ContentslistsavailableatScienceDirect
Resource and Energy Economics
j ou r n a l h o m e p a g e :w w w . e l s e v i e r . c o m / l o c a t e / r e e
Buying the right to do wrong – An experimental test of moral objections to trading emission permits
Ragnhild Haugli Braaten
a, Kjell Arne Brekke
b,∗, Ole Rogeberg
caOsloEconomics,Norway
bDepartmentofEconomics,UniversityofOslo,Norway
cTheRagnarFrischCentreforEconomicResearch,Oslo,Norway
a r t i c l e i n f o
Articlehistory:
Received22May2013
Receivedinrevisedform8June2015 Accepted12July2015
Availableonline20July2015
JELclassification:
C9 Q3
Keywords:
Tradablepollutionrights Experiment
Morality
a b s t ra c t
Moralobjectionstoquotatradearecommoninpublicdiscussion.
Theunderlyingmoralreasoningisoftenhardtoextractfromthe public’srhetoric,andeconomistsoftenclaimthattheobjections areduetomisunderstandings.Inthispaperwetestexperimentally one possible objection totrading emission rights: that selling pollutionrightsisobjectionablebecauseitinvolvestradeinthe right todo somethingwrong. Theexperiment is phrased in a neutral language to avoid invokingsubjects’ priorattitudes to tradingpollutionpermits.Intheexperiment,subjectsearnmoney fromusingstickersthatinflictlossesonothers.Aftertheinitial rounds,theuseofstickersislimitedandtherightstousestickers are tradable. We observe no reluctance to trade these rights comparedtoacontroltreatmentwithidenticalincentivesbutno externalities.Inafinalstage,subjectsvoteonwhetherstickers shouldbetradableornot.Subjectsinbothtreatmentsarealmost unanimous in the support to trade. A majority of third party subjectsaskedtojudgetheexperimentalprocedures, however, indicatedthatthemarketmadetheuseofstickersseemmore moral.A postexperimentsurveyshowedthatoursubjectpool hadanegativeattitudetoreallifetradeofemissionquota.The experimentfindsnoindicationthatthisattitudeisduetoaconcern overtradablequotaslegitimizingmorallyobjectionableactions.
©2015TheAuthors.PublishedbyElsevierB.V.Thisisanopen accessarticleundertheCCBYlicense (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
∗Correspondingauthor.Tel.:+4748295384;fax:+4722855035.
E-mailaddresses:[email protected](R.H.Braaten),[email protected](K.A.Brekke),[email protected] (O.Rogeberg).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.reseneeco.2015.07.002
0928-7655/©2015TheAuthors.PublishedbyElsevierB.V.ThisisanopenaccessarticleundertheCCBYlicense (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
1. Introduction
Whenthe“environmentalrevolution”arrivedinthe1960s,economistswerereadyandwaiting.
-Openingstatementof“Thetheoryofenvironmentalpolicy”(BaumolandOates,1988) TheTimeswasfloodedwithscathingletters—mostlyfromeconomists,someofthemmyHar- vardcolleagues.Ifailedtounderstandthevirtueofmarkets,theysuggested,ortheefficiencies oftrade,ortheelementaryprinciplesofeconomicrationality.
-PhilosopherMichaelSandelonreactionstohismoralargumentsagainsttradableemission quotas(Sandel,2012)
Economistswerequicktosuggestenvironmentaltaxesandtradableemissionquotaswhenthe modernenvironmentalmovementarrived,but,asBaumolandOates(1988)pointedout,thesesolu- tionswerenotwellreceived.1Commandandcontrolwerepreferredtoeconomicinstrumentslike quotasandtaxes,and whilesomeschemesinvolvingtradableemissionquotas havebeenimple- mentedrecently,legalinstrumentsstilldominate.Therewas,andstillis,aconsiderableresistance towardbothtaxesandtradablequotas,oftenlacedwithmoralindignation.Thisisespeciallysofor tradableemissionquotas.
Whydomanynon-economistsobjectsostronglytoanideathateconomiststypicallysupport?Do non-economistsfailtounderstandthebasicideabehindquotatrade,orhaseconomictrainingsome- howmadeeconomistsblindtomoralissuesthatothersfindobvious?Toexaminethis,wedesignedan experimentwhereparticipantscouldtradetherightstodowrong.Thewronginvolvedusing‘stick- ers’thatbroughtgaintotheuserandharmtotheothergroupmembers,withnetharmoverall.We examinedwhetherparticipantsfoundtradeintherightstousestickersobjectionablebothbefore andafterexperiencewithtradeinadouble-auctiontradingmarket.Thedesigndidnotinvokeacli- mate/environmentalcontext,andtheuseoftermssuchas“quotas”or“emissions”wasavoidedsoas nottotriggerpriorconvictionsonthemoralityofemissiontradingschemes.
Skepticismtoward tradableemission quotasseemstobewidespread.Askedin2010whether
“Norwayoughttotakeitsshareofresponsibilityforgreenhousegasemissionsbybuyingemission quotasfromothercountries,”anationallyrepresentativesurveyoftheNorwegianpopulationfound 46%disagreeingwiththestatement.2Thisnegativeattitudetotradableemissionsquotasisalsoappar- entinofficialNorwegianpolicy.Followinganintensepoliticaldebateonthemoralityofbuyingquotas abroad,thefinalpoliciesemphasizedtargetsfordomesticabatementsattheexpenseofcostefficiency (EyckmansandKverndokk,2010).
Oneexplanationforthisskepticismmaybethatpoliticiansandthepublicfailtounderstandhow atradableemissionwouldworkandwhatitwouldachieve.Alternatively,itmaybeeconomiststhat areunabletoseeamoralargumentthatnon-economistsemphasize.Pastexperimentalresultshave shownthateconomicsstudentstendtoactmoreselfishlythanotherstudents.Thismaybedueto selection(FreyandMeier,2005),butitmayalsoreflecttheeffectsoftheirtraining:economistsare typicallytaughttofocusonoutcomes,leadingtoanemphasisontotalcostsandemissionsinour context.IfpolicyAyieldsbetterconsequencesforeveryonethanpolicyB,economistswilltendtosee Aasthebestoption,evenifthispolicy“legitimizes”somethingothersfeelshouldbestigmatized.
The view that markets legitimize objectionable actions appears in many contexts. We have observeditintalkshows,cartoons,anddiscussionswithnon-economists.Atypicalargumentisto stateorsuggestthatthelogicofquotatradingwouldextendtoquotasforanynumberofbadorillegal activities.Thesatiricalwebsitecheatneutral.comclaimsto“highlightsomeoftheissuessurrounding carbonoffsetting”byprovidingpeoplewhocheatontheirspousestheopportunitytopayothersto refrainfromdoingso–thusoffsettingthesin.By“fundingsomeoneelsetobefaithfulandNOTcheat [t]hisneutralizesthepainandunhappyemotionandleavesyouwithaclearconscience”.Similarly,a
1Thisisnottheonlyissuewhereeconomistsandnon–economiststendtodisagree,seeSapienzaandZingales(2013).
