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJRJ)LJXUJLWWHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ 'HQPDNVLPDOHWUHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRU!WRQQROMHIRUVWUDQGLQJRYHUVWLJHULNNH
,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWVWUHNNHUVHJODQJVN\VWHQIUD'HOWDVEUHGGHJUDGQRUGRYHUODQJVN\VWHQDY9HVWODQGHW RJLQQL7U¡QGHODJ
.RUWHVWHDQNRPVWWLGWLOODQGRJVW¡UVWHVWUDQGLQJVPHQJGHUDYROMHRJHPXOVMRQHUYLVWL 7DEHOO RJSHUVHQWLOHU
Tabell 3-2 6WUDQGLQJVPHQJGHUPHGROMHHPXOVMRQRJNRUWHVWGULYWLGWLOODQGIRU'HOWDJLWWHQRYHUIODWH RJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJRJSHUVHQWLOHU6RPPHUHUWLGVURPPHWDSULOWLOVHSWHPEHUPHQV YLQWHUSHULRGHQHURNWREHUWLOPDUV
Persentil
Høyaktivitetsår Normalt produksjonsår
Strandet emulsjon
(tonn) Drivtid (døgn) Strandet emulsjon
(tonn) Drivtid (døgn) Sommer Vinter Sommer Vinter Sommer Vinter Sommer Vinter
'ULYWLGRJPHQJGHVWUDQGHWHPXOVMRQLQQWLOHNVHPSHORPUnGHQHVRPEHU¡UHVJLWWHQXWEOnVLQJIUD'HOWD HUYLVWL7DEHOO/RNDVMRQDYHNVHPSHORPUnGHQHHUJLWWL)LJXU
Tabell 3-3 (NVHPSHORPUnGHUVRPEOLUWUXIIHWDYROMHHPXOVMRQJLWWHWXWVOLSSIUD'HOWDIRUGHOWSn VRPPHURJYLQWHUVHVRQJHQSHUVHQWLO6RPPHUHUWLGVURPPHWDSULOWLOVHSWHPEHUPHQV YLQWHUSHULRGHQHURNWREHUWLOPDUV
Eksempelområde
Høyaktivitetsår Normalt produksjonsår Strandet
emulsjon (tonn) Drivtid (døgn) Strandet
emulsjon (tonn) Drivtid (døgn) Sommer Vinter Sommer Vinter Sommer Vinter Sommer Vinter Atløy -
Værlandet
Frøya og Froan
Onøy (Øygarden)
Runde
Sandøy
Sklinna
Smøla
Stadtlandet
Sverslingsosen –
Skorpa
Træna
Vega
Vigra – Godøya
Vikna Vest
Ytre Sula
Figur 3-5 /RNDVMRQDYHNVHPSHORPUnGHQHODQJVQRUVNHN\VWHQ12)2VHNVHPSHORPUnGHURJ ORNDVMRQHQWLOVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDRJ2VHEHUJIHOWVHQWHUKHUYLVWPHGORNDVMRQHQWLO2VHEHUJ$
Figur 3-6 6DQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUWUHIIDYPHUHQQWRQQROMHLîNPN\VWUXWHUJLWWHQ
overflateutblåsningIUDDelta 2, SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHU RJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHW DYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSSPHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLıDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIW RJVSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRUKYHUVHVRQJ
Figur 3-7 6DQQV\QOLJKHWHQIRUWUHIIDYPHUHQQWRQQROMHLîNPN\VWUXWHUJLWWHQ
sjøbunnsutblåsningIUDDelta 2, SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHU RJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHW DYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSSPHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLıDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIW RJVSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRUKYHUVHVRQJ
9DQQV¡\OHNRQVHQWUDVMRQHU
5HVXOWDWHQHDYNRQVHQWUDVMRQVEHUHJQLQJHQHUDSSRUWHUHVYDQOLJYLVVRPWRWDOHNRQVHQWUDVMRQVYHUGLHUDY ROMH7+&LGH¡YHUVWHYDQQPDVVHQHGHWYLOVLDWGHWVNLOOHVLNNHPHOORPGLVSHUJHUWROMHRJO¡VWH
ROMHNRPSRQHQWHU2OMHQLYDQQPDVVHQHYLOLKRYHGVDNVNULYHVHJIUDROMHVRPEODQGHVQHGLYDQQPDVVHQH IUDGULYHQGHROMHIODNQDWXUOLJGLVSHUJHULQJVRPI¡OJHDYYLQGRJE¡OJHU1HGEODQGLQJDYROMHQIUD RYHUIODWHQEHUHJQHVSnEDVLVDYROMHQVHJHQVNDSHURJGHQUnGHQGHVM¡WLOVWDQGHQ
)LJXURJ)LJXUYLVHULQIOXHQVRPUnGHIRU7+&NRQVHQWUDVMRQHUıSSESHUîNPUXWH HIIHNWJUHQVHIRUILVNHHJJRJODUYHUIRUDOOHUDWHURJYDULJKHWVNRPELQDVMRQHUIRUKHQKROGVYLVHQ RYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ
'HWHUVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU7+&NRQVHQWUDVMRQHULDOOHNDWHJRULHUIUDSSEWLO!SSEIRUHQ VM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJPHQVGHWHUNXQWUHIILNDWHJRULHQSSEIRUHQRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJ XDYKHQJLJDYVHVRQJ
