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(1)

Corruption:

Concepts, causes and consequences

Inge Amundsen, researcher, Chr. Michelsen Institute Thursday, November 3rd, 2011, 08:30

Petrad, Stavanger

(2)

Concepts, causes and consequences

What is Corruption?

– Definitions and basic forms of corruption – A Role Play

Causes, costs, and consequences

– Economic, political, institutional and social-cultural – Resource Curse Theory

Corruption in the Petroleum Sector

– Corruption risks in the value chain

(3)

Abuse (capture) of public power for private benefit

World Bank

Misuse of entrusted power for private gain

Transparency International

Concepts: Definitions

• Behaviour which deviates from the formal duties of a public role because of private-regarding (personal, close family, private clique) pecuniary or status gains; or violates rules against the exercise of certain types of private-regarding influence (Nye)

• A form of secret social exchange through which those in power (political or

administrative) take personal advantage, of one type or another, of the influence they exercise in virtue of their mandate or their function (Méry)

(4)

Forms of corruption: Two actors

The STATE

Civil servants Functionaries Bureaucrats

Politicians

Elected, hired, nominated

Any

non-governmental agent

Private firms, businesses (contractors, bidders) Private individuals

(users, clients) Organisations, NGOs

(consultants, clients, users)

(5)

Forms of corruption: Two perspectives

Demand oriented

Corrupted, public side Extractive,

neopatrimonial, kleptocratic state

Supply oriented

Corruptor,

private side

(bribing firms)

“Captured state”

(6)

Forms of corruption: Two types

Controlled

Centralised Coordinated

Disciplined

Uncontrolled

Disorganised Competitive Unpredictable

Damaging!

(7)

Forms of corruption: Two levels

Political corruption

Grand, large scale

Administrative corruption

Petty, small scale

Extraction

Power preservation

? ?

? ?

(8)

• Embezzlement

• Bribery

• “Commissions”

• “Privatisations”

• Tax systems

• Concessions, licences

• “Freedoms”

• Monopolies

• Favouritism

• Nepotism

• Vote buying

• Cooptations

• Manipulated institutions

• Gov’t resources for elections

• Impunity

Political corruption

Extraction Power preservation

Political corruption: Two faces/phases

(9)

Forms of corruption: Several techniques

Bribery

– Corruption per se

– Kickbacks, sweeteners, grease money, pourboire, pay-offs, consultant fees, …

Embezzlement

– Theft. Only one party

Fraud

– Economic crime. Element of cheating, swindle

Extortion

– Element of violence. No/little returns

Favouritism

– Patronage politics, nepotism, clientelism – Manipulation of institutions, impunity – Buying of votes, constituencies, support

(10)

A Role Play

(11)

Causes: Corruption and Economics

(12)

Causes: Corruption and Politics

(13)

Causes: The Resource Curse

The Dutch Disease The Paradox of Plenty The Rentier State model

• Oil rich countries can be worse off

– Rich in natural resources

– Poor in economic development

• Explanations

– Economic explanations – Political explanations

• Examples

– Malaysia vs Nigeria

• The institutions that matter

– Institutions of extraction – Institutions of redistribution

Norway

Australia

Canada

Chile

Brazil

Malaysia

Botswana

Nigeria

Angola

DR Congo

The Sudan

Sierra Leone

Liberia

Zambia

Colombia

Azerbaijan

(14)

Economic Explanations

Why?

Relative price effect

• Higher currency value

• More imports (cheaper)

• Competition difficult

Volatility

• Uncertainty for businesses

• Low investments in alternative production

• Government waste and debt

• Capital flight

The ‘Dutch Disease’

• Over-investment in extractive industries

• Under-investments in manufacture, agriculture

• De-industrialisation

• Reform fatigue

Consequences

Crowding out productive sectors

• Capital absorption

• Contraction

• Concentration – Weak Redistribution

• Increasing inequalities

• Increasing poverty – Squander

• Grandiose projects

• Pocketed

• Capital flight

(15)

Political explanations

Why?