2From“ThelargeNorwegianclimate-andenvironmentalsurvey2010”conductedbyIpsosMMIandCICEROCentrefor ClimateStudies(“Denstorenorskeklima-ogmiljøundersøkelsen2010”).
politicalcomicstripbyKenFishersatirizedtheCleanAirActin1992byshowingahomeowner(Ryder) surprisingaburglarinhishome.Usingatelephoneexchangecalled“crimebrokers”hesellshisright tokilltheintrudertothebrokers,whosellitontoacriminal(Sluggo).“Thus,Ryderovercomplied withthelawsothatSluggocouldundercomply.Thesamenumberofdeathresults,butwithamore efficientallocation”.
Toeconomists,suchargumentsbyanalogywillseemlikeevidenceofabasicmisunderstanding.
Commontomanyoftheexampleswehavecomeacross,however,isthebeliefthatmarketsforan activitylegitimizetheactivityandunderminemoralnorms.Inthislight,theethicalargumenthastwo parts:onesupportingtheclaimthatanactivityXisunethical,andonesupportingtheclaimthata marketinactivityXwoulderodeethicalnormsagainsttheactivity.
AsystematicandexplicitstatementofthisargumentcomesfromHarvardphilosopherMichael Sandel,whofirstpresentedtheargumentina1997NewYorkTimesop-ed(Sandel,2005),restatingit inhisrecentbook(Sandel,2012).HearguesthatexcessiveCO2emissionsaremorallyobjectionable, andthatthismorallyobjectionableactivityislegitimizedbyinstitutingatradingscheme.Thismakes thetradingschemeitselfimmoral.
Thereissomeevidencethatmarket-likefeaturescaninfluencetheuseandeffectofinformalpun- ishmentssuchassocialsanction.Inawidelycitedstudy,GneezyandRustichini(2000)foundthata fineforpickingupchildrenlateinakindergartenresultedinmoreparentspickinguptheirchildren late.Theyarguedthat“afineisaprice,”andthattheintroductionofafineshiftedthewayparents sawtheirbehavior:keepingyourchildinkindergartenafterclosinghourswentfrombeinganethical issuetobeingaserviceprovidedataprice.Theintroductionofthefineledtoa“crowdingout”ofthe ethicalincentives.WhilethestudydoesnotsupportSandel’sclaimthatpricesunderminemorality morethanfinesdo,statedbehaviorstudiedinBrekkeetal.(2003)indicatesthatpeopledorespond differentlytofines,whichareseenassymbolicallysupportinganobligation,thantheydotoprices, whichareseenasfaircompensationforaserviceavailableforpurchase.Itseemswellestablishedthat pricescanundermineamoralobligation(seeBowlesandPolania-Reyes(2012)forarecentsurveyof theliterature).
Viewedinthislight,thestrongreactionfromeconomiststhatSandeldescribesintheintroductory quotetothisarticlemayseemsurprising:textbooktreatmentsofpollutionineconomicsseepollution asexcessiveifitgeneratesmoreharmthanbenefits.Thisdefinitionofexcessiveseemsdifferentfrom Sandel’sinstrictnessmorethaninkind.Crowdingout,whilenotyetstandardtextbookmaterial,is thesubjectofalargeliterature,andwouldbeunlikelytomakeeconomistsfloodtheNewYorkTimes withletters.Sowhereisthedisagreement?Asweseeit,thedisagreementislikelyaboutconsequence ethicsversusvirtueethics.
WhenfirmAsellsapermittofirmB,AwillpollutelessandBmore,buttotalpollutionwillremain thesame.Sincebothfirmswanttotrade,theymustbothbebetteroff.Wethushavethesamepol- lution,lowercostsforbothfirmsandnodirectnegativeconsequences.Evaluatedontheseoutcomes tradeseemsunobjectionable.Sandel,ontheotherhand,isinspiredbyvirtueethics.Polluting,and henceharmingothers,isnotconsistentwithamoralcharacter.Aninstitutionthatservestolegitimize pollutionisthereforeitselfobjectionable,evenifpollutionlevelsremainthesame.3
OurquestionisnotwhetherSandelisrightinhismoralobjectiontoquotatrade,butwhetherasimi- larmoralobjectioncouldhelpexplainthewidespreadoppositiontotradableemissionquotaschemes:
areexperimentalparticipantsopposedtotradeintherighttodosomethingmorallywrongwhen thetradeisPareto-improvinginmonetaryoutcomes?Whilesurveysrevealsubstantialmoralobjec- tiontowardtradingofpollutionrights,attitudesmaybedifferentwhentheparticipantsthemselves experiencethedirectmonetarybenefitsoftrade.
Asweseeit,themainmoralobjectionagainstCO2emissionsisthatmarginalemissionsatcurrent levelsharmothersinexcessofwhatcanbejustifiedbyindividualgains.Inourexperiment,thiseffect wasreproducedbyaskinglabparticipantstochoosehowmany‘stickers’touse.Eachstickerused increasedtheirownpayoff,butinflictedamonetarylossontheirco-players,withthelossexceeding
3Forachallengetotheviewthatmarketsincarbondioxideemissionareobjectionablefromavirtueethicalperspective,see BruniandSugden(2013).
theirprivatebenefit4.Theprivatepayofffromsticker-usewasasymmetricwithinthegroupsoasto generategainsfromtradeinstickers.
Inthebaselineroundsparticipantsusedmostoftheirstickers,justaspeopleinpracticegenerate largeCO2-emissionsoutsidethelab.Next,weintroducedlimiteduse-rightsforthestickersalongwith anopportunitytotradeuser-rightswithinthegroup.“Burning”orretiringuse-rightswasexplicitly ruledouttoensurethattotalharmswerekeptconstant.Forthetreatmentgroups,thiswasframedas atradablerighttousestickers.Inthecontroltreatment,thiswasframedasanewandseparatetrading schemeinvolvinganewgoodthatdidnotimposeharmsonanyone(detailsgivenbelow).Formally, thetwogameswereequivalent,soanydifferencesshouldbeduetotheframing:tradingtheright toharmothersversustradingamorallyneutralgood.Beforethetradingschemewasintroduced, participantsinbothtreatmentandcontrolgroupswereaskedwhethertheythoughtthattrading shouldbeallowedornot.Afterparticipatingin10tradingrounds,participantsweregivenanactual votetodecidewhethertradingshouldbeallowedinafinalround.
