• No results found

Housing careers, house price dispersion and the housing market multiplier

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2022

Share "Housing careers, house price dispersion and the housing market multiplier"

Copied!
38
0
0

Laster.... (Se fulltekst nå)

Fulltekst

(1)

01234 56 893 0123 4 4 334 15 95 01234 56 9 2 4 4

15 5 1635

0631 5 4 3 1

4 391 !" # $

(2)

012 3 145 647 89 1

3 642 8488 4 2 41

4 3 4 3 47 48 7 7 7 41 3 8 7 3 4 18647 2 641 7 3 2 641 42 2 47 3 8 7 3 4 6 2 47 3 47 3 1 3 11 4 0 0 3 1 47 48847 1 7 7 4 3 !4 8!647 4 3 2 18647 "

#82 41 3 $8 2 !7 41 9 4113 187 13 1 7 %&2 3 89 147 8 82 3 8

% 3 #82 418 7 5 '7 &43 87 7 847 3 47 "

#82 41 3 $8 2 " '7 &43 87 7 ()*( + , -7 47 41. #82 41 3 $8 2

/0 1+25 2(5 +2(35 4+(5 5 // *3)45 66++

(3)

23456 78 5 2345 6 6 556 37 7 23456 78 4 6 6

!"#!$!

%$&'()*+!$*&,-((!#!

.!/0&1!&'231*3$043*0(43*!3!$

5!11!

167680(! 9:0,

210*(;&<0<=#!$!>?*'<

@?!;AB6C667DED1

FGHIJKLIM

8N$*#10O!&$!'(!3&N?N$*#3$N1/&*/'*(!+!&?!(*'!3,3(!< $:!0#!P 10,0?0+!O*$P:!$!!O(0#!:!((*#$0&0#!0&!!Q&!&:!33N/*!

?N$*#<?!N/&0*#/3!$$?0$&:O!,3?003&!*$&*3$;R*$&P*&*$!SN*&,*N3!<

4!3P*&*1/03&$=&?&?!$N//(,0!10$*!$'?N$*#10O!&$<?*$*$N/*&'

!/0&N!<?!/0/!31=*!$0?N$*#(0!:*&?0?N$!/*3!*!Q&$?:?:N/

&0*#01/(*'*!$$?3O$0*&N3!$01N(&*/(*!*&&?!?N$*#10O!&<?!*&!/(0,

=!&:!!10O!&$!#1!&$!$N(&$*N/&0*#*N3!/*3!*$/!$*00/*3!!$/$!

*&?!$!#1!&$&/'&?!(0!&?0&!Q3!!$&?$!'$!#1!&$'N&?!:P!+!:?!

$?3O$0!!SN0(03$$10O!&$!#1!&$<R*0((,P0$N/&0*#*1/03&$=&??N$*#$N//(, 0?N$*#!10!+!=0(03!$?3O$&!&!101*#?&*1/03&?N$!/*3!$<

R3N$*#*''!!&10O!&$!#1!&$P=&?*!3&T&?!$*U!!''!3&V0**!3&T&?!N/

&0*#!''!3&V!''!3&$*1/03&&?!?N$!/*3!*!Q<?*$/0/!?*#?(*#?&$/(*3,/&*$0&0 '*!(!+!(:?!*!!'$&*1N(0&*#01/!*#?N$!/*3!3,3(!$<

W!,:$;8N$*#30!!$P?N$*#10O!&1N(&*/(*!P?N$!/*3!*$/!$*<

X2Y;5E1P5Z1<

(4)

2356789796

!"

#$$$ !%&#'("

"$ (( #$!( " '#("

$ !")*( $((

!# +(( ( ) , $"'(' %-#1../&

(( + +)

01 $!

+((! "!+() ,! " !

" +$ (

( !)2( #! # ($"! $#33( 4 ('( ),1(

+!$"# !! +( ( )*( #$( $" !( 1(1#$"#1(

$)

0((+(!#!! ( 5#(+ ("()6 #!" ( !(')0#('4 ),# "$#$)

#"! !"!"' ( ( ('( )0 $"( 1" ! !7)8!(

((1#!(+!( ( 1$7%7 &(

(5)

234456738963485559634865325555859565 845865858565866353323254526453 5832523838665645388389565843695435 98365592699849549634832565386 365 558658523445665846856386585589656 4 853955656554846555352356365838 59225638456545685 558558839859634865 645329568698365253385632585545464358 3956525

!5843583983859563236552256 558458592"

592365363 56385388398 5563365 55856583262363885 35832458383 9836556 5835852389238445384695 655655555656658325598234456 45693832265555885 5582553965 5963486565488592384453844598365

65552 54895 55863848545384#45384334932 6255655545654355325654$ 556558 58866385 559634889238445384 5556545685 558365 5583983659225638456856555 5865458 565598234456#365925583238548545384 8 39565

%2596556585998365452456665858832589 983656996568385$2565327&''(65235! 387&''&

36985856455845855 558456583655585638565 58689836538456559823445663653595 65652354)38 384%527*(+(384,-./012)3853843347*(((&''45 4885 55865384655395638456385595565 235629836553963285285536587&'*'*69885 856235 55836555896363 55663456384322 5

(6)

234563785399835547565454593598463486835 328285623654984365853363356928433

659635959843659534965 298463 9!6653944336595949"952#53 $5%563549 4945948222236%598436534656342754329 58644594826352825&853369'!9(( )2 49459522359984634*856236944463495 86295226635456965634953645459522643 +9567 %&6, 2-6( *8536592494945

39659565454375%4385984.94259795562.35% 96984634%355%595745998692%349!

