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https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-018-2027-2 2

3

Quantifying the partition between seismic and aseismic deformation along 4

creeping and locked sections of the North Anatolian Fault, Turkey 5 6

Maor Kaduri1, Jean-Pierre Gratier1, Cécile Lasserre2, Ziyadin Çakir3, François Renard1,4,*

7 8

1 Université Grenoble Alpes, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, IRD, IFSTTAR, ISTerre, 38000 9

Grenoble, France 10

2 Université de Lyon, UCBL, ENSL, CNRS, LGL-TPE, 69622 Villeurbanne, France 11

3 Istanbul Technical University, Department of Geology, Istanbul, Turkey 12

4 The Njord Centre, PGP, Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, box 1048, 0316 Blindern, 13

Oslo, Norway 14

15

*Correspondence should be addressed to François Renard ([email protected]) 16 17

18

Abstract 19

Shallow aseismic creep is a key deformation component along plate boundaries that 20

contributes to the energy budget during the seismic cycle. Several major active 21

continental faults show spatial alternation of creeping and locked sections. The 22

present study focuses on the evaluation of the aseismic part of the total displacement 23

along the North Anatolian Fault in Turkey. Detailed microstructural analyses of finite 24

strain were performed using various methods, based on change of length or angle, on 25

six representative samples collected over 32 outcrops along locked and creeping 26

sections of the fault. Chemical analyses were used to map mineral composition of 27

fault rocks and to calculate relative volume changes associated with creep.

28

Relationship between finite strain and volume change allowed quantifying the 29

evolution of the penetrative pressure solution cleavage mechanism of creep. In 30

volcanic and analogous creeping rocks, finite strain measurements revealed two 31

spatial scales of strain that correspond to the alternation of two types of shear zones, 32

with cleavages either oblique or sub-parallel to the fault displacement. Using geodetic 33

and geological data, cumulative aseismic displacement was calculated in the range 9 34

to 49% of the total 80 km displacement in the creping sections, and was negligible in 35

locked sections. The large uncertainty in the kilometer-width creeping sections was 36

related to the difficulty of quantifying high strain values that are associated with high 37

shear displacement and for which measurement uncertainties are large. A promising 38

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way to improve such quantification would be to develop reliable statistical analysis of 39

cleavage orientation in the field.

40 41

1. Introduction 42

Aseismic creep has been extensively documented along several active faults 43

worldwide (Chen and Bürgmann, 2017; Harris, 2017; Bürgmann, 2018). Active fault 44

creep processes develop either as transient (mostly post-seismic) sliding or as 45

permanent sliding. Post-seismic creep rate can evolve through time with various 46

patterns: with an exponential or a power law decay, down to zero or to a residual 47

constant creep velocity (Çakir et al., 2005). In some cases, shallow creep can 48

accommodate the whole tectonic loading as, for example, along the permanent 49

creeping section of the San Andreas fault (Savage and Burford, 1973). In cases where 50

shallow creep only partly releases the tectonic loading, as is the case along the North 51

Anatolian, the Hayward or the Longitudinal Valley faults in Turkey, California and 52

Taiwan, respectively (Çakir et al., 2005, Graymer et al. 2005, Thomas et al., 2014), 53

major earthquakes may still occur at depth and propagate toward the surface.

54

These contrasting creep behavior patterns may have different implications for seismic 55

hazard assessment. It is therefore crucial to understand the spatio-temporal 56

characteristics of creep and its mechanisms (Bürgmann, 2018). Rock types can partly 57

control fault creep behavior. For example, observations have shown that surface creep 58

rates along the North Anatolian Fault are almost null along fault sections that are rich 59

in massive limestones, but become significant along sections that host various kinds 60

of volcanic rocks that were softened by progressive deformation processes (Kaduri et 61

al., 2017). However, other important characteristics of creep, such as creep 62

deformation duration during a single seismic cycle and over several seismic cycles, as 63

well as the aseismic part of the total displacement during geological fault history, 64

remain to be determined more accurately.

65

To make progress in understanding creep mechanisms, the displacement associated 66

with creep processes must be evaluated. On one hand, the total displacement over the 67

lifetime of a fault accommodated by both creep and earthquakes can be evaluated by 68

measuring the offset of a number of geological markers (Emre et al., 2013). On the 69

other hand, the displacement associated with creep processes can be deduced only 70

from geodetic or geological strain measurements, quantifying the short-term 71

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(elastic) parts of the deformation. The distinction between creep and tectonic loading 74

is generally made through simple modeling by considering an elastic half-space 75

surrounding a fault plane (Savage and Burford, 1973; Okada, 1985). In addition, 76

geodetic measurements are representative of slip only in the recent past, covering a 77

few years to several decades. Extending geodetic displacement measurements to the 78

long term (geological times of several millions years) must include an assumption on 79

the variations of the displacement rate with time, which is almost impossible to 80

estimate, especially in areas associating seismic and aseismic processes.

81

Consequently, in order to evaluate only the irreversible part of the large finite strain 82

associated with the creep processes, complementary detailed finite strain 83

measurements in the gouge and damage zone rocks of fault zones are required.

84

The aim of the present study is to quantify the displacement related to aseismic 85

irreversible creep processes in both creeping and apparently, presently locked sections 86

along the North Anatolian Fault in Turkey. To reach this aim, one needs to measure 87

the associated geological finite strain in both the gouge and the damage zone rocks 88

(Fig. 1). In order to calculate this displacement, two types of data are required: the 89

finite strain values and the width of the zone of associated shear deformation 90

(Ramsay, 1980; Ramsay and Graham, 1970). However, the measurement and the 91

interpretation of such data are rather complex because strain and fault width values 92

evolve with time and along the fault strike during deformation, since the beginning of 93

the formation of the fault to the present day. Strike-slip creeping faults accumulate 94

strain in the upper crust by plastic and viscoelastic mechanisms involving both shear 95

deformation and mass transfer, developing what is known as compaction or dilatant 96

shear zones (Ramsay, 1980; Ramsay and Graham, 1970). In such zones, the mineral 97

composition and rock fabric change due to fracturing, mass transfer, fluid circulation, 98

chemical alteration and metamorphism (Gratier et al., 2013, 2011; Steward et al., 99

2000; Imber et al., 2001; Jefferies et al., 2006; Collettini, et al., 2009). Moreover, clay 100

gouge comprising low friction minerals such as montmorillonite and saponite also 101

develop (Carpenter et al., 2016; Kaduri et al., 2017; Lockner et al., 2011; Samuelson 102

and Spiers, 2012). In addition, fault growth is not linear with displacement. Power law 103

relationships between maximum displacement and fault width are often reported 104

(Pennacchioni, 2005; Scholz, 2002). At the outcrop scale, irreversible shear strain 105

gradients generally decrease to zero away from the fault over distances of several 106

(4)

centimeters to several kilometers, and sometimes over distances of up to 25 km 107

(Mavko, 1981). The lateral evolution of such strain profiles is often non-linear 108

(Pennacchioni, 2005). The change in shear zone width in time and space thus depends 109

on the deformation mechanisms that combine simple shear, pure shear and volume 110

change and that determine the displacement behavior (Bos and Spiers, 2002; van der 111

Pluijm and Marshak, 2010; Fossen and Cavalcante, 2017). Such heterogeneous shear 112

zones can be classified into three categories based on their width variations:

113

increasing, decreasing or constant in time (Hull, 1988). The shape of displacement 114

profiles across faults depends on whether the deformation process is strain hardening 115

(e.g. deformation diffuses into the host rock) or strain softening (e. g. deformation is 116

localized in narrow zones) (Vitale and Mazzoli, 2008). In particular, strain-softening 117

processes involving simple shear with volume loss are consistent with clay gouge 118

formation (Kaduri et al., 2017).