Oppositiontotradecouldbedisplayedinthreeways:(1)bystatingoppositiontotradeinasurvey questionbeforeexperiencingtrade,(2)bylimitingtheamountoftrade(andtherebyforegoingearn- ings),and(3)byvotingagainsttradeinafinalroundwherethemajorityvotedeterminedwhether ornottradingwouldbeallowedinthefinalpartoftheexperiment.Ifparticipantsdidseeamoral objectiontotradingtherighttousestickersthatharmothers,wewouldexpectthemtovoteagainst tradebothinthepre-experiencehypotheticalvoteandinthepost-experiencerealvote.Wewould expectnoobjectionstotradeinthecontrolgroupswithtradeinamorallyneutralgood.Wewould alsoexpectthatmoralobjectionswouldshowupasreluctancetotradeinthetreatmentgroups,so thatfewerrightswouldbetradedinthetreatmentgroupscomparedtothecontrolgroups.
Theresultsshowednoobjectionstotradeinanyoftheseoutcomemeasuresforeitherthetreat- mentorcontrolgroups.Variousexplanationsoftheresultsarepossible:participantsmayhavefound theharminflictedonothersinsufficientlyseveretoseestickeruseasmorallyobjectionable.Alter- natively,theymightnotseetradeinstickersaslegitimizingstickersuse.Totestthesehypotheses weranasurveyonAmazonMechanicalTurk.Theserespondentshadnotparticipatedintheoriginal experiment,butweregiventheinstructionsfromtheexperimentandaskedtoassesswhethersticker usewasmorallyobjectionable,andwhetheramarketinstickerswouldservetolegitimizesuchuse.
Respondentstendedtoagreeonbothpoints:stickerusewasamoralissue,andthemarketlegitimized stickeruse.
Anotherpossibilitycouldbethatourresearchparticipantsviewedmarketsmorefavorablythan most.Thisseemsimplausibleinlightofapostexperimentalsurveyonmoraljudgmentsofdifferent markets:oursubjectsstatedstrongmoralobjectionstoemissionquotatrade,ratingtheimmoralityof quotatradebetweentwofirmsalmostashighasthatofmarketsinhumanorgansandsexualservices.
Insum,theresultsfromtheexperimentandthesurveysuggestthatthestickerdesignfulfilled bothpremisesofSandel’sargument,butwithoutthesefeaturestriggeringstrongoppositiontotrade instickers.Thisisconsistentwiththeeconomists’hypothesisthatoppositiontotradableemission quotasisduetoamisunderstandingofquotatradingsystems.Alternativeexplanations,however, cannotberuledoutandtheresultsshouldbeseenastentative:first,the“Turkers”whoevaluated themoralityofstickeruseandmarketswithoutdirectlyparticipatingintheexperimentwerealso askedcontrolquestionstotesttheirunderstandingoftheexperimentaldesign.Almostnonewere abletoanswerallquestionscorrectly,andremainingmisunderstandingsmayhaveinfluencedtheir moraljudgments.Second,totheextentthattheethicalnormsarespecifictotheactivityinvolved, thecaseforstrengtheningandprotectingnormsagainst“stickeruse”islikelytobeweakerthanthe caseforstrengtheningandprotectingnormsagainstexcessiveCO2emissions.Thatis,oursubjectmay sharetheviewthatCO2emissionisanactthatshouldbepenalized,butatthesametimefindsticker usewithintheexperimenttootrivialtowarrantstigmatizing.Ifthiswasthecase,Sandel’sargument againstmarketsthatlegitimizeimmoralactswouldnotapplyinthespecificcasestudied.Third,
4Formosttypesofemissions,theprivatebenefitsexceedthesocialcostforlowlevelsofemissions.Bystandardeconomic arguments,emissionsaresociallyharmfulandpolicyinterventionsrequiredonlywhensocialcostsexceedprivatebenefits.
Wehavethuschosentocalibratetheexperimentsuchthatthisisthecaseforallstickersused.
theexperimentalinstructionsemphasizedthatsubjectsunderstoodthepayoffconsequencesoftheir action.Thismayspecificallytriggerconsequentialistmoraljudgment.Paxtonetal.(2011)documents thatworkingonmathematicalproblemsincreasestheprobabilityoflatermoraljudgmentsbeing consequentialist.Onethirdofourparticipantsarestudentsofmath,althoughrecruitedintheirfirst yearatuniversity,thisselectionofstudentsmaybeparticularlypronetoconsequentialistbehavior.
Inconclusion,whileourexperimentfailstoshowhowmoraloppositiontoquotatradearises,itdoes showthatsuchresistanceisnotanautomaticresponsetriggeredinanymarketthatinvolvestradein immoralgoods.
2. Othermoralobjectionstoquotatrade
Toavoidmisunderstanding,itisworthnotingthatourexperimentisnotintendedtotestwhether participantshavemoralobjectionstoquota-marketsingeneral.Ouraimistotesthowimportantand widelyheldaveryspecifictypeofobjectionis.Tomakethispointcleareritmaybeusefultopointout someexamplesofalternativeobjectionsthatarenottestedinthisstudy.Inadditiontofeatureswhich arespecifictoquotatradeasapolicyinstrument,therearealsootherethicalquestionsraisedbysuch tradingschemes.Theseconcernsmayinvolvetheamount,distributionandtimingofabatements,as wellasthedistributionofcosts(seefurtherdiscussionofsuchgeneralethicalissuesinthecontextof climatechangeinGardiner,2004).
WhiletradeinemissionquotasisPareto-improving,thegainsmaybeasymmetricallyshared.If sellersofquotasarepoorandthegainsprimarilygotorichbuyers,anobjectiontothetrademaybe thatitincreasesinequality.Ifthepricesaresufficientlyfavorabletothepartythatisbestoff,theories ofinequalityaversionlikeFehrandSchmidt(1999)wouldpredictthatparticipantinthelabwould opposetrade.Cicconeetal.(2015)testsuchatradingschemeinthelabandfindthatparticipants areindeedreluctanttotradeatsetpricesthatstronglyfavortherich,evenifthetradeisPareto- improvinginmonetaryoutcomes.Thiscouldexplainobjectionstoemissionstradingifparticipants thinkthemarketpricewillfavorrichcountries.Itisunlikelytoberelevantinourexperiment,where pricesareendogenousandwouldshiftinresponse.
Otherobjectionstoemissionstradingaremorepragmaticandrelatedtospecificdesigndetails.One suchsub-optimalfeatureistheoftenexcessiveamountofquotasissued,bothintheKyotoProtocol andwithintheEUETStradingsystem.Thismakestheabatementgeneratedbythequotasystem limitedandinsufficient,andmaybeareasonforopposingspecificimplementationsofsuchpolicies.