,XWVWUHNQLQJHUGHWREVHUYHUWRYHUODSSPHOORPWRELVKDELWDWRJ7+&NRQVHQWUDVMRQHURYHUSSEL RPUnGHWUXQGW2VHEHUJIHOWHW,J\WHRJEHLWHSHULRGHQEHYHJHUWRELVHQVHJRSSRJQHGLYDQQV¡\OHQRJ NDQGHUIRULGLVVHSHULRGHQHY UHGLUHNWHHNVSRQHUWIRUROMH9HGIRUULQJHOVHDYKDELWDWHWEXQQVXEVWUDW HUGHWXYLVVWKYRUGDQWRELVYLOUHDJHUHRPGHQYLOEHYHJHVHJWLOHWQ\WWSDVVHQGHRPUnGHHOOHURPGHQ IRUEOLUVWDVMRQ URJJUDYHUVHJQHG'1
Figur 3-8 %HUHJQHWJMHQQRPVQLWWOLJH7+&NRQVHQWUDVMRQHUıSSELîNPVM¡UXWHUJLWWHQ overflateutblåsning IUDDelta 2, SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHU RJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHW DYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSSPHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLıDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIW RJVSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRUKYHUVHVRQJ
Figur 3-9 %HUHJQHWJMHQQRPVQLWWOLJH7+&NRQVHQWUDVMRQHUıSSELîNPVM¡UXWHUJLWWHQ sjøbunnsutblåsning IUDDelta 2, SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWHUEDVHUWSnDOOHXWVOLSSVUDWHU RJYDULJKHWHURJGHUHVLQGLYLGXHOOHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHU0HUNDWGHWPDUNHUWHRPUnGHWLNNHYLVHURPIDQJHW DYHWHQNHOWROMHXWVOLSSPHQHUGHWRPUnGHWVRPEHU¡UHVLıDYHQNHOWVLPXOHULQJHQHDYROMHQVGULIW RJVSUHGQLQJLQQHQIRUKYHUVHVRQJ
4 METODIKK FOR MILJØRETTET RISIKOANALYSE
$QDO\VHUDYPLOM¡ULVLNRXWI¡UHVWULQQYLVLKHQKROGWLO1RUVN2OMHRJ*DVV1252*YHLOHGQLQJIRU PLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHU2/))RUVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDHUGHWYDOJWnJMHQQRPI¡UHHQVNDGHEDVHUW DQDO\VHIRUGHDQWDWWPHVWVnUEDUHPLOM¡UHVVXUVHQH(WVDPPHQGUDJDYPHWRGLNNHQLPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQ HUEHVNUHYHWQHGHQIRUPHGIRNXVSn9.EHVWDQGHUPHQVGHWKHQYLVHVWLO9HGOHJJ$RJYHLOHGQLQJHQIRU PHUXWI\OOHQGHLQIRUPDVMRQ
%DVHUWSnROMHGULIWVPRGHOOHULQJRJEUXNDYHIIHNWQ¡NOHUEHUHJQHVEHVWDQGVWDSIRUGHQHQNHOWH9.
EHVWDQGVH)LJXU
Figur 4-1 2YHUVLNWRYHUXOLNHWULQQLEHUHJQLQJDYEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRU9.EHVWDQGHU
7ULQQ±WLOUHWWHODJWHXWEUHGHOVHVGDWDIRUGHHQNHOWH9.EHVWDQGHUNRPELQHUHVPHGKYHUHQNHOW ROMHGULIWVVLPXOHULQJ'HWDQYHQGHVHQHIIHNWQ¡NNHOVRPVLHUQRHRPPXOLJEHVWDQGVWDSL[NP JULGUXWHUEDVHUWSnROMHPHQJGHLVLPXOHULQJHQVH7DEHOO8OLNLQGLYLGXHOOVnUEDUKHWIRUROMHJLUXOLN HIIHNWQ¡NNHO
Tabell 4-1 (IIHNWQ¡NNHOIRUEHUHJQLQJDYEHVWDQGVWDSLQQHQIRUHQîNPVM¡UXWHJLWWHNVSRQHULQJ DYROMHIRUGHOWSnILUHNDWHJRULHU9HUGLHUIRUVM¡IXJOHUYDOJWVRPHNVHPSHO
Oljemengde (tonn) i 10 × 10 km rute
Effektnøkkel – akutt dødelighet Individuell sårbarhet av VØK sjøfugl
S1 S2 S3
WRQQ
WRQQ
WRQQ
WRQQ
7ULQQ±WDSVDQGHOHUL[NPUXWHUVXPPHUHVRJJLUHWVDPOHWEHVWDQGVWDSIRUKYHU9.EHVWDQG IRUKYHUVLPXOHULQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHQHIRUGHXOLNHROMHGULIWVVLPXOHULQJHQHNDWHJRULVHUHVL RJPHUHQQ%HVWDQGVWDSXQGHUDQWDVLQJHQNYDQWLILVHUEDUHIIHNWSn UHVWLWXVMRQDYEHVWDQGHQ
7ULQQ±GHWDQYHQGHVGHUHWWHUHQVNDGHQ¡NNHOVRPNQ\WWHUHWJLWWEHVWDQGVWDSIRU9.EHVWDQGHQWLO PLOM¡VNDGH0LOM¡VNDGHXWWU\NNHVYHGWLGHQGHWWDUI¡UHQEHVWDQGHUUHVWLWXHUWWLODYQLYnHWI¡UHQ KHQGHOVHLQQWUHIIHU2/)6RPSnSHNWRYHQIRUYDULHUHUVnUEDUKHWHQPHOORPDUWHURJKDELWDWHU RJUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGHQYLOY UHSnYLUNHWDYGHWWH'HQWHRUHWLVNHUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGHQHULQQGHOWLILUH NDWHJRULHUVH7DEHOO
x 0LQGUHnU
x 0RGHUDWnU
x %HW\GHOLJnURJ x $OYRUOLJ!nU
Tabell 4-26NDGHQ¡NNHOIRUVDQQV\QOLJKHWVIRUGHOLQJDYWHRUHWLVNUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGYHGDNXWW
EHVWDQGVUHGXNVMRQDYVM¡IXJORJPDULQHSDWWHG\UEHVWDQGHUPHGODYWUHVWLWXVMRQVSRWHQVLDOH62/)
Akutt bestandsreduksjon
Konsekvenskategori – miljøskade Teoretisk restitusjonstid i år Mindre
(<1 år)
Moderat 1-3 år
Betydelig 3-10 år
Alvorlig
>10 år
t
%HUHJQLQJHQHVRPJMHQQRPI¡UHVIRUVWUDQGKDELWDWVNLOOHUVHJXWIUD9.EHVWDQGHUYHGDWGHWEHQ\WWHV HQNRPELQHUWHIIHNWRJVNDGHQ¡NNHOVRPNQ\WWHUROMHPHQJGHQLHW[NPKDELWDWGLUHNWHRSSPRW PLOM¡VNDGHRJUHVWLWXVMRQVWLG