119

Measuring and interpreting finite strain and the width of the associated creeping shear 120

from geodetic and geological observations are challenging tasks, especially when 121

deformation involves very high strain values. Despite considerable uncertainties 122

associated with both types of observations, the data presented in this study of the 123

North Anatolian fault can be used to characterize: (i) the spatial correlation between 124

the creep-related strain measured by geodetic methods and that measured by 125

geological methods, (ii) the control of rock lithology on aseismic creep mechanisms 126

and temporal evolution, (iii) the aseismic part of the total displacement on the fault.

127

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Figure 1. Structural and geological map of the study area along the North Anatolian Fault 129

(NAF), modified from Kaduri et al. (2017). (a) Tectonic setting of study area, located east of 130

Istanbul (blue rectangle with NAF in red), adapted from Emre et al., (2013). EAF: East 131

Anatolian Fault, DST: Dead Sea Transform fault. (b) Geological map of the study area with 132

outcrop locations indicated as blue or red circles for the 32 investigated outcrops. Red circles 133

with names locate the six representative outcrops with strain markers described in the present 134

study: Ta=Taskesti (40°34'54.00"N/ 31°1'60.00"E), Ge=Gerede (40°47'3.00"N/

135

32°6'30.00"E), Is=Ismetpasa (40°51'55.00"N/ 32°35'41.00"E), Ha=Hamamli (40°52'12.19"N/

136

32°39'8.78"E) Ya= Yazioren (40°56'1.59"N/ 33°6'11.09"E), Mu=Mülayim (41°3'5.28"N/

137

33°48'17.61"E). The presently creeping segments of Izmit=Iz (west) and Ismetpasa (east) are 138

marked in white (Çakir et al., 2005; Cetin et al. 2014). The locked segments are marked in 139

black. The regional geological map is extracted from an interactive map of the Turkish 140

geological survey (Akbas et al., 2016) available at

141

http://yerbilimleri.mta.gov.tr/anasayfa.aspx. The legend gives the lithology of the formations 142

that are cut by the studied North Anatolian Fault section.

143 144

2. Measuring creep-related deformation from fault zone outcrops: setting and 145

approach 146

147

2.1 Seismotectonic setting 148

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The North Anatolian Fault (NAF) in Turkey is a right-lateral strike-slip plate 149

boundary. This major continental fault accommodates the relative motion between the 150

Anatolian plate, to the south, and the Eurasian plate, to the north. The NAF formed 151

approximately 13 to 11 Ma ago in the east and slowly propagated westward (Şengör, 152

et al. 2004). The long-term geological rate is 20 ±8 mm/yr (Şengör, et al. 2004), 153

consistent with short-term geodetic rates of 24 ±2 mm/yr measured from GPS data 154

(Reilinger et al., 2006) and 25 ±1.5 mm/yr measured from InSAR data (Cetin et al., 155

2014). The total cumulative displacement along the studied NAF segment (Fig. 1) 156

since its initiation is of the order of 80 km (Janssen, et al., 1997; Armijo et al., 1999;

157

Emre et al., 2013; Akbas et al., 2016). A sequence of large earthquakes propagated 158

from east to west and ruptured over ~1000 km of the fault during the 20th century (e.g.

159

Emre et al., 2016), providing evidence of the potential of the fault to accumulate large 160

seismic displacements. However, a striking feature of the NAF is the existence of two 161

slip modes along the fault. Some sections are prone to major earthquakes (Stein et al., 162

1997) and remain locked in between earthquakes while other sections, well-identified 163

by geodesy measurements, display aseismic creep that possibly initiated as post- 164

seismic slip (Kaneko et al., 2013; Çakir et al., 2014; Cetin et al., 2014) and may 165

behave as a succession of transient creep episodes (Bilham et al., 2016; Rousset et al., 166

2016). The relative contribution of seismic and aseismic displacement in the 80 km 167

cumulated displacement remains to be evaluated, which is the aim of the present 168

study.

169

At least two sections of the inland part of the North Anatolian Fault have been 170

identified in recent years as aseismic creeping fault sections (Ismetpasa and Izmit 171

sections, Fig. 1). Based on an InSAR study of Envisat satellite data along descending 172

orbits, it has been shown by Cetin et al. (2014) that the Ismetpasa creeping section 173

runs from longitude 32.2° to 34.0°, with a maximum horizontal surface creep rate of 174

~20 mm/yr, located 30 km east of Ismetpasa, and a creeping depth of ~5 km. These 175

results were revised from a new Envisat InSAR analysis including both descending 176

and ascending data, which helped to obtain a better separation of the vertical and 177

horizontal creep components. The Ismetpasa creeping section was found to be longer 178

(running from 31.0° to 35.0°), with two peaks of maximum horizontal creep rate up to 179

~14 mm/yr, and creep extending down to 9 km depth (Hussain et al., 2016). A clear 180

correlation between shallow creep rate and near-surface fault lithology has been 181

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section is composed of volcanic and ophiolite rocks including clay-rich gouges (Fig.

184 185 1).

186

2.2 Fault sampling and strategy analysis 187

We calculated the aseismic part of the total displacement along both locked and 188

creeping zones of the North Anatolian Fault. The finite strain and the creeping width 189

for various lithologies were evaluated by investigating 32 outcrops, over a 400 km- 190

long section between the city of Izmit to the west and the eastern end of the Ismetpasa 191

creeping section to the east (Fig. 1). Satellite images and geological maps (Herece and 192

Akay, 2003, Emre et al., 2013, 2016, Akbaş, et al 2016) were used to identify all 193

accessible outcrops following the procedure described in Kaduri et al., (2017). No 194

continuous outcrop was found that would cover the whole kilometer-width of the 195

NAF shear zone. The links and the common features between these dispersed 196

outcrops is that they all show markers of creep deformation associated with the NAF 197

shear zone, either as penetrative cleavage (in volcanic or analogous rocks) or as 198

stylolites (in limestones). So they all attest of the finite aseismic strain, which was 199

associated with the large strike-slip 80 km-displacement of the NAF shear zone 200

during geological times. It must be noted that geological evidence of such creep 201

deformation was found away from the present-day creeping fault, sometimes at more 202

than one-kilometer distance. This observation indicates that the NAF was not a single 203

localized fault during geological times but a kilometer-width shear zone that include 204

several seismic faults and large associated zones of aseismic deformation, an 205

observation consistent with geological maps (Herece and Akay, 2003, Emre et al., 206

2013, 2016, Akbaş, et al 2016). Building on our first study on the implication of fault 207

rock transformation on aseismic creep (Kaduri et al., 2017), we focus in this 208

following study on the calculation of the total cumulative aseismic displacement from 209

microstructural observations. The main challenge was not only to find outcrops but 210

also to find samples that allow calculating strain values. From the 32 visited outcrops 211

(7 outcrops in the locked segments, 25 outcrops in the creeping segment), 90 oriented 212

hand samples were collected and analyzed in the laboratory and 130 thin polished 213

sections of rock samples were prepared for mineralogical, geochemical and 214

microstructural analyses. All outcrops and samples were chosen to be representative 215

of the wide NAF shear zone and of the geological deformation associated with the 216

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NAF displacement. However, estimating strain values was not possible for all these 217

outcrops and samples. Six representative outcrops with strain markers are presented 218

here, one from the locked section and five from the creeping section (Fig. 1). They 219

represent the various aspects of the strain measurement methods and give a 220

representative focus on the evolution from initial rock to damaged rock and gouges, in 221

order to characterize strain related to aseismic creep.