AnotherfrequentlycriticizedfeatureoftheKyotoProtocolisitsCleanDevelopmentMechanism(CDM).
TheCDMraisesseveralproblematicincentiveeffectsandmayinfactincreaseemissionsratherthan stabilizingthemasintended(StrandandRosendahl,2012).Suchcriticism,whichwasalsoincluded inSandel’s1997op-ed,iscommonalsoamongsteconomists,butapplytoflawedimplementationsof thepolicyratherthantothe“intrinsic”moralityofquotatradeperse.
3. Experimentaldesign
TheexperimentconsistedofthreestageswhichareoutlinedinTable1.Stage1wasalinearcommon poolresourcegamewheretakingfromthecommonpoolresourcewasframedas“usingstickers.”
Byusingastickertheparticipantearnedaprivatepayoff,butatthesametimeimposednegative externalitiesonthethreeothergroupmembers.Theprivateearningsofstickerusewasasymmetric, inordertocreategainsfromtradeinstage2.Stage1oftheexperimentwasplayedfor10roundsand wasidenticalforbothcontrolandtreatmentsessions.
Instage2,thegroupsinthetreatmentsessionswereissuedalimitednumberofrightstouse stickers.Theserightsweretradableandcouldnotberetired(i.e.,the“quotas”couldnotbe“burnt”).
Thisdesignwaschosentoensurethattotalharmscouldnotbeinfluencedbyparticipants.Ifithad beenpossibletoretirestickers,however,“stronglymoral”participantswouldfacenewmoralissues regardingtrade:sellingastickeryouwouldnototherwiseusewouldruntheriskthatthebuyerwould usethesticker,increasingtotalharm.Thiswouldmakesalesmorallyproblematic.Alternatively,the
“stronglymoral”participantmightwanttopurchaseadditionalstickersinordertoretiretheseand reducetotalharmsfurther.Whilesuchmotivesareaninterestingissueinthemselves,theseeffects
Table1
Overviewofthestagesintheexperiment.
Description Treatmentsessions Controlsessions
Stage1 Commonpoolresourcegame Identicalforbothtreatments (10rounds)
Withdrawalsfromthecommonpoolbyusing“stickers”,which areindividuallyprofitable(asymmetricallywithinthegroup) butharmothergroupmembers
Stage2 Tradegameexplained Hypotheticalquestion:should tradebeallowed?
Trade(10rounds)
Cap-andtradewithharmful stickers:limitedamountof userrightstotheharmful stickersareintroduced,which areopenfortradewithinthe group
Capandtradewithnew, non-harmfulstickers.Payoffs transformedtoequalthe payoffspertradeinthe treatmentgroupswithharmful stickers
Stage3 Voting:shouldtradebe allowedinthefinalround?
Finalroundwithendogenous rules
Caponuserrightsequalto stage2.Voteontradewith userrightsforharmfulstickers
Caponnon-harmfulstickers equaltostage2.Voteontrade withthenon-harmfulstickers.
Post-experimentsurvey
arenotpartofthediscussionwewantedtofocusoninthisexperimentasitisnotcentraltovirtue ethicalargument.
Asecondbenefitofthe“noburningofstickers”rulewasthatitenabledustocreateaformally equivalentcontroltreatmentwithoutanexternalityframe:bymanipulatingthebaselineendow- mentandpayoffs,theexactsamepayoffstructurecouldbeframedastradeina“newgood”withno externalities.
Beforestage2wasimplemented,participantswereaskedahypotheticalquestionofwhetherthey thoughttradeshouldbeallowedornot.
Instage3,havingdirectlyexperiencedtrading, participantsvotedonwhetherornottoallow tradingofstickeruserrightsinafinalround,andthemajorityvotewasimplemented.Thedifferent stagesareoutlinedindetailbelow.
3.1. Stage1–establishingthemorallysuspectgood
Toavoidhavingpriorattitudestowardenvironmentalorothergoodsinfluenceresults,anon- environmentalsettingwithapublicbad,labeledstickers,wasestablished.Ingroupsoffour,each groupmemberinitiallyreceived10stickers.Theirtaskwastodeterminehowmanystickers,Ri,to use.Foreachstickerused,theparticipantwouldgetaprivatepayoff,ai,whilereducingthepayoffof eachremaininggroupmemberby10kroner.5 Participantswererandomlyassignedoneofthetwo types,differingonlyintheirprivatepayofffromstickeruse.Thelowproductivitytype,denotedas type1intheexperiment,earned5kronerperstickerused.Thehighproductivitytype,denotedtype 2,earned25kronerperstickerused.Inadditiontothestickers,eachparticipantwasgivenabaseline endowmentof150kronerinthebeginningofeachround.Payoffofparticipantiinoneroundwas determinedas:
i=150+aiRi−10
j=/i
Rj with ai=5 or 25
Notethatparticipantsofbothtypescouldearnnegativepayoffsinstage1.Thiswouldoccurifa participantusedfewstickerswhiletheremaininggroupmembersusedalot.Thelowproductivitytype wouldalsogetnegativepayoffifeveryone,includingthelowproductivitytype,usedalltheirstickers.
Theinstructionsemphasizedthatwhilepayoffsinstage1werepotentiallynegative,thepayoffsin laterstageswouldbesufficientlypositivethattotalearningsfromparticipatingintheexperiment wouldnonethelessbepositive.
5Theexchangerateonthedayoftheexperimentwas1USdollar=5.54Norwegiankroner.
Participantsplayed10roundsofthestage1game,andthisstagewasidenticalforbothtreatment andcontrolsessions.Theywereexplainedthattheirrealizedpayofffromstage1oftheexperiment wouldbethepayofffromoneofthetenrounds,determinedbyarandomdraw.
Aftereachround,participantsweregiveninformationontheirearnings(endowment+payofffrom ownstickeruse),howmuchtheywouldlosefromtheharmimposedonthembyothergroupmembers, andhowmuchtheywouldreceivenet,shouldthatparticularroundbedrawn.Thisinformationwas providedinordertoincreasetheprobabilityofamovetoanon-cooperativesolutionofthepublic goodgame,andtofurtherestablishthestickerasamorallysuspectgood.
3.2. Stage2(treatment)–establishingamarketforharmfulstickers
Afterstage1wascompleted,thetreatmentgroupsweretoldthattherighttousestickerswould nowbeconstrainedtoavoidexcessiveharms.Eachparticipantwouldbegivenanendowmentof 150kronerandtwo“rights”tousestickersperround.Theseuserightscouldbetradedwithinthe group.Retiringuserightswasnotpossible:eachparticipantwouldautomaticallyusetheirstickers.