7ULQQ±0LOM¡ULVLNREHUHJQHVGHUHWWHUYHGnNRPELQHUHVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUXOLNHPLOM¡VNDGHUPHG IUHNYHQVHQIRUGHWVSHVLILNNHROMHXWVOLSSHWRJNDQPnOHVRSSPRWRSHUDW¡UHQVDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRU PLOM¡VNDGH
5 MILJØBESKRIVELSE
(QNRUWEHVNULYHOVHDYPLOM¡UHVVXUVHULWLONQ\WQLQJWLODQDO\VHRPUnGHWIRUVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDL1RUGVM¡HQHU JLWWL9HGOHJJ&$QDO\VHRPUnGHWLQNOXGHUHUEnGH1RUVNHKDYHWRJ1RUGVM¡HQGDROMHQLVWRUJUDGYLOVSUHV LQRUGOLJUHWQLQJRJLQQL1RUVNHKDYHWJLWWHWXWVOLSSIUD'HOWD)RUHQPHURPIDWWHQGHEHVNULYHOVHDY PLOM¡UHVVXUVHQHLUHJLRQHQKHQYLVHVGHWWLOEODQWDQQHWIRUYDOWQLQJVSODQHQHIRU1RUGVM¡HQRJ
1RUVNHKDYHW'1 +,
5.1 Verdifulle Økosystem Komponenter (VØKer)
6RPXWJDQJVSXQNWIRUPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQHHUGHWJMHQQRPI¡UWHQYXUGHULQJDYKYLONHQDWXUUHVVXUVHU VRPKDUGHWVW¡UVWHNRQIOLNWSRWHQVLDOHWLQQHQLQIOXHQVRPUnGHWWLOVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWD(Q9HUGVDWW
NRV\VWHP.RPSRQHQW9.HUGHILQHUWLYHLOHGQLQJHQIRUJMHQQRPI¡ULQJDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHU2/) VRPHQUHVVXUVHOOHUPLOM¡HJHQVNDSVRP
x (UYLNWLJLNNHEDUH¡NRQRPLVNIRUORNDOEHIRONQLQJHQHOOHU x +DUHQQDVMRQDOHOOHULQWHUQDVMRQDOLQWHUHVVHHOOHU
x +YLVGHQHQGUHVIUDVLQQnY UHQGHWLOVWDQGYLOKDEHW\GQLQJIRUKYRUGDQPLOM¡YLUNQLQJHQHDYHW WLOWDNYXUGHUHVRJIRUKYLONHDYE¡WHQGHWLOWDNVRPYHOJHV
)RUnYHOJHXW9.HULQQHQHWSRWHQVLHOWEHU¡UWRPUnGHEHQ\WWHVI¡OJHQGHSULRULWHULQJVNULWHULHU2/)
x 9.PnY UHHQSRSXODVMRQHOOHUEHVWDQGHWVDPIXQQHOOHUKDELWDWQDWXURPUnGH x 9.PnKDK¡\VnUEDUKHWIRUROMHIRUXUHQVQLQJLGHQDNWXHOOHVHVRQJ
x 9.EHVWDQGPnY UHUHSUHVHQWHUWPHGHQVWRUDQGHOLLQIOXHQVRPUnGHW x 9.EHVWDQGPnY UHWLOVWHGHLHQVWRUDQGHODYnUHWHOOHULGHQDNWXHOOHVHVRQJ x 9.KDELWDWPnKDK¡\VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUnEOLHNVSRQHUWIRUROMHIRUXUHQVQLQJ
9.HUVRPEOLUYDOJWXWIRUDQDO\VHLHQVSHVLILNNRSHUDVMRQNDQUHSUHVHQWHUHHWVSHQQDYUHVVXUVHUVRP YLOELGUDWLOPLOM¡ULVLNRHQIRURSHUDVMRQHQLXOLNJUDG6RPHWPLQLPXPVNDODOOWLGGHQHOOHUGHUHVVXUVHQH VRPHUDQWDWWnELGUDPHVWWLOPLOM¡ULVLNRHQY UHUHSUHVHQWHUWEODQWGHXWYDOJWHUHVVXUVHQH,XWYHOJHOVHQ DY9.HUHUU¡GOLVWHDUWHUVRPHUWLOVWHGHLLQIOXHQVRPUnGHWYXUGHUW
5.2 Utvalg av VØKer
8WYDOJWH9.HUHUEDVHUWSnNULWHULHQHEHVNUHYHWL.DSLWWHORJHUQ UPHUHEHVNUHYHWQHGHQIRU
6M¡IXJO
7DEHOOYLVHUXWYDOJWHVM¡IXJODUWHUSnnSHQWKDYRJN\VWQ UWLQNOXGHUWLPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQIRU'HOWD )OHUHDYGHSHODJLVNHVM¡IXJOHQHLQQJnURJVnLGDWDVHWWHQHIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOGDGHWEHQ\WWHVXOLNH GDWDVHWWIRUGLVVHHWWHUWLOKROGVVWHGLXOLNHGHOHUDYnUHW)RUGLVVHDUWHQHGUHLHUGHWVHJLDOOKRYHGVDNRP KHNNHEHVWDQGHQVRPRSSKROGHUVHJUXQGWKHNNHNRORQLHQHLHQEHJUHQVHWSHULRGHDYnUHWYnUVRPPHU 'HWHUEHQ\WWHWVM¡IXJOGDWDVHWWHQHIRUUHJLRQHQ1RUGVM¡HQRJ1RUVNHKDYHW
Tabell 5-1 8WYDOJWH9.VM¡IXJOIRUPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQIRU'HOWD$UWVGDWDEDQNHQD6HDSRS
Navn Latinsk navn Rødlista Tilhørighet
$ONH $OFDWRUGD 98
3HODJLVNVM¡IXJO nSHQWKDY
$ONHNRQJH $OOHDOOH
*UnPnNH /DUXVDUJHQWDWXV /&
)LVNHPnNH /DUXVFDQXV /&
+DYKHVW )XOPDUXVJODFLDOLV 17
+DYVXOH 0RUXVEDVVDQXV /&
.U\NNMH 5LVVDWULGDFW\OD (1
/RPYL 8ULDDDOJH &5
/XQGH )UDWHUFXODDUFWLFD 98
3RODUORPYL 8ULDORPYLD 98
3RODUPnNH /DUXVK\SHUERUHXV
6LOGHPnNH /DUXVIXVFXV /&
6YDUWEDN /DUXVPDULQXV /&
$ONH $OFDWRUGD 98
.\VWQ UVM¡IXJO
$ONHNRQJH $OOHDOOH
)LVNHPnNH /DUXVFDQXV 17
*UnPnNH /DUXVDUJHQWDWXV /&
+DYHOOH &ODQJXODK\HPDOLV /&
+DYKHVW )XOPDUXVJODFLDOLV 17
+DYVXOH 0RUXVEDVVDQXV /&
.U\NNMH 5LVVDWULGDFW\OD (1
/DNVDQG 0HUJXVPHUJDQVHU /&
/RPYL 8ULDDDOJH &5
/XQGH )UDWHUFXODDUFWLFD 98
3RODUORPYL 8ULDORPYLD 98
3UDNW UIXJO 6RPDWHULDVSHFWDELOLV
6LODQG 0HUJXVVHUUDWRU /&
6M¡RUUH 0HODQLWWDIXVFD 17
6WRUVNDUY 3KDODFURFRUD[FDUER /&
6YDUWEDN /DUXVPDULQXV /&
7HLVW &HSSKXVJU\OOH 98
7RSSVNDUY 3KDODFURFRUD[DULVWRWHOLV /&
UIXJO 6RPDWHULDPROLVVLPD /&
17±1 U7UXHW(1±6WHUNW7UXHW&5±.ULWLVN7UXHW98±6nUEDU/&±/LYVNUDIWLJ