222

Strain was measured at various scales from thin section to outcrop scales. Micro- to 223

meso-structural strain measurements were performed on thin sections from millimeter 224

to decimeter scales. Chemical maps were acquired using either X-ray fluorescence 225

spectrometer (XRF, Eagle III) (mm-cm) or Wavelength Dispersive Spectroscopy on 226

an Electron Probe Micro Analyzer (WDS-EPMA) (microns-mm) (Kaduri et al., 227

2017). Image processing techniques based on MATLAB codes were implemented to 228

calculate internal finite strain from particle distributions or deformation of geological 229

objects. Meso- to macro-structural strain measurements at meter to kilometer scales 230

were derived from field observations and measurements in quarries with outcrops 231

more than 100 m wide, located within the NAF shear zone, of kilometer-width. Due 232

to different deformation markers, two distinct approaches for creeping (volcanic and 233

analogous rocks) and for locked (limestone) sections were used to evaluate the strain 234

values. The techniques are briefly described below including a discussion on the 235

uncertainty of the measurements. These techniques rely on the classical strain analysis 236

procedure well described, for example, in Ramsay (1967, 1980).

237 238

3. Strain measurements methodology 239

240

3.1 Strain measurements along the creeping section (volcanic and analogous 241

rocks) 242

The main parameters of the shear zone are defined in Fig.2a: the kinematic axes a 243

(direction of shear), ab (shear plane) and ac (displacement plane) and the 244

corresponding coordinate axes x, y, and z.

245 246

Boudinage and folding analysis 247

Strain values were extracted from XRF chemical maps relying on the difference of 248

composition of the boudins and the veins relative to the matrix. The quadratic 249

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deformed object, and li is its initial length. The quadratic extension is calculated from 251

boudinage or fractured structures: i) the initial length (li) is measured by adding the 252

length of each boudin, and ii) the final length (lf) is the length from the first to the last 253

boudin (Fig. 2b). The quadratic contractional strain is estimated from folded veins 254

with constant length during deformation by measuring i) the final length 𝑙 of the vein 255

and ii) its initial length 𝑙 as the length of an arc along a deformed object using 𝑙 = 256

∑ 𝑑𝑠 = ∫ 𝑑𝑥 1 + (𝑑𝑦/𝑑𝑥) , where 𝑑𝑠 is the length of the section between two 257

successive points and can be written as 𝑑𝑠 = (𝑥 − 𝑥 ) + (𝑦 − 𝑦 ) (Fig.

258

2b).

259

Uncertainty is linked to the ratio between the resolution of the image and the 260

measured lengths. For the boudinage, the total error is the sum of the errors on the 261

measurements of each boudin element that gives the initial length plus the error on the 262

final length. For the folding, it is the sum of the error on initial and final length. In the 263

following, uncertainties are given with the results and are shown as error bars in the 264

figures.

265 266

Volume change due to mass transfer 267

The relative mass change was estimated by comparing the composition of insoluble 268

and soluble minerals between protected (as undeformed as possible) and exposed 269

(deformed) zones at the micro- to meso-scales within a given shear zone (Fig. 2c).

270

The relative mass change is 𝑑𝑚 𝑚 = 𝐼 𝐼 − 1⁄ ⁄ , where 𝐼 and 𝐼 are the 271

concentration of all insoluble minerals in the protected and exposed zones, 272

respectively (Gratier et al., 2013). If the rock density does not change, which is the 273

case in the studied samples, the mass change is equivalent to the volume change. In 274

plane strain, the product of the two principal strain values is related to the volumetric 275

change as follows:

276

𝜆 𝜆 = 1 + ∆, (1)

277

where ∆ is the change in volume (or surface area) (Ramsay, 1967). Because this 278

measurement is based on mineral maps, the accuracy depends on the dimension and 279

on the resolution of these maps. Then, the relative mass change depends on the 280

amount of the insoluble minerals in the protected and exposed zones. An error, 281

(10)

defined as a percentage of the calculated volume change or strain, is given in the 282

following. In general, it is smaller than 2%.

283 284

Grain geometry and orientation analysis 285

Mineral phases were identified on the chemical maps and the following geometrical 286

properties of individual grains were measured: the minor and major axes of each grain 287

(rmin, rmax), the grain orientation φg defined clockwise relative to the North, and the 288

coordinates of the center of each grain (xc, yc) (Fig. 2d). In such cases, the standard 289

deviation of the data is calculated and used to estimate the uncertainty.

290 291

Fry method 292

This method is also known as center-to-center method (Fry, 1979, Genier and Epard, 293

2007). The center of every strain marker (e.g. oxide grains) is plotted with respect to 294

the position of all other markers. A plot is built by locating one marker at the origin 295

and by plotting as dots the positions of all other markers. Then another marker is 296

located at the origin and the positions of all other markers are plotted, until all 297

markers have been considered. The result is a cloud of points that contains an empty 298

space (i.e. void) at the origin and which represents the strain ellipse. Strain is 299

quantified using i) the aspect ratio 𝑅 between the elongation axis (a) and the 300

contraction axis (b) of the strain ellipse; and ii) the angle between the x-axis and the 301

elongation axis also defined as 𝜑 . This method is similar to an auto correlation 302

function, which can be used for the same type of object (Heilbronner, 2002;

303

Heilbronner and Barrett, 2014). The normalized center-to-center method (Erslev, 304

1988; Erslev and Ge, 1990) improves the Fry method by taking the grain size into 305

account and was used in the present study. The strain ellipse parameters (𝑅 , 𝜑 ) 306

were measured by superimposing all minerals together (Fig. 2e). The actual values of 307

the principal strain axes were then obtained using 𝑅 = 𝜆 / 𝜆 with 𝜆 = 308

𝑅 (1 + ∆) and 𝜆 = (1 + ∆) 𝑅⁄ . Uncertainty derives from fitting an ellipse 309

to the points along the rim of the void in order to extract (𝑅 , 𝜑 ) values. For best 310

fitting higher weights are given to points that are close to the rim while none of the 311

clustered points remain out of the calculation as suggested by Mulchrone (2013). The 312

angle of the ellipse was fixed using the main orientation of the grains. We evaluate 313

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Cleavage angle evolution within the shear zone 316

Evolution of the cleavage orientation within shear zone was used to evaluate the 317

displacement (Ramsay, 1980; Ramsay and Graham, 1970) when integrating the 318

volume change (Fossen, & Tikoff, 1993) at millimeter to decimeter scales on thin 319

sections, and up to macro-scale at meter to hectometer scales. In a shear plane, 320

passive line markers (e.g. cleavage or vein) originally making an angle 𝛼 with the 321

shear zone walls (Fig. 2f) are sheared to make a new angle 𝛼′ (Ramsay, 1980) such 322

that 323

cot(𝛼′) = ( )

(2)

324

High 𝛾 values are very sensitive to 𝑎 angles field measurements: 𝑎 values of 1°, 0.5°

325

or 0.1° lead to 𝛾 values of 57, 114, or 572, respectively (Eq. 2). Consequently, 326

estimating 𝛾 from 𝑎′ is extremely challenging for high strain values, due to the 327

difficulty of measuring 𝑎 with sufficient accuracy when it is smaller than 1°. In the 328

following, the uncertainty of this technique is given as the standard deviation of the 329

calculated strains.