Totalharmfromexternalitieswasthusfixed,and
i
Ri=8forallgroups.
Inthestage2game,theparticipant’sdecisionproblemwastodecideonthenumberofuserrights tobuyorsell.Whateverstickerstheypossessedattheendofthetradingroundwereautomatically used.
Thedoubleauctionmarketwasimplementedinawaythatensuredthatallrealizedtradeswould bePareto-improvinginmonetarypayoffs.Sincethetotalnumberofstickersusedinafourperson groupwouldalwaysbe8,
j=/i
Rj=8−Ri,wecanrewritethepayoffofparticipanti:
i=150−80+(ai+10)Ri−(Ri−2)pR=70+(ai+10−pR)Ri+2pR,
wherepRisthetradingpricefortherighttousestickers.Aparticipantwithai=5willthusgainfrom sellingrightsatpricesof15kronerandabove,whilethosewithai=25willgainfrombuyingatprices of35kronerandbelow.Toensurethatnoparticipantsawtheirpayoffsreducedaftertrading,market priceswereconstrainedtolieintheintervalfrom15to35kroner.Themarketwasopenforoneand ahalfminutesineachround.
Inthemaintreatment,theinstructionsweredesignedtohighlighttheharmimposedonothersby stickeruse:usingaprintedtableandadetailedrun-throughofasingleexample,participantswere shownhowstickersaleswouldaffectpayoffsthroughmultiplechannels.Forinstance:ifasellersold arightfor15kroner,thesellerwould(i)receivetheagreedpriceof15kroner,butalso(ii)losethe revenuefromusingthestickerhim/herself(5kroner),andiii)lose10kronerduetotheincreasedharm theextrasticker-rightwouldallowthebuyertoimposeontheseller.
Beforetradestarted,participantswereaskedahypotheticalquestion:“Doyouthinkitshouldbe possibletotradetheuserrights?”
Asinstage1,stage2lastedfor10rounds–oneofwhichwasrandomlychosentodetermineactual payoffs.Aftereachround,participantswereinformedaboutthepayoffsthatwouldresultfromthis stageoftheexperimentifthepriorroundwasdrawn.Theinformationwaspresentedinamanner highlightingtheshiftingofharms,including:theparticipant’sgrossincome(endowmentandearnings fromanystickersoneheldattheendoftheround),thegrossloss(lossduetostickerusebyother groupmembers),andnetearnings.
3.3. Stage2(control)–establishingamarketfornon-harmfulstickers
Aftercompletingstage1participantsinthecontroltreatmentweretoldthatthenextstageof theexperimentwouldintroduceanewtypeofstickersthatimposednoharmonothers.Inactuality, thegamewasthesameasthatplayedbyparticipantsinthemaintreatment,butwithendowments andproductivitiesalteredto“hide”thesimilarity.Bymakingtheexternalityeffects invisibleand
presentingnewprivateproductivities,thenewstickersappearedsubstantivelydifferentfromthe harmfulstickersencounteredinstage1.
Thelowproductivitytypenowearned15kronerpernewstickerusedandthehighproductivity typeearned35kronerperstickerused.Eachparticipantreceived2such“new”stickersinthebeginning ofeachround,andcouldtradethesewithintheirfour-persongroup.Thetradewasconductedinthe samedoubleauctionmarketasthetreatmentgroups,withpriceslimitedtotheintervalbetween15 and35kroner,inordertoensurethattradewasParetoimproving.
Inthisway,weensuredthatthegameplayedwasformallyequivalenttothatplayedbyparticipants inthemaintreatment.Thisimpliedanendowmentperparticipantof70kroner.Theresultingpayoff forparticipantiwasthen:
i=70+(ai+10)Ri−(Ri−2)pR=70+(ai+10−pR)Ri+2pR
Beforetradestarted,participantswereaskedahypotheticalquestion:“Doyouthinkitshouldbe possibletotradethestickers?”
Asinstage1,stage2lastedfor10rounds–oneofwhichwasrandomlychosentodetermineactual payoffs.Aftereachround,participantswereinformedaboutthepayoffsthatwouldresultfromthis stageoftheexperimentifthatparticularroundwasdrawn.Theyreceivedinformationabouttheir netincome(endowmentandearningsfromanystickersusedandincome/expenditurefromtraded stickers),withnoreferencetoexternalitiesorharms.
3.4. Stage3–revealingattitudestowardmarket
Instage3oftheexperiment,participantsinbothtreatmentsweretoldthattheywouldplayone moreroundofthegametheyhadplayedinstage2,but thatthepresenceofamarketwouldbe decidedbyamajorityvote.Thequestionwasotherwiseidenticaltothatusedinthe“hypothetical”
voteconductedpriortostage2.
Aftercastingtheirvote,thelastroundwasruninaccordancewiththemajoritydecisionofthe session.Stage3consistedofonlyoneround,withthechoicesmadeinthatrounddeterminingthe payoffs.Aftertheround,participantsweregiveninformationontheirstage3payoffs.Theywerealso toldwhichofthestage1andstage2roundsthatwoulddeterminetheirrealizedpayoffsfromthose stages,inadditiontothetotalpayoffearnedfromtheexperimentasawhole.Thisinformationwas followedbyashortpost-experimentsurvey.
4. Results
Participantswererecruitedfromlargeundergraduateclassesinmathematics6andassignedtotwo experimentalsessionsheldback-to-backonFriday,September9th,2011.Therewere24participants inthetreatmentsession(6groups)and20participantsinthecontrolsession(5groups).Attherequest ofoneofthereferees,anadditionalfoursessionswereheldback-to-backonTuesday,March25th, 2014inordertoincreasestatisticalpower(seeSection5).Theseparticipantswererecruitedfrom classesinthephilosophyofscience,mandatorytoallstudentsattheUniversityofOslo.Therewere40 participantsinthenewtreatmentsessions(10groups)and40participantsinthenewcontrolsessions (10groups).Intotal:64participants(16groups)intreatmentsessionsand60participants(15groups) incontrolsessions.
4.1. StageI:extensivestickeruseinthecommonpoolresourcegame
Onaverageoverthe10 rounds,70%ofallstickerswereused,withsomegroupheterogeneity.
Calculating,foreach groupseparately,theaverageshareofstickersusedover the10rounds,the shareusedvariedbetweengroupsfromaminimumof26.3%tomaximumof95.5%.Therewereno systematicdifferencesingroupstickerusebycontrolandtreatmentsessions(seeFig.1).Usinga
6Thesearestudentswhoplantoproceedwithmath,computerscienceornaturalsciences.