0DULQHSDWWHG\U
+DYHUWRJVWHLQNREEHKDUK¡\HVWVnUEDUKHWXQGHUNDVWHRJKnUIHOOLQJVSHULRGHQGDGHVDPOHUVHJL NRORQLHULN\VWQ UHRPUnGHU,QIOXHQVRPUnGHWWLOVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDVWUHNNHUVHJQRUGRYHUL1RUGVM¡HQRJ LQL1RUVNHKDYHWRJHQHYHQWXHOOXWEOnVQLQJKDUVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUnWUHIIHN\VW'HWHUGHUIRUYDOJWn JMHQQRPI¡UHULVLNREHUHJQLQJHUIRUKDYHUWVWHLQNREEHRJRWHULGHQQHDQDO\VHQ7DEHOOYLVHUGH XWYDOJWH9.VM¡SDWWHG\UHQH'DWDVHWWHQHVRPHUEHQ\WWHWHUKHQWHWIUD'1 +,
Tabell 5-2 8WYDOJWH9.PDULQHSDWWHG\UIRUPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQIRU'HOWD
Navn Latinsk navn Rødlista
+DYHUW +DOLFKRHUXVJU\SXV /&
2WHU /XWUDOXWUD 98
6WHLQNREEH 3KRFDYLWXOLQD 98
)LVN
(IIHNWHQDYROMHSnRUJDQLVPHULYDQQIDVHQILVNRJSODQNWRQHUDYKHQJLJDYROMHW\SHQHGEODQGLQJVJUDG RJNLQHWLNNIRUXWO¡VQLQJDYROMHNRPSRQHQWHUWLOYDQQIDVHQVDPWYDULJKHWDYHNVSRQHULQJHQ6LGHQ SODQNWRQIRUHNRPVWHQHSODQWHRJG\UHSODQNWRQHUJHQHUHOWOLWHVnUEDUHIRUROMHIRUXUHQVQLQJHU KRYHGIRNXVIRUPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHUVDWWSnILVN(JJRJODUYHUNDQY UHVY UWVnUEDUHIRU
ROMHIRUXUHQVQLQJLYDQQPDVVHQHPHQV\QJHOVW¡UUHHQQRPODJFPRJYRNVHQILVNLOLWHQJUDGDQWDVn SnYLUNHV'HWWHHULWUnGPHGIHOWREVHUYDVMRQHUVRPKDUYLVWOLWHQG¡GHOLJKHWDYYRNVHQILVNHWWHU YLUNHOLJHROMHXWVOLSS
)RUILVNHUGHWKRYHGVDNHOLJDUWHUVRPJ\WHUNRQVHQWUHUWEnGHLWLGRJURPVRPKDUVW¡UVW
VNDGHSRWHQVLDOHIRUDNXWWHROMHXWVOLSS(WWHUVRPROMHGULIWVEDQHQHUQRUGRYHUIUDVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDHUGHW VDWWIRNXVSnDUWHUL1RUVNHKDYHW$YGHNRPPHUVLHOWYLNWLJHVWHDUWHQHL1RUVNHKDYHWHUGHWNXQWRUVNRJ VLOGVRPJU\WHUNRQVHQWUHUWRYHUPLQGUHJHRJUDILVNHRPUnGHU,GHQQHUDSSRUWHQHUGHWGHUIRUYDOJWn DQDO\VHUHIRUWRUVNRJVLOG'DWDVHWWHQHHUKHQWHWIUD9LNHE¡HWDO
6WUDQG
(QXWEOnVQLQJIUDVDWHOOLWWHQ'HOWDEHU¡UHUODQGUXWHUODQJV9HVWODQGVN\VWHQRJ7U¡QGHODJVN\VWHQRJGHW HUGHUIRUJMHQQRPI¡UWVNDGHEDVHUWHDQDO\VHUIRUVWUDQGPHGXWJDQJVSXQNWLVnUEDUHKDELWDWHUODQJV N\VWHQ'DWDVHWWHQHIRUVWUDQGKDELWDWHUKHQWHWIUD'19
6 MILJØRETTET RISIKOANALYSE – RESULTATER
,GHWWHNDSLWWHOHWSUHVHQWHUHVUHVXOWDWHQHDYPLOM¡ULVLNRDQDO\VHQIRU'HOWD.RQVHNYHQVUHVXOWDWHQHHU SUHVHQWHUWIRUHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnUGDGHWWHHUPHVWNRQVHUYDWLYWPHQVPLOM¡ULVLNRUHVXOWDWHQHIRU'HOWD HUSUHVHQWHUWIRUEnGHK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJQRUPDOWSURGXNVMRQVnU
%HUHJQLQJHQHWDUXWJDQJVSXQNWLPnQHGOLJHEHVWDQGVIRUGHOLQJHUDYDUWHQHRJUHVXOWDWHQHSUHVHQWHUHV SHUVHVRQJPLGOHWRYHUPnQHGHQHLKYHUVHVRQJYnUPDUVPDLVRPPHUMXQLDXJXVWK¡VWVHSWHPEHU QRYHPEHUYLQWHUGHVHPEHUIHEUXDU5HVXOWDWHUSUHVHQWHUHVIRUDUWHQVRPKDUK¡\HVWVHVRQJYLVXWVODJ 'HWKHQYLVHVWLO9HGOHJJ$IRUHQPHUGHWDOMHUWEHVNULYHOVHDYDQYHQGWPHWRGLNN
6.1 Mulige konsekvenser ved en utblåsning fra Delta 2
.RQVHNYHQVHQHYHGXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDHUYLVWIRUSHODJLVNRJN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOPDULQHSDWWHG\UILVN RJVWUDQGKDELWDW'HWHUYLVWUHVXOWDWHUIRUHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnURJGHHUSUHVHQWHUWIRUEHVWDQGHQPHG K¡\HVWVHVRQJYLVXWVODJLGHWSnI¡OJHQGHNDSLWWHOHWPHQVEHVWDQGVWDSIRUDOOHPRGHOOHUWHDUWHUHU SUHVHQWHUWL9HGOHJJ%
3HODJLVNVM¡IXJO
Overflateutblåsning
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡VNDGHSnSHODJLVNVM¡IXJOVRPI¡OJHDYHQRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJHU YLVWL)LJXU
$ONHNRQJHHUDUWHQPHGK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPYLQWHUHQ+DYVXOHKDUK¡\HVW VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPYnUHQSnVRPPHUHQKDUOXQGHK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWPHQVKDYKHVW KDUK¡\HVWRPK¡VWHQ
6W¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHUHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLVVDPWOLJHIRUDONHNRQJHRPYLQWHUHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ 'HWHULNNHEHUHJQHWWDSVDQGHOHULNDWHJRULHQH!