The prize of controlling the state increases

• Higher government revenues

• Larger benefits in being the “state elite”

• Available consumption, enrichment, corruption, embezzlement

State autonomy increases

• Off-shore, foreign, High-Tec

• Natural resources: “un-earned”, easy

• Little taxation of domestic economic activity

• No “social contract”

• Little influence of business interests, middle class

• Little influence of civil society, interest organisations

Rents increases the powers of the state

• Means to manipulate institutions

• Means to buy (off) rivals

• Means to buy instruments of coercion

Consequences

Increasing conflicts

• Increasing inequalities

• Increasing poverty

• Uneven distribution

Increasing authoritarianism

• Entrenched elites

• Violent defence of privileges

(16)

Two country examples

Malaysia

1973 Emerging from devastating inter-ethnic riots Natural resources giving high revenues 1983 Broad-based prosperity

Ethnic groups sharing gains from revenues 1993 Spectacular progress

High investment inflows

2003 Malaysia a world-class economy

(Kuala Lumpur tallest building in the world) HDI rank 66 (0,829 high ▲ )

President handling over power in a smooth transition

Nigeria

1973 Post-conflict Oil starting to flow 1983 First oil boom wasted

Coup d'état

Abacha embezzeled 2-5 bn US$ 93-98 1993 Second oil boom wasted

Two more coups d'état

“Niger Delta Syndrome”

2003 Total income $ 300 bn over 25 years Economy as poor as in 1973

(after $200bn of oil money) HDI rank 158 (0.511 low ▼) Reform just started

(17)

“Without improving their

democratic institutions and administrative capacity, it is

unlikely that African oil exporters will be able to use petrodollars to fuel poverty reduction; instead oil monies are more likely to make

matters worse for the poor”

Catholic Relief Services (2003):

Bottom of the Barrel. Africa’s Oil Boom and the Poor

(18)

Corruption challenges in the petroleum sector

Petroleum sector corruption characteristics – High tech, high states, high politics

Licensing and exploration

Paying up for access to resources?

Production

Paying up for maximum profits?

Decommissioning

Paying up to pollute?

Revenue management

Paying for power preservation?

(19)

Corruption challenges

– Weak legal, regulatory and contractual framework

• Weak institutions and ill-defined institutional responsibilities

• Weak jurisdiction and authority over territory (on-shore, off-shore)

– Lack of a national petroleum policy, lack of long-term plans

• Haphazard access to and control of seismic data

• Lack of transparency in data handling

– Secrecy, confidentiality, and discretionary decision-making

• Non-transparent bidding and award procedures

• “Royalties” and “signature bonuses” to politicians

• Political interference and favouritism in individual cases

(20)

Corruption challenges

– Weak legal, regulatory and contractual framework

• Unclear access to and handling concessions for production

• Exaggerated development costs

• Re-negotiation of and amendments to development contracts

– Unclear ownership of companies, changing hands

• Oil companies (concessionaire and partners)

• Sub-contractors: service delivery companies

– Lack of standards for environment, health and labour safety – Land use conflicts

• Construction and installation of necessary infrastructure

• Rigs, support camps, subsea systems, pipelines, etc.

• Community compensation

(21)

Corruption challenges

– Preferential and favouritist contracting and sub- contracting

• Secrecy, confidentiality, exclusivity, discretionary decision-making

• “Dead meat” national private oil companies

– Weak institutions and ill-defined institutional responsibilities

• Surveillance/monitoring of activities, production levels, etc.

– Weak tax regime

• Tax evasion, capital flight, tax havens

• Oil and service companies’ off-budget social investments (CSR)

(22)

Corruption challenges

– Buying regulatory exemptions and early abandon

• Buying sub-standard rehabilitation

• Removing installations and clean-up

– Lack of optimization of recoverable volumes and

revenue

(23)

Revenue Management: Paying for power preservation?

• Embezzlement

• Bribery

• “Commissions”

• “Privatisations”

• Tax systems

• Concessions

• “Freedoms”

• Monopolies

• Favouritism

• Nepotism

• Vote buying

• Cooptations

• Manipulated inst

• Elections

• Impunity

Political corruption

Extraction Power preservation

Counter-measures

Make economic diversification – Productive sectors

– Agriculture

Ensure fair redistribution – Decrease inequalities – Decrease poverty

– Stop squander and grandiose projects – Stop capital flight

Increase democracy – Defuse conflicts – Ensure participation – Ensure legitimacy

– Restrict the entrenched elites – Restrict privileges

(24)

The petroleum sector ideal

(25)

Petroleum sector corruption

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