020406080100Percent of stickers used
0 2 4 6 8 10
Period
Treatment Control
Fig.1.StickersusebyperiodandtreatmentinStage1.
t-testatthegrouplevel:calculatingthemeanstickeruseinthefirstfiveandlastfiveperiodsforeach groupseparately,wefoundnosignificantdifferencesbetweentreatmentandcontrolgroupsineither setofperiods.Inthefirstfiveperiods,treatment-groupsusedanaverageof66.7%oftheirstickers against64.6%inthecontrolgroups(p-value=0.7).Inthelastfiveperiods,thenumberswere70.7%
fortreatmentand77.4%forcontrolgroups(p-value=0.27).
Inthe10roundsofstage1,averagestickeruseincreasedfrom58%inthefirstroundto80%inthe last.Aregressionofgroup-levelsticker-useontheround-number(withgroupfixedeffects)givesa statisticallysignificantpositivetrendof1.8percentagepointsperround(p<0.01).
Onaverageacrossthe10rounds,lowproductivityplayersused1.2fewerstickersthanhighpro- ductivityplayers(p=0.01).Recallthatwhileallparticipantsimposedalossof30kronerontheother membersofthegroupforeachstickertheyused,theprivatepayoffsforimposingthisharmwasonly 5kronerperstickerforlowearnersascomparedto25kronerforhighearners.Ifallthemembersin agroupused7stickerseach,thehighproductivitymemberswouldearn105kronerwhilethelow productivitymemberswouldlose35kroner.Ifnooneinthegroupusedstickers,eachmember’snet payoffwouldequaltheendowmentof140kronerandthiswouldclearlybeaParetoimprovement.
4.2. Stage2:nodifferenceinmarketattitudesbetweenthetreatmentandthecontrol
Acaponstickeruseequaltotwostickersperpersongivesapayoffof90and130(tolowandhigh productivitytyperespectively),andisthusaParetoimprovementrelativetothe“laissezfaire”sticker useinstage1oftheexperiment.Theresultsfromstage2areshowninTable2.
Participantswerefirstaskedtovotehypotheticallyfororagainsttrade,giventhecaponsticker- useperplayer.Inthetreatmentsessions80%oftheparticipantssupportedtradeinthehypothetical vote,while83%ofthecontrolsessionsparticipantsdidthesame.Thedifferencewasnotsignificant (p=0.61).However,whenwelookattheseparatetypesinthetreatmentsessionsonly,weseethatthe lowproductivitytypesaresignificantlymorenegativetotradethanthehighproductivitytypesinthis pre-experiencehypotheticalvote(69%oflowproductivitytypesversus91%ofhighproductivitytypes opposetradeinthetreatmentsession,p=0.03).Thisdifferenceisnotfoundinthecontrolsessions.Low productivitytypesinthetreatmentsessionsarealsomorereluctanttotradeinthispre-experience votethanlowproductivitytypesinthecontrolsessions(aweaklysignificantdifference,p=0.09).
Table2
Marketattitudesinstage2andstage3oftheexperiment.
Treatment Control t-test
Pre-experiencehypotheticalvote 80%(n=64) 83%(n=60) p=0.61
%infavoroftrade(n)
Lowproductivitytypes 69%(n=32) 87%(n=30) p=0.09
Highproductivitytypes 91%(n=32) 80%(n=30) p=0.24
Realizedtrade 93%(n=16) 88%(n=15) p=0.13
In%ofpossibletrades
Averageprice 27.8kroner(n=16) 26.9kroner(n=15) p=0.42
Price(n)
Post-experiencerealvote 64%(n=64) 77%(n=60) p=0.13
%infavoroftrade(n)
Lowproductivitytypes 72%(n=32) 87%(n=30) p=0.16
Highproductivitytypes 56%(n=32) 67%(n=30) p=0.41
Inthetreatmentsessions,93%ofalluserrightsweretraded,withanaveragepriceof27.8kroner perright.Asapriceof25kronerwouldgiveequalgainstobothplayers,anaverageof27.8kroner issomewhatskewedinfavorofthelowproductivitytypes(sellers)whowerealsoworseoffbefore trade.Inthecontrolsessions,88%ofallstickersweretraded,withanaveragepriceof26.9kroner.
Therewasnosignificantdifferenceintheamountofrealizedtradesortheaveragepricesbetweenthe treatmentandcontrol.
4.3. Stage3:nodifferenceinvotingbehaviorbetweenthetreatmentandthecontrol
Finally,whenactuallyvotingover trade,thesupportfortradewasstill substantial.64%voted infavoroftradeinthetreatmentsessions,while77%votedfortradeinthecontrolsession.While weexpectedthecontrolgrouptohavefewermoralobjectionstotrade,theoveralldifferencewas notsignificant(p=0.13).Comparingthepost-experiencevotewiththepre-experiencehypothetical vote,thesupportfortradeisrelativelyconstantamongthelowproductivitytypesbuthasfallen considerablyamongthehighproductivitytypes.Inthetreatmentsessions,thesupportfortradeamong highproductivitytypesfellfrom91%to56%,asignificantreduction(p=0.0015).Thesupportfortrade amonghighproductivitytypesfellinthecontrolsessionsaswell,howevernotsignificantly.
Apossiblereasonwhythesupportfortradefellisthatittooktimeinthelab.Aseachmarketwas openfor90s,10tradingroundstookatleast15min.Subjectseagertoleavethelabmaythushave votedagainstmoretrading.Actually,thelaststagehadonlyonetradinground,butthismaynothave beensufficientlyclearfromtheinstructions.
4.4. Potentialreasonsfornomarketopposition
Theresultsfailtosupportthehypothesisthatparticipantsresisttradebecausethiswouldlegitimize anobjectionableaction.ThisdoesnotinanywayundermineSandel’smoralargument,butitdoesshow thatanobjectionalongthelinesofhisargumentisnottriggeredinthisspecificexperimentalsetting.
Thereareseveralpossiblereasonsforthis,someofwhichcanberuledout.
4.5. Havewerecruitedpro-tradeparticipants?
Onepossiblereasonwhyourparticipantsaresopositivetotradecouldbethatwerecruitedapar- ticularlypro-tradesample.Whilewetookcarenottorecruitamongeconomicsstudentstoavoidthe doctrinalthinkingSandelclaimscharacterizeseconomists,onethirdofoursamplewasrecruitedfrom mathematicsstudents,whomayalsoholdparticularlyfavorableviewofmarkets.Apost-experimental surveyelicitedparticipants’attitudestowardanumberofmorallyquestionablerealworldmarkets.
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 Unsure
Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Body parts Emission rights for firms
Emission rights for nations Food from countries with famine
Goods from low wage countries Sexual services
percent
Fig.2.Post-experimentattitudestowardmarkets,bothsessions(n=124).
Thesampleexhibitsattitudestowardmarketsthatare,toeconomists,ratherastonishingintheir anti-tradesentiments.