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWLIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGVDPWOLJHIRUDONHNRQJHLYLQWHUVHVRQJHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
Pelagisk sjøfugl - Overflateutblåsning
Figur 6-1 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQJLWWDQGHODYXWVODJVJLYHQGHEHVWDQGDYpelagisk sjøfuglG¡UJLWWHQ overflateutblåsningIUDDelta 2 SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV%HVWDQGVWDSHQHHUEHUHJQHWSHUPnQHGRJGH VHVRQJYLVHUHVXOWDWHQHUHSUHVHQWHUHUJMHQQRPVQLWWHWDYPnQHGHQHLQQHQKYHUVHVRQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHW YHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWLVHNVNDWHJRULHURJ!
0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDWnU
%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
Sjøbunnsutblåsning
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡VNDGHIRUHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRUSHODJLVNVM¡IXJOHUYLVWL )LJXU
$ONHNRQJHHUDUWHQPHGK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPYLQWHUHQNU\NNMHKDUK¡\HVWRPYnUHQ OXQGHRPVRPPHUHQPHQVKDYKHVWKDUK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWLK¡VWVHVRQJHQ
6W¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHUHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLV
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYDONHNRQJHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQOXQGHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDONHNRQJHYLQWHU 'HWHULNNHEHUHJQHWWDSVDQGHOHULNDWHJRULHQH!
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWLIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGVDPWOLJHIRUDONHNRQJHLYLQWHUVHVRQJHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
Pelagisk sjøfugl - Sjøbunnsutblåsning
Figur 6-2 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQJLWWDQGHODYXWVODJVJLYHQGHEHVWDQGDYpelagisk sjøfuglG¡UJLWWHQ sjøbunnsutblåsningIUDDelta 2 SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV%HVWDQGVWDSHQHHUEHUHJQHWSHUPnQHGRJGH VHVRQJYLVHUHVXOWDWHQHUHSUHVHQWHUHUJMHQQRPVQLWWHWDYPnQHGHQHLQQHQKYHUVHVRQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHW YHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWLVHNVNDWHJRULHURJ!
0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDWnU
%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
(IIHNWRPUnGHUIRUSHODJLVNVM¡IXJO
)LJXUYLVHUVHVRQJYLVVNDGHSRWHQVLDOHIRUSHODJLVNVM¡IXJOHIIHNWRPUnGHUHWWHUXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWD IRUDUWHQHPHGSRWHQVLHOWVW¡UVWEHVWDQGVWDS
)RUKDYVXOHYnURJKDYKHVWK¡VWHUVNDGHSRWHQVLDOHWVW¡UVWUXQGWXWEOnVQLQJVORNDVMRQHQPHQPHG UHODWLYWODYWEHVWDQGVWDS8WVWUHNQLQJHQDYHIIHNWRPUnGHWIRUOXQGHRPVRPPHUHQHUODQJVVW¡UVWHGHOHQ DYQRUVNHN\VWHQ2PYLQWHUHQIRUDONHNRQJHHUEHVWDQGVWDSHWVW¡UVWXWHQIRU0¡UHRJ5RPVGDO
Figur 6-3 (IIHNWRPUnGHUIRUhavsule (vår)lunde (sommer)havhest (høst) RJalkekonge (vinter) HWWHUXWEOnVQLQJIUDDelta 2)LJXUHQHYLVHUJHRJUDILVNRPUnGHKYRUSRWHQVLHOWEHVWDQGVWDSHUK¡\HVWSHU îNPJULGUXWHIRUKYHUDYDUWHQH
.\VWQ UVM¡IXJO
Overflateutblåsning
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡VNDGHIRUHQRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOHUYLVW )LJXU
/RPYLHUDUWHQPHGK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPYnUHQRJVRPPHUHQPHQVKDYHOOHKDU K¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWRPYLQWHUHQ3UDNW UIXJOUHSUHVHQWHUHUK¡VWHQPHQPHGHWPHJHWEHJUHQVHW EHVWDQGVWDS
6W¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHUHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLV
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYKDYHOOHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYKDYHOOHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYORPYLVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYORPYLVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDY!DYSRSXODVMRQHQDYORPYLVRPPHU
'HWJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWLIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLG
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
Kystnær sjøfugl - Overflateutblåsning
Figur 6-4 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQJLWWDQGHODYXWVODJVJLYHQGHEHVWDQGDYkystnærsjøfuglG¡UJLWWHQ overflateutblåsningIUDDelta 2SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV%HVWDQGVWDSHQHHUEHUHJQHWSHUPnQHGRJGH VHVRQJYLVHUHVXOWDWHQHUHSUHVHQWHUHUJMHQQRPVQLWWHWDYPnQHGHQHLQQHQKYHUVHVRQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHW YHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWLVHNVNDWHJRULHURJ!
0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDWnU
%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
Sjøbunnsutblåsning
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡VNDGHIRUHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOHUYLVWL )LJXU
/RPYLHUDUWHQPHGK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPYnUHQRJVRPPHUHQPHQVKDYHOOHKDU VW¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWRPYLQWHUHQ3UDNW UIXJOUHSUHVHQWHUHUK¡VWHQPHQPHGHWPHJHWEHJUHQVHW EHVWDQGVWDS
6W¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHUHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLV
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYKDYHOOHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYKDYHOOHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYORPYLYnU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYORPYLVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDY!DYSRSXODVMRQHQDYORPYLYnURJVRPPHU
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWLIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLG
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
Kystnær sjøfugl - Sjøbunnsutblåsning
Figur 6-5 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQJLWWDQGHODYXWVODJVJLYHQGHEHVWDQGDYkystnær sjøfuglG¡UJLWWHQ sjøbunnsutblåsning IUDDelta 2 SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV%HVWDQGVWDSHQHHUEHUHJQHWSHUPnQHGRJGH VHVRQJYLVHUHVXOWDWHQHUHSUHVHQWHUHUJMHQQRPVQLWWHWDYPnQHGHQHLQQHQKYHUVHVRQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHW YHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWLVHNVNDWHJRULHURJ!
0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDWnU
%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
(IIHNWRPUnGHU IRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJO
)LJXUYLVHUVHVRQJYLVVNDGHSRWHQVLDOHIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOHIIHNWRPUnGHUHWWHUXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWD IRUDUWHQHPHGSRWHQVLHOWVW¡UVWEHVWDQGVWDS
'HWHUEHJUHQVHWEHVWDQGVWDSRPYnUHQRJVRPPHUHQIRUORPYLPHQVHIIHNWRPUnGHWRPYLQWHUHQIRU KDYHOOHKDUVW¡UUHXWVWUHNQLQJPHGK¡\HVWEHVWDQGVWDSXWHQIRU9HVWODQGVN\VWHQ3UDNW UIXJOJLUHW EHJUHQVHWXWVODJLHQUXWHRPK¡VWHQ
Figur 6-6 (IIHNWRPUnGHUIRUlomvi (vår og sommer)praktærfugl (høst)RJhavelle (vinter)HWWHU XWEOnVQLQJIUDDelta 2)LJXUHQHYLVHUJHRJUDILVNRPUnGHKYRUSRWHQVLHOWEHVWDQGVWDSHUK¡\HVWSHU îNPJULGUXWHIRUKYHUDYDUWHQH
0DULQHSDWWHG\U
Overflateutblåsning
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡VNDGHIRUHQRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJIRUPDULQHSDWWHG\UHUYLVWL )LJXU
+DYHUWHUDUWHQPHGK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPK¡VWHQRJYLQWHUHQRWHUKDUK¡\HVW VDQQV\QOLJKHWRPYnUHQPHQVVWHLQNREEHKDUK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSLVRPPHUVHVRQJHQ
6W¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHUHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLV
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQDYKDYHUWK¡VW
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYSRSXODVMRQHQVWHLQNREEHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYSRSXODVMRQHQKDYHUWK¡VW
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYSRSXODVMRQHQKDYHUWYLQWHU 'HWHULNNHEHUHJQHWWDSVDQGHOHULNDWHJRULHQ!
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWLIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGVDPWOLJHRPK¡VWHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
VNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
Marine pattedyr - Overflateutblåsning
Figur 6-7 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQJLWWDQGHODYXWVODJVJLYHQGHEHVWDQGDYmarine pattedyrG¡UJLWWHQ overflateutblåsningIUDDelta 2 SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV%HVWDQGVWDSHQHHUEHUHJQHWSHUPnQHGRJGH VHVRQJYLVHUHVXOWDWHQHUHSUHVHQWHUHUJMHQQRPVQLWWHWDYPnQHGHQHLQQHQKYHUVHVRQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHW YHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWLVHNVNDWHJRULHURJ!
0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDWnU
%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
Sjøbunnsutblåsning
6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRJPLOM¡VNDGHIRUHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRUPDULQHSDWWHG\UHUYLVWL )LJXU
+DYHUWHUDUWHQPHGK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUEHVWDQGVWDSRPYnUHQK¡VWHQRJYLQWHUHQPHQV VWHLQNREEHKDUK¡\HVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWRPVRPPHUHQ
6W¡UVWVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHUHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLVVDPWOLJHIRUKDYHUWRPK¡VWHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSDYDYSRSXODVMRQHQ 'HWHULNNHEHUHJQHWWDSVDQGHOHULNDWHJRULHQH!
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWLIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLGVDPWOLJHRPK¡VWHQ
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
Marine pattedyr - Sjøbunnsutblåsning
Figur 6-8 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUDWHQJLWWDQGHODYXWVODJVJLYHQGHEHVWDQGDYmarine pattedyrG¡UJLWWHQ sjøbunnsutblåsning IUDDelta 2 SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV%HVWDQGVWDSHQHHUEHUHJQHWSHUPnQHGRJGH VHVRQJYLVHUHVXOWDWHQHUHSUHVHQWHUHUJMHQQRPVQLWWHWDYPnQHGHQHLQQHQKYHUVHVRQJ%HVWDQGVWDSHW YHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWLVHNVNDWHJRULHURJ!
0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDWnU
%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
6WUDQGKDELWDW
Overflateutblåsning
7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWRJPLOM¡VNDGHYHGHQRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJIRUVWUDQGKDELWDWHUHUYLVWL)LJXU 7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQDYROMHLîNPVWUDQGKDELWDWHUODQJVN\VWHQHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLV
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYWRQQROMHSHUUXWHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYWRQQROMHSHUUXWHK¡VW
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYWRQQROMHSHUUXWHVRPPHU 'HWHULQJHQVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDY!WRQQROMHLKDELWDWHQH
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHULIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLG
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHYLQWHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU 'HWHULQJHQVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHLKDELWDWHQH
Strandhabitat - Overflateutblåsning
Figur 6-9 6DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYXOLNHROMHPHQJGHULYHUVWEHU¡UWHstrandhabitatJLWWHQ
overflateutblåsning IUDDelta 2SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV2OMHPHQJGHNDWHJRULHQHYHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWL IHPNDWHJRULHUWRQQUXWHWRQQUXWHWRQQUXWHWRQQUXWHRJ!