330 331

3.2 Strain measurements along the locked sections (limestone) 332

The strain contraction component was calculated by two techniques. The first one 333

involves identifying veins shifted by stylolites (Gratier et al., 2013) and using ∆𝑙 = 334

𝑙 /tan (𝛽), where ∆𝑙 is the thickness of the layer dissolved by the stylolite, 𝑙 is 335

the distance between the vein walls, and 𝛽 is the angle between the direction of the 336

vein and the stylolite peaks (Fig. 2g). The initial length of the vein is then obtained by 337

adding the shifted length to the final length of the shifted vein 𝑙 = 𝑙 + ∆𝑙, and the 338

quadratic contraction can be calculated. The second technique involves using the 339

maximum amplitude of the stylolite peaks (Toussaint et al., 2018) and 340

applying: 𝜆 (𝜑) = ( ) ( )

( )∙〈 ( )〉, where 𝜆 is the

341

quadratic contraction due to stylolite in their peak direction 𝜑, 𝑁 is the number 342

of stylolites in direction 𝜑, 〈𝐴𝑚𝑝 〉 is the average maximum peak height in 343

direction 𝜑, and 𝐿 is the total length of the sample in direction 𝜑. The strain 344

extension component is measured perpendicular to the vein direction. The final length 345

is defined from side to side and the initial length is the spacing between the veins.

346

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Finally, the contraction and extension components are combined and plotted in polar 347

coordinates to define the strain ellipse. Uncertainty is linked to the ratio between 348

resolution of the image and measured lengths. The total error is the sum of the errors 349

on the measurements of shifted veins or stylolites size and on the final length and is 350

given with the results.

351 352

3.3 Relation between shear displacement and finite strain values 353

For simple shear followed by volume change (Fig. 2f), the deformation matrix 354

transforms the undeformed vector (𝑥, 𝑧) (initial state) to a new position after 355

deformation (deformed state) (𝑥 , 𝑧 ): 𝑥

𝑧 = 1 𝛾,

0 1 + Δ ∙ 𝑥

𝑧 where 𝛾 , is the 356

shear strain due to shear and dilation (Fossen and Tikoff, 1993), and the principal 357

strains are:

358

𝜆 , = 1 + 𝛾 + (1 + ∆) ± [1 + 𝛾 + (1 + ∆) ] − 4(1 + ∆) (3) 359

where ∆ is the volume change. Both the aspect ratio between the principal strain axes 360

𝑅(𝛾, ∆) = 𝜆 𝜆⁄ , and 𝜃 (𝛾, ∆) are nonlinear functions of 𝛾 and ∆ (i.e. surfaces in a 361

three-dimensional coordinate system). Such functions are known as 𝑅 − 𝜃 diagrams 362

when plotted together (Fossen and Tikoff, 1993). 𝜃 is the angle between the 363

quadratic extension 𝜆 and shear direction. The total shear displacement 𝑑 is 364

obtained by integrating the shear strain along the z-axis (Ramsay, 1980), (Fig. 2) 365

𝑑 = ∫ 𝛾 ∙ 𝑑𝑧 (4)

366

where 𝑤 is the width of the shear zone, and 𝛾 is the shear strain.

367 368

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Figure 2. Strain measurements in shear zones. (a) Kinematic axes with a the direction of 370

shear, ab the shear plane, and ac the displacement plane, and corresponding coordinates axes 371

x,y,z. (b) Example of a boudinage strain marker at meso-scale. (c) Magnification of protected 372

and exposed zones with their mineral composition and strain ellipse. (d) Definition of 373

measured parameters of a single grain: major and minor axes rmin, rmax the aspect ratio Rg and 374

the angle φg, and the location of the center of the grain (xc, yc). (e) Definition of a strain 375

ellipse using the Fry method with major and minor axes a, b and the aspect ratio between 376

them RFry=a/b with the angle φFry. (f) Schematic deformation in simple shear coupled to 377

volume change, with distortion of a unit circle into an ellipse, adapted from (Ramsay, 1967, 378

1980). (g) Contraction evaluated from shifted veins along tectonic stylolite.

379 380

4. Results of finite strain measurements at selected sites 381

The structural strain markers differed from one outcrop to another although all were 382

consistent with dextral slip on the North Anatolian Fault. Therefore, the strain values 383

were extracted using different methods, depending on the particular type of strain 384

markers along the shear zones. For five selected sites (Taskesti, Hamamli, Ismetpasa, 385

Yazioren, Mülayim, Fig. 1), strain measurements at thin section scale are shown in 386

Figures 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7. For each outcrop, the mineral maps, mineral content 387

histograms, Fry and rose diagrams have a similar color code. For the last selected site, 388

Gerede (Fig. 1), strain measurements were integrated at the outcrop and regional 389

scales (Fig. 8). Finally, all strain measurements on the six outcrops are integrated in 390

Figure 9.

391 392

4.1 Taşkesti outcrop (locked section) 393

The Taşkesti outcrop (Fig. 1) exposes the fault zone in massive limestone formations, 394

which are deformed by tectonic stylolites associated with veins as seen in a hand 395

(14)

sample (Fig. 3). This sample is well representative of the seven visited outcrops in 396

limestones, which all show several relatively narrow, meter-wide, shear zones with 397

numerous stylolites. The cumulated width of all these narrow shear zones is a few 398

meters at maximum for the whole NAF width. Six thin sections in three orthogonal 399

planes were cut from the Taskesti sample. Two types of tectonic stylolites can be 400

distinguished from the different color of their insoluble residues (either red or black) 401

(Fig. 3a). Several generations of veins can be seen that cross cut each other. Some are 402

sub-parallel to the shear fault plane; others are oblique to it. In places, some of the 403

veins are dissolved and shifted perpendicularly to the stylolite plane, indicating the 404

shortening direction. In other places, some of the horizontal veins are stylolitized, 405

while some vertical stylolites are filled with calcite (Fig. 3b). Figure 3c shows the 406

orientation of maximum amplitude peak directions and stylolite surfaces that are 407

oriented in various directions, with the highest density in the range N70 – N90. It also 408

shows the various orientations of the oblique-to-the fault veins, the most frequent one 409

in the direction N110, and other maximum directions range between N120 and N150 410

(Fig. 3c). This observation is well indicative of the successive generations of 411

stylolites and veins in non-coaxial deformation with alternatively seismic and 412

aseismic deformation.

413

The total strain was measured from stylolites and veins as follows. Firstly, the 414

extension was measured perpendicular to veins from both the hand sample and thin 415

sections (Fig. 3a-b). The strain values obtained from the thin sections were slightly 416

higher compared to the hand sample (Fig. 3d). Secondly, the contraction was 417

quantified by two independent measurements (see section 3.2) using: i) shifted veins 418

and ii) stylolite average amplitude. Both methods gave very similar results with a fit 419

of the strain ellipse with 𝜆 = 1.2 ± 0.1, 𝜆 = 0.9 ± 0.02. The main results from 420

these analyses were that, at the decimeter scale, the calculated mass change was ∆=

421

0.08 ± 0.008, and the shear strain values calculated from the stylolite values (as only 422

the stylolites are representative of the creep process) led to 𝛾 = 0.20 ± 0.05 (Eq. 3).