Theattitudestowardspecificmarketswereelicitedbythisquestion:
Foreachofthefollowingareas,towhatextentdoyouthinkthatitismorallyacceptabletotrade inthesegoods/servicesformoney?1-Veryimmoral,2-Inprincipleimmoral,butacceptablein somecases,3-Morallyacceptable,4-Don’tknow.
Thegoods/serviceswere:(a)Bodyparts,(b)Sexualservices,(c)Emissionsrightsforfirms,(d) Emissionsrightsfornations,(e)Goodsproducedinpoorcountriesbyworkersonaverylowsalary,(f) Foodfromcountrieswherealargeshareofthepopulationissufferingfromhungerandmalnutrition.
TheresultsforallsessionscombinedareshowninFig.2.Allthemarketsarejudgedtobeimmoral byavastmajorityofparticipants,andMannWhitneytestsrevealednosignificantdifferencesbetween thetreatmentandcontrolsessionsintheirpost-experimentattitudestosuchmarkets.Fig.3shows theresponsedistributionsforcontrolandtreatmentsessionsseparately.
4.6. Statisticalpower
Ourexperimentisanattempttoexaminewhetherthevirtueethicalreasoningdiscussedabove canexplainthewidespreadoppositiontoquota-trade.Wearguethatthisisnotthecase,aswefind nosignificantdifferencebetweenthedifferenttreatments.Weinitiallyreachedthisconclusionafter runningtheexperimenton44participantsinSeptember2011.Arefereesuggestedthatthissample mightbetoosmalltoidentifyaneffect,andrecommendedapoweranalysisandfurthersessionsto increasethenumberofparticipants.
OurresearchquestionwaswhetherSandel’smoralargumentcouldexplainasubstantialshare oftheopposition toquota trade.As notedabove, a nationallyrepresentativesample found46%
a) Control (n=60)
b) Treatment (n= 64)
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Body parts Emission rights for firms
Emission rights for nations Food from countries with famine
Goods from low wage countries Sexual services
percent
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Unsure Morally acceptable Immoral in principle Highly immoral
Body parts Emission rights for firms
Emission rights for nations Food from countries with famine
Goods from low wage countries Sexual services
percent
Fig.3.Post-experimentattitudestowardmarkets,bytreatment.
ofthepopulationopposingtradableemissionquotas.Oppositionamongstourparticipantsseems evenhigher:tradingof emissionrights betweennations wasjudged as“highly immoral” in the post-experiment survey by 36%, with an additional 37% seeing it as immoral in principle–but acceptableinsomecases.Thustheoppositioninoursubjectpoolintherange36–73%.Counting atleastafractionofthosewhoanswered“immoralinprinciple”asopposingemissionrightstrade, theoppositionseemstobeatleastashighasthe46%inthenationalsample.Ifvirtueethicsisan importantexplanationofthisopposition,wewouldthinkthatitshouldaccountforatleast15–20 percentagepointsofthetradeopposition.Wewouldthuswantasamplesizeinwhichwewould withhighprobabilitydetecta20%treatmenteffect,andwithconsiderableprobabilityalsodetecta 10%treatmenteffect.Aneffectoflessthan10%wouldbeoflimitedinterest.
Underthenullhypothesis,oppositiontotradeisthesameinbothtreatmentandcontrolgroups.
Basedonthe2011sessionswith44participantsthisgivesusan11%baselineopposition(10%vote againsttradeinthecontrolsessionand12.5%voteagainsttradeinthetreatmentsession).Asdiscussed abovesubjectsmayhaveobjectedtotradetosavetimeinthelab,oritmayreflectallkindsofopposition totrade.Evenifweassumethatthisoppositionrevealedbyvotinginoursampleisnotrelatedto Sandel’sargumentand subtractthisoppositionfromthe46%oppositionwewanttoexplain,this leavesuswith35percentagepointsofthesampleopposingtradeforreasonsthatmayberelatedto Sandel’sargument.The20%and10%benchmarksremainreasonableinlightofthis.
Whatistheprobabilitythatwewouldrejectthenullhypothesisatconventionalsignificancelevels ifthetrueaverageeffectofthetreatmentisa10or20percentagepointincreaseintradeopposition?
Sincethemeanofabinomialdistributionisapproximatelynormal,theprobabilitythatthemeans willbeatleastt*standarddeviationsapartcanbeshowntobeapproximately˚
p−q−t∗
where pistheoppositiontotradeinthetreatmentgroupandqtheoppositioninthecontrolgroup.The standarddeviationisafunctionofthenumberofobservationsandtheprobabilities.(Weignore theprobabilityoffalselyfindingsignificantlymoreoppositioninthecontrolgroup.)Followingthe traditionofusingthestrictertwosidedtestevenwithaonesidedhypothesis,therelevantthreshold fora10%significancetestist*=1.645..
Toreachapowerof780%ifthetrueeffectis20%wewouldneed28moreobservationsinboth controlandtreatment.Werantwonewsessionsadding40subjectsinbothcontrolandtreatment.
Thepoweris88%whenusingtheinitialbaserate,butthegeneraloppositiontotradewashigherinthe lastsessions,8reducingthepowerto84%,butstillabovethestandard80%threshold.Withasmaller trueeffectof10%wewouldgetasignificanteffectwith45%probability.Itwouldtakeasamplesize ofmorethan200ineachgrouptoreachapowerof80%inthiscase.Wecanthusberatherconfident thatiftherewasastrongeffectwewouldfindit,whilewithasmalltrueeffect(10%)wemayhave failedtofinditjustbybadluck.
4.7. Externalassessmentofmoralityofexperimentalchoices
Sandel’sargumenthastwopremises:anactivityXisimmoral,andtradelegitimizestheuseofthe tradedgoodsorservices.Onereasonforourlackingresultscouldbethatstickeruseinthefirstpart oftheexperimentwasnotseenasimmoral.
Totestthispossibility,weconductedasurveyonAmazonMechanicalTurk.Thisisanonline“labor market”whereindividualsfromaroundtheworlddoshort,simple,web-basedtasksforrealmoney.
The“Turkers”werepresentedwithanEnglishtranslationoftheexperimentalinstructions,somewhat simplifiedasthemechanicsandimplementationofthedoubleauctiontradewereirrelevantforthe question.Theynexthadtoanswercomprehensiontests(withmonetaryincentivesforcorrectunder- standing).Finally,theywereaskedtoevaluatethemoralityofstickeruseinthefirstpart,andforthe secondpartoftheexperiment,toevaluatethemoralitybothofestablishingamarket,andoftrading inthemarket.56personsansweredthesurveywhichwasconductedonJune1st2012.