WRQQUXWH0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDW nU%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
Sjøbunnsutblåsning
7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWRJPLOM¡VNDGHYHGHQVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJIRUVWUDQGKDELWDWHUHUYLVWL)LJXU 7UHIIVDQQV\QOLJKHWHQDYROMHLîNPVWUDQGKDELWDWHUODQJVN\VWHQHUEHUHJQHWWLOKHQKROGVYLV
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYWRQQROMHSHUUXWHK¡VW
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYWRQQROMHSHUUXWHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYWRQQROMHSHUUXWHYnU 'HWHULQJHQVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDY!WRQQROMHLKDELWDWHQH
'HWWHJLUI¡OJHQGHVNDGHVDQQV\QOLJKHWHULIRUPDYUHVWLWXVMRQVWLG
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHVRPPHU
VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHYnU 'HWHULQJHQVDQQV\QOLJKHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHLKDELWDWHQH
Strandhabitat - Sjøbunnsutblåsning
Figur 6-106DQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWUHIIDYXOLNHROMHPHQJGHULYHUVWEHU¡UWHstrandhabitat JLWWHQ
sjøbunnsutblåsningIUDDelta 2 SUHVHQWHUWVHVRQJYLV2OMHPHQJGHNDWHJRULHQHYHQVWUHHUJUXSSHUWL IHPNDWHJRULHUWRQQUXWHWRQQUXWHWRQQUXWHWRQQUXWHRJ!
WRQQUXWH0LOM¡VNDGHQK¡\UHHUJUXSSHUWLIHPNDWHJRULHU,QJHQVNDGH0LQGUHnU0RGHUDW nU%HW\GHOLJnURJ$OYRUOLJVNDGH!nU
7DSVDQGHOHUDYILVNHHJJRJILVNHODUYHU
0RGHOOHULQJDYWDSVDQGHOHUDYILVNHHJJRJILVNHODUYHUJLWWHQXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDYLVHULQJHQ VDQQV\QOLJKHWIRUWDSVDQGHOHURYHULQRHQDYVHVRQJHQHIRUKYHUNHQWRUVNHOOHUVLOG0XOLJH NRQVHNYHQVHUDQVHVGHUIRUVRPQHJOLVMHUEDUHRJILVNWDVGHUIRULNNHPHGYLGHUHL
PLOM¡ULVLNREHUHJQLQJHQH
,PRGHOOHULQJHQDYYDQQV¡\OHNRQVHQWUDVMRQHUIUD'HOWDHUGHWYLVWDWWRELVRPUnGHRYHUODSSHUPHG LQIOXHQVRPUnGHWIRUEnGHRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHQ5HVXOWDWHQHHUSUHVHQWHUWRJGLVNXWHUWL .DSLWWHO
6.2 Miljørisiko
0LOM¡ULVLNRHUEHUHJQHWVRPVNDGHIUHNYHQVHUSHUPnQHGSHU9.JUXSSHGHUK¡\HVWXWVODJLKYHU VNDGHNDWHJRULLKYHUPnQHGSUHVHQWHUHVXDYKHQJLJDYDUW
'HPnQHGOLJHELGUDJHQHHUGHUHWWHUVXPPHUWWLOnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRRJPnOWPRW6WDWRLOV LQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRU'HOWD
'HWHUYDOJWnSUHVHQWHUHPnQHGOLJHULVLNRELGUDJRJnUOLJULVLNRIRUDOOH9.JUXSSHQH, RSSVXPPHULQJHQ.DSLWWHOHUPLOM¡ULVLNRHQYLVWSnDNWLYLWHWVQLYn
0nQHGOLJPLOM¡ULVLNR±'HOWD
0nQHGOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUGHHQNHOWH9.JUXSSHQHHUSUHVHQWHUWLSnI¡OJHQGHXQGHUNDSLWOHUYHNWHW IRURYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ
6.2.1.1 Pelagisk sjøfugl
0nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHU YLVWL)LJXUIRUSHODJLVNVM¡IXJO
)LJXUHQYLVHUDWGHWHUK¡\HVWIUHNYHQVIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHnUHWLJMHQQRPRJULVLNRQLYnHWJM¡UHW PDUNDQWGURSSLSHULRGHQDSULORNWREHU,GHQQHSHULRGHQWUHNNHUHQVWRUDQGHODYGHSHODJLVN VM¡IXJODUWHQHLQQPRWN\VWHQIRUnKHNNHRJHUVnOHGHVPLQGUHXWVDWWLnSHQWKDY+¡\HVWH
VNDGHIUHNYHQVIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHHUEHUHJQHWLQRYHPEHUPHGîGYVpQKHQGHOVHSHURP ODJnUPHGGULIWJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHWLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
,SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHUK¡\HVWHIUHNYHQVLQRYHPEHUEHUHJQHWWLOîGYVpQKHQGHOVHSHURP ODJnUPHGGULIWJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHW
Høyaktivitetsfase Produksjonsfase
Figur 6-110nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUpelagisk sjøfuglIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJSnDelta 2L K¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQWLOYHQVWUHRJLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQWLOK¡\UHMerk: Ulik skala på y-aksene i de to figurene.
6.2.1.2 Kystnær sjøfugl
0nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHU YLVWL)LJXUIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJO
5HVXOWDWHQHYLVHUWLOQ UPHWOLNIUHNYHQVSURILOIRU0LQGUHRJ0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHnUHWJMHQQRP+¡\HVWH VNDGHIUHNYHQVIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHHUEHUHJQHWLMXOLPHGîGYVpQKHQGHOVHSHURPODJ nUPHGGULIWJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHWLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
,SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHUK¡\HVWHIUHNYHQVIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHLMXOLEHUHJQHWWLOîGYVpQ KHQGHOVHSHURPODJnUPHGGULIWJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHW
Høyaktivitetsfase Produksjonsfase
Figur 6-120nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUkystnær sjøfuglIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJSnDelta 2L K¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQWLOYHQVWUHRJLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQWLOK¡\UHMerk: Ulik skala på y-aksene i de to figurene.
6.2.1.3 Marine pattedyr
0nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHU YLVWL)LJXUIRUPDULQHSDWWHG\U
5HVXOWDWHQHYLVHUWLOQ UPHWOLNIUHNYHQVSURILOIRU0RGHUDWRJ0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHnUHWJMHQQRP+¡\HVW VNDGHIUHNYHQVHUEHUHJQHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHWLOîLQRYHPEHUGYVHQKHQGHOVHSHU GULIWVnUJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHWLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
,SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHUK¡\HVWHIUHNYHQVIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHLQRYHPEHUEHUHJQHWWLOîGYV pQKHQGHOVHSHURPODJnUPHGGULIWJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHW
Høyaktivitetsfase Produksjonsfase
Figur 6-130nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUmarine pattedyrIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJSnDelta 2L K¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQWLOYHQVWUHRJLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQWLOK¡\UHMerk: Ulik skala på y-aksene i de to figurene.