423

It must be noted that, assuming that the shear fault corresponds to the shear direction, 424

the angle of the ellipse with the fault plane, which is about 30°, could indicate higher 425

shear value of about 𝛾 = 1.15. However, in such semi-brittle deformation, it is 426

difficult to evaluate the orientation of the shear direction, which is not always parallel 427

to the fault.

428

(15)

Figure 3. Taskesti outcrop. (a) Limestone hand sample in a horizontal displacement plane 430

(ac, Fig. 2a) in the Taşkesti outcrop deformed by tectonic stylolites associated with two 431

families of veins. Locations of the two thin sections Ta1a1 and Ta1a2 are indicated. A third 432

thin-section, Ta1d, is not shown here. (b) Digitized tectonic stylolites and veins. (c) Rose 433

diagrams representing the orientations of the tectonic stylolite surfaces (red) and peaks (gray), 434

and the first and second generations of veins. (d) Strain ellipse based on stylolite and vein 435

data giving contraction and extension values (black arrows), respectively. The locations of 436

individual veins v1 to v8 are given in (b).

437 438

4.2 Hamamli outcrop (creeping section) 439

(16)

The Hamamli outcrop (Fig. 1) exposes serpentinite rocks deformed by dissolution 440

along cleavage surfaces associated with precipitation in veins (Kaduri et al., 2017). In 441

places, the strain was measured by the alignment of iron oxide minerals that 442

agglomerate sub-parallel to the cleavages. The strain was measured along two planes:

443

a shear plane on the fault (ab) and a displacement plane (ac) (Fig. 2a). The results are 444

presented in Fig. 4. The strain values are 𝑅 = 2.3 ± 0.1 and 𝑅 = 3.2 ± 0.2 in 445

the shear fault plane (ab) (Fig. 4a) and in the displacement plane (ac) (Fig. 4b), 446

respectively. Rose diagrams of the iron oxides showed alignments in the strain 447

elongation direction in the displacement plane (Fig. 4b) but were slightly oblique to 448

the strain elongation in the shear plane (Fig. 4a). This result may be due to the effect 449

of episodic oblique displacements along the fault surface. Because it was not possible 450

to find an area that was less deformed than the studied samples, the mass change 451

could not be calculated. A maximum shear strain value in the displacement plane 𝛾 = 452

1.3 ±0.1 was derived from Eq. 3 (Fig. 2f).

453 454

455

Figure 4. Hamamli outcrop. Serpentine rocks show cleavage-foliation and anisotropic 456

clustering of iron oxide minerals in the cleavage. These microstructures were used to evaluate 457

the strain values in two directions. (a) Strain analysis of a fault surface in vertical shear plane 458

(ab), with the rose diagram of Fe oxides, and plots of the normalized Fry using Fe oxides. (b) 459

Strain analysis with the same two methods in a horizontal displacement plane (ac). The shear 460

arrows are indicative of the sense of shear and do not show an accurate orientation of the 461

shear direction, which is not available on the outcrop where the sample was collected.

462 463

4.3 Ismetpasa outcrop (creeping section) 464

(17)

boundary with sandstone-shale units. At this site, the deformation in the gouge is 466

associated with tectonic layering leading to more or less fine-grained foliated to 467

granular rocks (F-gouge to G-gouge), Fig. 5a. The foliations are deformed around a 468

rigid clast of residual domain of the initial (undeformed) rock. Figure 5a shows a 469

digitized horizontal thin section, parallel to the displacement plane (ac) of the shear 470

zone, with four XRF maps of silicon on which the Fry-method analysis gave four 471

𝑅 values ranging from 2.7 ±0.1 to 7.5 ±0.4 at centimeter scale (Fig. 5b). It was 472

also possible to calculate the strain distribution at millimeter scale within this thin 473

section from six EPMA maps of mineral content acquired in exposed (the most 474

deformed areas) and protected zones (the less deformed area which is the clast of 475

undeformed initial rock), Fig. 5a. Some of the maps were masked in order to obtain a 476

more accurate evaluation of localized strain and mineral composition in zones of 477

disaggregated but relatively undeformed large quartzite clasts (map 3, Fig. 5a). The 478

relative mass change was calculated excluding magnesite and calcite from the 479

calculation considering that these minerals sealed the porosity of the rock more 480

recently in the deformation process and at least after the process of massive 481

deformation considered here (Kaduri et al., 2017). There was a clear decrease in 482

soluble mineral content from the protected (undeformed) zone to the exposed zones 483

(Fig. 5c). Then, in parallel, the strain was measured on these EPMA maps using the 484

Fry method and 𝑅 values for few representative minerals (albite, anorthite, 485

orthoclase, quartz, smectite). These values were plotted as a function of the relative 486

mass change and showed a near-linear trend (Fig. 5d). The values of 𝑅 converted 487

to quadratic contraction/extension 𝜆 , using the ∆ values (Eq. 1), showed the actual 488

successive change in deformation as a function of the relative mass change (Fig. 5e).

489

Maximum shear strain values are given by maps 2 and 1 with 𝛾 = 1.2 ± 490

0.1 and 1.3 ± 0.1 with 𝑅 = 7.3 and 4.5 and with ∆= – 0.66 and -0.3, respectively.

491

The orientation of the grains in the exposed zones was most often aligned with the 492

local foliation. On the contrary, the protected (near undeformed) zones showed 493

random grain distribution with negligible preferred orientation (Fig. 5f). It must be 494

noted that the estimated grain orientations and the Fry plots are not parallel, because 495

the calculations are not performed at the same scale and because the deformation is 496

heterogeneous around the clast. The Fry plots are obtained from large XRD maps that 497

(18)

represent a sampling of the whole thin section (area XRF I, II, III, IV) whereas the 498

grain orientation are obtained from local EPMA chemical maps and are located in 499

zones where the orientation of the deformation is pretty the same (area map 1, 2, 3b).

500 501

502 Figure 5. Ismetpasa outcrop. (a) Thin section in horizontal displacement plane (ac) with two 503

types of gouge layers: foliated and granular gouges (F-gouge and G-gouge), around an 504

undeformed clast of initial rock, with four XRF maps of silicon (I-VI, centimeter-scale) and 505

six detailed EPMA maps of minerals located by numbers (1-6, millimeter scale), each 506

corresponds to a different mineral, given in the legend in (c). (b) Fry method based on the 507

four XRF large maps (I-IV) with their location above and using the minerals in the legend in 508

(c). (c) Mineral content of the mineral maps. (d) Strain measurements using the Fry method 509

(19)

is lower than the symbol size). The reference (protected zones) is map 5 (clast). (e) Plot of the 511

calculated quadratic contraction/extension as a function of the relative mass change. (f) Rose 512

diagrams of grain orientations from mineral maps with mean grain diameters (GD). The color 513

code is the same as in (c). The shear arrows are indicative of the sense of shear and do not 514

show an accurate orientation of the shear direction, which is not available on the outcrop 515

where the sample was collected.