7The80%thresholdisconsideredstandardintheliterature.Seee.g.Bellemareetal.(2014)whoalsofindthattherequired samplesizegreatlyexceedssizesusedintheexperimentaleconomicsliterature.
8Thatisbasedontheinitialresultsweusep=0.31andq=0.11,whiletheupdatedoppositionwouldimplyp=0.38and q=0.18witha20%effect.
Table3
SurveyattitudestowardstickeruseintheexperimentfromMechanicalTurk.
Moral Neutral Immoral
Stickerusebythelowearningtype 29% 29% 43%
Stickerusebythehighearningtype 41% 30% 29%
Allowamarketforstickeruse 35% 21% 43%
Buysticker-userights 36% 37% 27%
Sellsticker-userights 32% 30% 38%
Disagree Neutral Agree
Marketwillmakestickeruseseemmoremoral 20% 30% 50%
Therespondentsclaimedtoseetheexperimentalchoicesasmorallyrelevant.Moreparticipants respondedthatstickersusewasimmoralthanthosewhorespondedthatitwasmoral.Theresults arepresentedinTable3.Notethatthecategories“stronglymoral”and“somewhatmoral”havebeen merged,andsimilarlythecategories“stronglyimmoral”and“somewhatimmoral”.
AconsiderableshareoftheTurkersthusconsideredsticker-usetobeimmoral,andsawmarketsin userrightsasunderminingthis.Turkersalsoansweredthesamequestionsregardingthemoralityof theparticularmarketsfromthepost-experimentalsurvey.Inthesequestions,theTurkersexpressed lessanti-tradeattitudesthantheexperimentalparticipants.Thissupportsthepreviousconclusion thatourexperimentalsamplewasnotgenerallymorepro-tradethanothers.
Still,wehaveseveralcaveatsabouttheresponsesfromMechanicalTurk.First,withnoincentives toanswertruthfully,randomresponsescannotberuledout.Theanswersareindeedratherevenly distributedwithastrongeremphasisonthemiddlealternatives,asimilarpatterntowhatrandom responseswouldproduce.Note,however,thatthedifferentassessmentsofstickersusebyhighand lowearnersmakegoodsense.Thereisastrongertendencytoagreetotheclaimthatmarketscan legitimizeanaction,whichisalsoconsistentwiththefindingsoncrowdingoutintheeconomics literature.
Moreover,themajorityofrespondentswereunabletoanswerallcomprehensionquestionscor- rectly.Probablythisispartlyduetocomplicatedinstructions,lackofpracticalexperiencewiththe experiment(asopposedtotheparticipantsintheexperiment)andinsufficienttimeusedbyTurkers toreadinstructions.AlthoughTurkersweregivenabonusifallcomprehensiontestswerecorrectly answered,theydidnothavethesameincentivestothoroughlyunderstandtheinstructionsaspartic- ipantsintheexperiment.ParticipatingTurkersonaveragespentnearly17minonthesurvey,which shouldbeenoughtimetoread the2 pagesofinstructions thoroughly,answer7 comprehension testsandanswer6ethicaljudgments.Sincethisisonlytheaverage,alargesharemayhaveused considerablylesstimeandhencemisunderstood.
5. Discussionandconclusion
Our experimentdoesnot supportthehypothesisthat peopleopposetrade inimmoral goods becausemarketslegitimizeactionsthatdeservetobestigmatized.Thisdoesnotimplythatsucha moralargumentisinvalid,onlythatourexperimentalparticipantsdidnotapplythislogicinthisspe- cificcontext.Theresultsshowthatmoraloppositionisnotnecessarilygeneratedinmarketstrading immoralgoods.However,aswithanynon-resultthelackofresultcouldbeduetopoorexperimental design.Whilewehavetriedtotestforsomeofthepossibleproblemsthatcouldarise,wemayhave overlookedothers.
Onereviewerpointoutthat“peopleoftenview(perhapsincorrectly)pollutionasbeingdoneby
“others”(firms)andvictimsas“us”whereasin[our]experimenteveryoneisbothvictimandpolluter.”
Inthelabthiscouldcorrespondtohavingtheexternalityhitsomepassiveparticipantspossiblyin anotherroom.Whileaneconomist’sresponsetothisclaimwouldbethattheexternalityisunaffected bythetrade,wecannotruleoutthatitwouldhaveanimpactonhowsubjectsassessthemoralstanding oftradeinthegivensetting.Cicconeetal.(2015)dofindthatdistributionalimpactoftradematters,
andoursubjectsarenegativetobuyinginexpensivegoodsproducedbylow-paidworkers.Still,as Turkersfoundthestickersusewronginourcasetoo,wedoubtthatthisistheessentialelementof themoralevaluation.
Adifferentcounterargumentwouldbethatcheck-matingyouropponentinagameofchessis moral,eventhoughitimposesalossonyouropponent.Theexperimentmaysimilarlybeviewedby participantsasagametobe“won.”Withsuchamindset,stickerusemaynotbeseenasmorallywrong.
This,however,shouldthenapplytomanyexperimentsonmoralbehavior.Inourcase,itwouldimply thatparticipantswillactasiftheydonothaveanymoralobjectionstoamarketintherighttodo wrong,whileoutsidetheexperimentalcontexttheydo.TheassessmentoftheTurkers,however,is moreconsistentwithstickerusebeingmorallywrong,evenwithinthecontextoftheexperiment.
Anotherpossibility,relatedtothedifferentmindsettriggeredinthefieldandintheexperiment, is that experiments in economics “train” participants to focus on consequences. By highlight- ingandfocusing onconsequences,theset-upand instructions mayprimefor aconsequentialist ethic.Theargumentthattradelegitimizesmorallyobjectionablebehaviorseemstobuildonnon- consequentialistethics:theintention(tobemoral)isimportantinitself,independentlyofthebehavior itgenerates.Ifso,preciseinstructionsandtrainingroundstoteachpayoffconsequencesmaytem- porarilyeraseorweakenthereasoningthatordinarilydrivesjudgmentsofmarkets.
Acknowledgement
We aregratefultoparticipantsattheNorwegianAnnualMeetingforEconomists2012,tothe Editorandtwoanonymousrefereesforhelpfulcommentsandsuggestions.Wearefurthergrateful totheResearchCouncilofNorwayforfundingthroughtheMiljø2015programandproject193703 –Improvinginternationalcooperationonemissionabatement.BrekkeandRogebergareassociated withandtheprojectispartlyfinancedbyCREE–theOsloCentreforResearchonEnvironmentally FriendlyEnergy–whichissupportedbytheResearchCouncilofNorway(Grantnumber209698).
BrekkealsoacknowledgethesupportoftheCentreforEquality,SocialOrganizationandPerformance (ESOP).
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