6.2.1.4 Strandhabitat
0nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJIUD'HOWDLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHU YLVWL)LJXUIRUVWUDQGKDELWDW
%HUHJQLQJHQHLQGLNHUHUDWGHWHUK¡\HVWIUHNYHQVIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHnUHWJMHQQRP+¡\HVWIUHNYHQV IRUHQHQNHOWPnQHGHULMXOLPHGîGYVHQKHQGHOVHSHUGULIWVnUJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQ JMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHWIRUK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
,SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQHUK¡\HVWHIUHNYHQVIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGHLMXOLEHUHJQHWWLOîGYVpQ KHQGHOVHSHURPODJnUPHGGULIWJLWWDWIUHNYHQVHQJMHOGHUIRUKHOHnUHW
Høyaktivitetsfase Produksjonsfase
Figur 6-140nQHGOLJHPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJIRUstrandhabitat IRUEXQGHWPHGXWEOnVQLQJSnDelta 2L K¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQWLOYHQVWUHRJLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQWLOK¡\UH
Merk: Ulik skala på y-aksene i de to figurene.
cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNR±'HOWD
cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRSUHVHQWHUHVVRPSURVHQWDQGHODY6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRU PLOM¡VNDGHIRUVNDGHNDWHJRULHQH0LQGUH0RGHUDW%HW\GHOLJRJ$OYRUOLJ5HVXOWDWHQHHUSUHVHQWHUWIRU KYHU9.JUXSSH
%DVHUWSn6WDWRLOVEHUHJQLQJHUHUIRUGHOLQJHQPHOORPRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJKHQKROGVYLV RJIRUHWK¡\DNWLYLWHWVnU)RUHWQRUPDOWSURGXNVMRQVnUHUIRUGHOLQJHQKHQKROGVYLVRJ IRURYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ
6.2.2.1 Pelagisk sjøfugl
cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUVM¡IXJOLnSHQWKDYHUYLVWL)LJXUIRUKHQKROGVYLVK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJ
SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQ%LGUDJHQHIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHULOOXVWUHUWLILJXUHQ, EHJJHIDVHQHHUPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJHWK¡\HVWIRURYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJ
%HUHJQHWnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQXWJM¡U
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHRJ
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
%HUHJQHWnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQXWJM¡U
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHRJ
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
%HUHJQHWPLOM¡ULVLNRSHUDUWHUYLGHUHRSSJLWWL7DEHOO5HVXOWDWHQHYLVHUDWGHWHUEHUHJQHWK¡\HVW ULVLNRIRUNU\NNMHPHGDYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
Figur 6-15cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUpelagisk sjøfuglVRPDQGHODY6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNH DNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUPLOM¡VNDGHLKHQKROGVYLVhøyaktivitetsfasen (øverst)RJproduksjonsfasen (nederst)SnDelta 2%LGUDJIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHUYLVW
Tabell 6-10LOM¡ULVLNRSHUnUEHUHJQHWIRUKYHUDUWDYpelagisk sjøfuglVRPDQGHODY6WDWRLOV LQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUPLOM¡VNDGHLKHQKROGVYLVhøyaktivitetsfasenRJ produksjonsfasen IRUDelta 2.
6.2.2.2 Kystnær sjøfugl
cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUN\VWQ UVM¡IXJOHUYLVWL)LJXUIRUKHQKROGVYLVK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJ
SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQ%LGUDJHQHIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHULOOXVWUHUWLILJXUHQ, EHJJHIDVHQHHUPLOM¡ULVLNRELGUDJHWK¡\HVWIRUVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJ
%HUHJQHWnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQXWJM¡U
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHRJ
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
%HUHJQHWnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQXWJM¡U
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHRJ
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
%HUHJQHWPLOM¡ULVLNRSHUDUWHUYLGHUHRSSJLWWL7DEHOO5HVXOWDWHQHYLVHUDWGHWHUEHUHJQHWK¡\HVW ULVLNRIRUORPYLPHGDYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGHLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
Figur 6-16cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUkystnær sjøfuglVRPDQGHODY6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNH DNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUPLOM¡VNDGHLKHQKROGVYLVhøyaktivitetsfasen (øverst)RJproduksjonsfasen (nederst)SnDelta 2%LGUDJIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHUYLVW
Tabell 6-20LOM¡ULVLNRSHUnUEHUHJQHWIRUKYHUDUWDYkystnær sjøfuglVRPDQGHODY6WDWRLOV LQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNHDNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUPLOM¡VNDGHLKHQKROGVYLVhøyaktivitetsfasenRJ produksjonsfasenIRUDelta 2.
6.2.2.3 Marine pattedyr
cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUPDULQHSDWWHG\UHUYLVWL)LJXUIRUKHQKROGVYLVK¡\DNWLYLWHWVRJ
SURGXNVMRQVIDVHQ%LGUDJHQHIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHULOOXVWUHUWLILJXUHQ
%HUHJQHWnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQXWJM¡U
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHRJ
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU$OYRUOLJPLOM¡VNDGH
%HUHJQHWnUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRLSURGXNVMRQVIDVHQXWJM¡U
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0LQGUHPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGH
DYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU%HW\GHOLJPLOM¡VNDGHRJ
%HUHJQHWPLOM¡ULVLNRSHUDUWHUYLGHUHRSSJLWWL7DEHOO5HVXOWDWHQHYLVHUDWGHWHUEHUHJQHWEHJUHQVHW ULVLNRKYRUKDYHUWKDUK¡\HVWPHGDYDNVHSWNULWHULHWIRU0RGHUDWPLOM¡VNDGHLK¡\DNWLYLWHWVIDVHQ
Figur 6-17cUOLJPLOM¡ULVLNRIRUmarine pattedyrVRPDQGHODY6WDWRLOVLQVWDOODVMRQVVSHVLILNNH DNVHSWNULWHULHUIRUPLOM¡VNDGHLKHQKROGVYLVhøyaktivitetsfasen (øverst)RJproduksjonsfasen (nederst)SnDelta 2%LGUDJIUDKHQKROGVYLVRYHUIODWHXWEOnVQLQJRJVM¡EXQQVXWEOnVQLQJHUYLVW