516 517

4.4 Yazioren outcrop (creeping section) 518

The Yazioren outcrop (Fig. 1) exposes a shear zone in a mélange of carbonate and 519

volcanic rocks with tectonic layering (rich in alumino-silicates) and carbonate 520

boudinage. A horizontal thin section parallel to the displacement plane (ac) of the 521

shear zone was imaged by XRF in order to segment and measure strain markers.

522

Figure 6a shows the calcium XRF map, which emphasizes carbonate boudinage. The 523

strain measurement included two steps. The first step was to measure the quadratic 524

extension 𝜆 along the preserved boudinage (strain markers 1 to 8 in Fig. 6a), which 525

varied in the range 1.4 ±0.1 - 4.1 ±0.2. The second step was to measure the 526

deformation recorded in the deformed matrix located near the boudins, using the Fry 527

method on maps of elements acquired from EPMA measurements (location m1-m13, 528

in the Al map Fig. 6b). The 𝑅 values varied from 1. 0 ± 0.05 to 4.5 ±0.2. The 529

plot of these two types of measurement showed a good correlation with a fitted linear 530

regression coefficient R2=0.89 (Fig. 6c). The relative mass change was calculated 531

using the EPMA maps by comparing exposed and protected zones. Figure 6d shows 532

an example of these two types of zones: an exposed zone (map13) and a protected 533

zone (pressure shadow contoured with a dashed line in map2) around a calcite clast.

534

From the protected to the more exposed zones, the mineral assemblage showed a 535

reduction in soluble mineral content and a relative increase in insoluble mineral 536

content (Fig. 6e). It is thus possible to calculate the mass change relative to the 537

protected zone (map2) (Fig. 6f). There is a near-linear trend between these strain 538

values evaluated by two different methods, 𝜆 and 𝑅 , and the mass change (Fig.

539

6f). Note that such mass change values were only minimum values since the protected 540

zone was not an initial state but rather a less deformed state as attested by the 541

preferred orientation of the grains (Fig. 6g). Based on these measurements, boudinage 542

values associated with mean ∆ = −0.1 lead to strain ratios ranging from 2 to 19 (Eq.

543

1) and gave a shear strain in the range 𝛾 = 1.3 ± 0.1 to 4.0 ± 0.2 while the Fry 544

(20)

method gave a range 𝛾 = 0.5 ± 0.05 to 1.5±0.1 (Eq. 3). These values may be 545

compared with the value of 𝛾 = 1.3 ± 0.1 obtained by the Fry method at the 546

decimeter scale with 𝑅 = 2.8 ± 0.1 (Fig. 6h) and considering a mean value ∆ = 547

0.1. The variation of 𝛾 values at millimetric scale indicated the development of 548

parallel-to-the-cleavage differentiated layers with various associated shear values.

549 550

551 Figure 6. Yazioren outcrop. (a) Calcium map measured by XRF showing boudinage with 552

variation in extensional strain in the horizontal displacement plane (ac). (b) Aluminum map 553

measured by XRF showing the foliation with the locations of the EPMA mineral maps. In (a) 554

and (b) color bars indicate relative content. (c) Correlation between 𝜆 extension of the 555

boudinage and RFry of the nearby matrix (with map-numbers). (d) SEM-BSE image and 556

EPMA mineral maps, showing protected (right) and exposed (left) zones. The color-coding 557

for the minerals is given in the legend of (e). (e) Comparative mineral compositions, the 558

dashed line separates soluble (mobile) and insoluble (non-mobile) minerals. (f) Extension 559

values 𝜆 (from boudinage with numbers) and RFry (from EPMA mineral maps) versus the 560

relative mass change (uncertainty is lower than the symbol size). (g) Rose diagrams of grain 561

orientations from EPMA mineral maps with mean grain diameters (GD) and orientation with 562

respect to the North. (h) Fry diagram at centimeter scale on the whole thin section from XRF 563

data using the minerals in the legend in (e). The shear arrows are indicative of the sense of 564

(21)

the outcrop where the sample was collected.

566 567

4.5 Mülayim outcrop (creeping section) 568

In this outcrop (see Fig. 1), the fault crosscuts a block of ophiolitic mélange 569

embedded into schist, marble and metabasite units. Measurements were performed in 570

the schist that constitutes the main fraction of the rock body. Deformation was 571

measured based on the Fry method at different scales with also the use of folded 572

carbonate veins and the statistical analysis of grain clusters. A horizontal thin section 573

parallel to the displacement plane (ac) revealed a shear zone with cleavage - foliation 574

sub-parallel to the fault and crosscut by carbonate veins in all directions (Fig. 7a).

575

The cleavage can be seen on the XRF aluminum map (Fig. 7b). Parallel-to-the 576

cleavage and oblique-to-the-cleavage veins registered only a small part of the finite 577

extension 𝜆 (0°) = 1.1 ± 0.02 , and 𝜆 (90°) = 1.2 ± 0.02 , respectively.

578

Contraction perpendicular to the foliation was measured from folded veins giving 579

𝜆 = 0.45 ± 0.01 from the decimeter-scale thin section (Fig. 7a) to millimeter size 580

EPMA map (Fig. 7d) indicating a minimum shear strain 𝛾 =1.8 ±0.1. The 581

deformation evaluated from the Fry method using XRF aluminum maps had a 582

relatively high value 𝑅 = 8.5 ± 0.4 (Fig. 7c), corresponding to a shear strain 𝛾 = 583

2.6±0.2. No volume change can be calculated here due to the lack of clear evidence 584

of undeformed (or at least less deformed) protected zones, despite cleavage-foliation 585

being visible with alternating phyllosilicate-rich and albite-quartz-rich tectonic layers 586

indicating significant pressure solution mass transfer (Fig. 7f). Nonetheless, the 587

deformation was highly heterogeneous. Using EPMA maps at millimeter size, some 588

strain variations can be measured when using the Fry method in three different zones:

589

the hinge (H) and the limb (L) of an arcuate structure and an intermediate area (I) 590

(Fig. 7d) with 𝑅 ranging from 1.4 ±0.07 to 4.8 ±0.2 (Fig. 7e). Such strain values, 591

lower at millimeter size than at decimeter scale, implies the existence of some highly 592

localized zones with very high strain values at the sub-grain size. Within these zones, 593

phyllosilicates were oriented sub-parallel to the shear zone with embedded residues of 594

feldspar minerals and Fe oxides (Fig. 7f) and such fine-grained thin structures were 595

probably not taken into account well enough by the Fry method.

596

This problem was investigated by a statistical analysis of the Al grain clusters. More 597

precisely, relying on the detailed observations of the grain orientation and associated 598

(22)

Fry ellipses (Fig. 7d, f, e), the distribution of the orientation of elongated grain 599

clusters containing aluminum was fitted with two normal probability density 600

functions. At the decimeter scale (Fig. 7b) the cleavage-foliation is overall sub- 601

parallel to the fault at the boundary of the sample. In such ductile context, this fault is 602

presumably parallel to the shear direction and, by measuring the angle 𝜃 between the 603

line normal to the fault and the long axis of elongated grain clusters, the amplitude of 604

shear strain is evaluated: the angle between the long axis of elongated grains 605

(assimilated to cleavage plane) and the shear direction (a) is 𝛼′ when 𝛼 = 45° (initial 606

cleavage) in Eq. 2. This calculation corresponds to the wider normal distribution in 607

Fig. 7g that gives an angle 𝛼′= 1° associated with 𝛾 value of 57. However, at the 608

millimeter scale (Fig. 7d, f) we described two types of shear bands: those with grains 609

oblique to the shear direction and those with grains sub-parallel to this shear direction.

610

In order to better constrain the value of the 𝛼 angle in the shear bands with grains 611

sub-parallel to the shear direction we choose to concentrate our analysis in these 612

bands (with angles ranging from -5 to + 5° with the shear direction). Doing so we 613

avoid the possible perturbing effect of the grains oblique to the shear. This calculation 614

corresponds to the narrower normal distribution in Fig. 7g that gives an angle 𝛼′=

615

0.3°. This value of the 𝛼 angle is associated with 𝛾 value of 190. However, 616

uncertainty on the angle between the normal distribution of the elongated grains 617

cluster and the shear displacement is probably higher than 1°, leading to 𝛾 values 618

ranging from 40 to > 200. The coexistence of such a wide range of strain values, the 619

uncertainty of their evaluation and their use to calculate the aseismic displacement is 620

discussed in section 5.2.

621 622

(23)

Figure 7. Mülayim outcrop. (a) Calcium map in the horizontal displacement plane (ac) 624

measured by XRF with a folded calcite vein (ptygmatic vein) shown between arrows along 625

dashed white lines. (b) Aluminum map in the same sample indicates sub-parallel cleavage- 626

foliation rich in phyllosilicates. In (a) and (b), color bars indicate relative content. (c) Fry 627

diagram based on XRF-maps (decimeter scale, 7a-b) using the minerals in the legend in (d):

628

anatase and mica. (d) Mineral maps with fold separated by masks in the hinge, the 629

intermediate area and the limb with different cleavage angles (locations are given in Fig. 7a).

630

(e) Fry diagram based on the selected zones of the mineral map with increasing values of RFry

631

from hinge to limb (millimeter scale) using the minerals in the legend in (d). (f) Mineral map 632

in a highly localized deformation zone with sub-parallel to the shear displacement micas and 633

embedded fine-grained quartz. (g) Orientation distribution of clusters of grains containing Al 634

(Fig. 7b) fitted by two normal probability density functions (PDF), with the mean diameter of 635

the grain clusters containing aluminum (GCD). Parameters of the two normal distributions are 636

<α'> the mean angle with the fault (F) and σ' the standard deviation: <α'> = 1° and 0.3° and 637

σ'= 42° and 2.5° for the wide and narrow distributions, respectively.

638 639

4.6 Gerede outcrop (creeping section) 640

The Gerede outcrop (Figs. 1 and 8b) is an abandoned quarry at the western end of the 641

Ismetpasa creeping segment (Hussain et al., 2016; Cetin et al., 2014). It is located one 642

kilometer south of the present-day active fault zone with several other major strike- 643

(24)

slip faults in between mostly buried under Quaternary sediments (Kaduri et al., 2017).

644

The quarry presents a continuous 150 m-wide outcrop (Fig. 8a) that reveals a network 645

of 5 to 30 cm thick clay-rich soft gouges with parallel-to-the-fault cleavage-foliation 646

(Fig. 8a, 8c, 8d). These faults cross the volcanic units of the Galatia massif 647

(Adiyaman et al., 2001), which are a mélange of dacite, andesite and trachy-basalts 648

(Wilson et al., 1997). These different units are difficult to distinguish. In the gouges, 649

they have been transformed by deformation coupled to low temperature 650

metamorphism (Kaduri et al., 2017). In the damage zones, they have been highly 651

damaged with fractured blocks and dense networks of vertical veins in all directions 652

(Fig. 8e). Such sealed fractures were related to episodic inflow events of carbonate- 653

rich fluids that were associated with the successive earthquakes that affected this 654

section of the NAF (Kaduri et al., 2017). Moreover, the deformation was 655

heterogeneous with more or less rigid fractured blocks surrounded by foliated zones 656

with intense deformation displaying a braided fault pattern at all scales, from thin 657

section (Fig. 5a) to regional scale (Fig. 8a). The size of such rigid blocks decreased 658

drastically in gouges and in zones with cleavage sub-parallel to the shear fault but the 659

boundaries of such zones were undulated and their widths varied along strike (Fig.

660

8a-c-d). In thin sections, only some islands of volcanic rocks can be seen between the 661

networks of veins. Consequently, it was not possible to evaluate the strain and shear 662

values using particle distribution as in the other studied outcrops.

663

However, it was possible to evaluate the shear values from the angles between the 664

cleavage and the shear fault planes, similar to what was done at microstructural scale 665

for the Mülayim outcrop (Fig. 7g). Such angles can be measured either directly in the 666

field or in thin sections. It was not possible to measure the variations of these angles 667

along a continuous path over the entire 150 m of the outcrop. However, the damage 668

zones appeared to be more layered in areas near the gouges than away from them 669

(Fig. 8c-d). Thin sections showed that, in these areas near the gouges, the cleavage 670

orientation was sub-parallel to the shear fault plane (Fig. 8f-g-h), whereas away from 671

the gouge the cleavage was oblique to the fault (Figs. 8e), as in other outcrops (Fig.

672

5f, 6g). Such change of cleavage orientation being rather sharp, it was possible to 673

evaluate in the field the width of the shear zones characterized by parallel-to-the-fault 674

cleavage with an uncertainty of about 10%. Such shear zones include all the gouges 675

plus damage zones around them that have the same structural aspect as that seen on 676

(25)

width of the quarry. The ratio between this cumulative width of shear zones with 679

parallel-to-the-fault cleavage and the total 150 m width of the outcrop may be 680

evaluated and is equal to 0.04 ±0.004. This ratio can be considered as a representative 681

value at a more regional scale (100-1000 m). The shear strain values associated with 682

cleavage sub-parallel to the fault were not easy to evaluate and will be discussed in 683

section 5.2. These strain values and the width of the shear zones with fault parallel 684

cleavage were used to estimate the total fault displacement accommodated by creep 685

during geological times in section 5.3.

686 687

688 Figure 8. Gerede outcrop. (a) Photograph of the 150 m-wide outcrop showing the fault 689

network and the location and widths of zones (shaded in white) with parallel-to-the-fault 690

cleavage/foliation. (b) Geological map with the trace of the main fault in the outcrop (dashed 691

line), Q=Quaternary, Pl3=Pleistocene conglomerate sandstone, M7=Miocene agglomerate 692

tuff, T7=Eocene andesite basalt, MaPa=Cretaceous limestone, Sna=Cretaceous limestone, 693

JKk1=Jurassic limestone. (c) Zone with parallel-to-the-fault cleavage and soft gouge in the 694

upper part of the quarry: see location in (a). (d) Zone with parallel-to-the-fault cleavage and 695

soft gouge in the lower part of the quarry (not seen in a). (e) Element map of Ca using XRF 696

with typical network of calcite - dolomite veins parallel and perpendicular to the cleavage.

697

The blue perpendicular-to-the-fault vein is a late magnesite vein. (f) Parallel-to-the-fault 698

cleavage in a thin section of soft gouge. (h) Parallel-to-the-fault cleavage in a thin section 699

near the gouge (see location in c). (g) Parallel-to-the-fault cleavage in SEM image with 700

dolomite and magnesite veins parallel to the fault and to the cleavage - foliation (layers of 701

clinochlore and smectite).

702 703

5. Discussion 704

(26)

Several parameters are needed to calculate the displacement associated with creep 705

processes in the NAF shear zone: the quadratic extension and contraction strain 706

values, the volume change, that allow calculating the shear strain when data of all 707

outcrops are combined (Fig. 9), and the width of the shear zone that allows 708

calculating the shear displacement (Eq. 4). The evaluation of these parameters is 709

discussed below, as well as their uncertainty. In section 5.1 we discuss the volume 710

change in the creeping sections and its effect on shear displacement. In section 5.2 we 711

discuss the strain and width evaluation. We evaluate the total displacement in locked 712

sections. We discuss the effect of heterogeneous deformation in creeping sections and 713

we propose a model of two normal shear strain distributions. Finally, the modeling of 714

the total aseismic displacement along the creeping sections is discussed in section 5.3.

715 716

5.1 Volume change evaluation: uncertainty and effect on shear displacement 717

Here we discuss the relationship between strain and mass-volume change because 718

volume change is an important parameter of the relation between total strain and shear 719

strain (Eq. 3). These relations are discussed based on a “strain-ratio/shear- 720

strain/volume-change” diagram (Fig. 9). An horizontal plane strain in 2D is assumed, 721

thereby implying homogeneity along the y-axis (Ramsay, 1980; Heilbronner and 722

Barrett, 2014; Fossen and Cavalcante, 2017). For the same measured strain ratio, R, 723

the higher is the volume change the lower is the associated shear strain (Fig. 9). For 724

example, for R=10, the shear strain ranges from 𝛾 = 2.9 to 𝛾 = 2.0 for a volume 725

change ranging from ∆ = 0 to ∆ = −0.5, respectively (Fig. 9). For higher strain ratio, 726

such as R=10000, when cleavage become sub-parallel to the shear zone at less than 727

0.5° angle, the shear strain ranges from 𝛾 = 100 to 𝛾 = 72 for a volume change 728

ranging from ∆ = 0 to ∆= −0.5, respectively (Fig. 9). Despite such variations of 729

strain for such large variation from ∆ = 0 to ∆= −0.5, it does not change the order of 730

magnitude of the shear strain values. It is worth noting that the calculated mass 731

change is a relative value. It is obtained by comparing a deformed “exposed” area 732

with a “protected” area which is either undeformed (in the best case) or which is just 733

less deformed. This is the reason why we also evaluated the deformation of the 734

protected zone from grain geometry and orientation analysis. Moreover, as the rock 735

density does not significantly change, mass change is equivalent to volume change.

736

(27)

representative of all visited sites along the NAF shear zone (Fig. 1): Taskesty in 738

limestone, Hamamli in serpentine and the four other sites (Ismetpasa, Yazioren, 739

Mulayim, Gerede) in various rocks with volcanic origin.

740

All the sites in limestone show several narrow parallel-to-the-fault shear zones of 741

decimeter width with numerous stylolites. The Taskesti sampling is well 742

representative of all these shear zones for which the deformation near the fault 743

measured at decimeter scale shows no significant volume change with ∆ = 0.08 (Fig.

744

3). Observations (Fig. 3) always show clear evidence of alternating seismic (fractures) 745

and aseismic (stylolites) processes (Kaduri et al., 2017). However, the aseismic part 746

remains very low, with mean quadratic values of 𝜆 = 1.2 ± 0.1 and 𝜆 = 0.9 ± 747

0.02 leading to a low shear strain value 𝛾 = 0.2 ± 0.05, a value not significantly 748

affected by uncertainties on volume change.

749

At the Hamamli serpentine site, it was not possible to calculate a volume change as no 750

area less deformed than any other was found. This difficulty is a general problem of 751

volume change calculation in serpentine where heterogeneities are rare (Andreani et 752

al., 2005). In Mulayim, the same absence of protected zone prevented us from 753

evaluating the volume change. The corresponding strain values at these sites are then 754

plotted in Fig. 9 assuming no volume change.

755

At the other sites, volume change was measured by comparative chemical analyses 756

(Fig. 5 & 6) at millimeter scale. These calculations assume that in the deformed areas 757

the soluble minerals dissolve and are removed. A minor part of these soluble 758

minerals, as some feldspars, were transformed into newly crystallized phyllosilicate 759

minerals rather than removed, however, this does not significantly alter the 760

calculations (Kaduri et al. 2017). There is a clear correlation between strain and 761

volume change indicating that the same pressure solution mechanism is responsible 762

for the deformation with the development of parallel-to-the-cleavage tectonic 763

layering. When the protected zone is in an undeformed state, as in Ismetpasa (Fig. 5), 764

the volume change varies from one layer to another from 0.22 ±0.005 to more than 765

0.66 ±0.01. When the protected zone is slightly deformed, as in Yazioren (Fig. 6), 766

the variations are lower and the uncertainty is much higher. This pattern of successive 767

perpendicular-to-the-compressive-stress layers with various compositions is typical of 768

a pressure solution self-organized process that has been reproduced experimentally 769

(28)

(Gratier et al., 2015). This observation was made in the 25 investigated outcrops in 770

volcanic and analogous rocks of the NAF creeping shear zone. It indicates a very slow 771

ductile and aseismic deformation (Gratier et al., 2013). In order to extrapolate this 772

quantitative result to the whole shear zone, some complementary geological 773

observations are needed. No traces of recrystallization of the soluble minerals (quartz 774

and feldspar) are found in the shear zone, so it is likely that the whole shear zone was 775

developed with a decrease of volume at least during the early time of its development.

776

However, later in the NAF development, numerous carbonate veins crosscut some 777

damage zone as seen in Gerede (Fig. 8e). As such carbonates need to come from 778

outside since they were not present in the initial rocks, they may have contributed to a 779

local increase of volume. Consequently, in order to evaluate shear strain values 780

representative of the entire NAF shear zone in volcanic and analogous rocks (Fig. 9) 781

we used a median regional value of the volume change with a large uncertainty, ∆ = 782

−0.20 ± 0.15.

783

Finally, the possibility of much higher volume changes, that we may have missed, 784

must be discussed because large volume change values below ∆ = −0.8 have a large 785

effect on the calculation of shear strain (Fig. 9). Common observation is that volume 786

change associated with pressure solution is limited to about ∆ = −0.7. It is due to 787

several effects especially the progressive decrease of the soluble mineral content and 788

their progressive isolation in the soft matrix of insoluble species that render their 789

stress-driven dissolution more and more difficult (Gratier, et al., 2013). Moreover, 790

there is another effect in shear zones that limits the volume change, which is linked to 791

the rotation of the cleavage. Pressure solution initiates along solution cleavage planes 792

near rigid objects (Fig. 5a) and develops progressively further away at 45° from the 793

shearing direction at the beginning of the shearing process. At this stage, the shearing 794

displacement contributes to the tectonic layering process with volume decrease.

795

However, at a later stage with the rotation of the cleavage that becomes sub-parallel to 796

the shear zone, the displacement is less and less dependent on the volume reduction 797

perpendicular to the cleavage. When the cleavage is sub-parallel to the shear zone 798

(Fig. 7f), only the effect of the perpendicular-to-the-shear zone compaction 799

contributes to the dissolution. At this stage, large sliding along parallel-to-the-fault 800

cleavage must switch to grain boundary sliding. This mechanism can always be a 801

pressure solution process at grain size scale in order to accommodate relative grain 802

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