*34634456858624994)*.56545498598436592358 5623265454593845659869843664568586*536265263!4 98436585336742983532828562354322*9843 658533634263!2%2923539496335933.6452*

986565293448%75335998555856234984924 43859845479578642464%9396223286935 6499843664*456595349823664

/012134567891:;<==<16><5:>5<=1?7>315@A><;B7891

C98436634945438264599244899843368454 323!328969849298349!6536362D86%EFF G96% 984366466525956263!64)29634354%437986 6542435394853955646%D86%2H763%EFF( 6EFFI 6849843664394532845634935346493827993

37634539J435535824596249843%6574298439334%43 5535824596244936942984636956544574969964$

9453284563493534366899!3479327 364299643654%35K#7667L65935475 12EFF1M942N636%EFFI D3337634539239!53943 965654!7682439655965364399643 O764%H6632#8%EFFL "9639295683654%

3642.373353654284262853943594544935235

(7)

234567489228465268842225894697225682969829 8242854484 22!27868!5469454289752628929258!5642 6992569"89722426442584 2268!54694542 6 884452"246 892266292564256#25268"5264223!2582972 $6 256965586%

&948!6!25262428!674965'242294!587269422!58728923 897528479456894692846895925"77!8289(89)52529 69*25#++27982568!882#258968965'24252925"

77!6489769775894522,-./-01/22294346542589425286426968 242265'2422946527656742582 28984825294

7656742584875672294885274246545228252944!226 22 4654258942528642696852!522942 5!84!522529725

8258989765674258487589469722!65642 62*7689765225 457452769 252642475284794568946546"7692696446'2894 677944265294(95269825898489889 2422952!264 25 69854"4822945694894925"77!64892897265294665'24

2624645294665297982526964259648#24465425282689 62528926!27887526489 242294222945925"77!8289(465425 284285442!9426255925"77!8289(989425286422842 27982668284289642!942896259589425286422 64259648#28987982524 26465425269568264259648#2 8988942894252864265'2448245745252642 48448944265'24 22949242!942625957528479456892242!"45689!5728 526424422846895238489894226!489!572245 24229 4844892274692848972!"4568998528456425!522

!"45689457452

:!"4568989'4265'2422945925"77!8289 44542269 69!!828965'24&968489479#294896 4844892274425286 2698289'4542284689677!6989896!!527864896942!!

(8)

2345678952565278539543655827857225582254 456743735865437576365236752232532327858 358654375658275

!"#$%&'$&()*+,-$./00'1$/,0$2&'$)3421/0+,-$31(5'**$

67898:;<=>?8@ABC;<D8:>EE=?88

F3225G37236523H542367895645324583I5472252253587 55543585678952565223354385735758372367895 74458J236359552354

KLMNOPQMNRSTPLSQUVWSLXNYLNZWQ8GG3542332355873954554583G5 23[\]2543G65[^]G854323G8543G287354[_]74583G5 75873I52374254255`3[a[374433583G575873I5 23[F28[545674823G75585225472bcdc\[^[_[a[

e3225587357287G7786223355G2345674f

g858685[555826789528G8532G787G58325467895256523954 85`373286655823J33h87435785755`3 558354567483586543756523267457G3583G5827858652b a6da6\2i395325[55`3G65367G376365245542583G5

f25473272265422350(j,5744583G788337223355G732 266583G5h874355G335435645k558327G5l8582574k6658Imnoo 87787G585534385G55G3G4522233745`334G54h8743

p=<q >: 8 r>?s=q 8

t>r; : u8

@Ar=C8 v<q =?r=E; >q =8

@Ar=C8 wq >?q =?8

@Ar=C8

(9)

2345675829625762722453285623596258562345524 3423

!

"!

"

"

"

"% $% $#

$ ' ( &

) $*%*'$*%(*&$*"#"

+5857938635625823,2-533285623,235962588579383423 95-2359454655.796/54

06!'5!&"!4!&$!%(!&3!2!71!#!

86"'5"&"94"&$"%("&$"!#!&3"2"71"#"

:6*'5*&"*4*&$*%(*&$*"#"&3*2*71*#*

5655;<29349344;<29,,65,945764,9,5%;29,,65,945524#;2625 23,9382;2582375627938=3623596294234596975456 6565534594225938$;%(;5>,53,25352473534645344545 98856$ 2;?9323829464552423858469823,675,7534@4455,75342

6456765796/54522.627659796/545,75342,2539 A6 '; B;

565C2223,23796/545,753426322>5893974234.5 659>582354238

2394556252385>4523,796/54,253.

1 '

D

; ;#;

# E

F5654552,4E;6554456653823,.796/5425 G

HIJGKLMNOPGQORSOTPGUMVWOQG

X522.69423,9388579382359.796/54593856255>6523645 796/545,7534625938553494556252385>+272625554965 93958234567354857938\6;'

Y

[;&";4;&3;2;7B;

Z

565[;'5;&$;%;(]54

(10)

23456278769358767683276943562453557577732393587676 8

53438

576345337774962776853438562768376234562 437936853438358

1

! "

8

8 8 #$

&'%

3763788363876522385343793853653932598 ()*+,-./7459767883436037938534387887733532#$ 38 3 85859636765635737459738327694383237562 45355757774598877363793853438

163432753438

28763453834363777496277632345627634327534383562 33777479385343876137936763432753438358

4

! "

5

6 8 7

9 : ;

' <

<

=<

=

=

= >?

@

>? + A @%

B7385343793853635326323456285343876343275343 79385335326323456285356263234562763432753438>? = 53227336C52763453834367936383962833 8765223785853932453962776863788335223B7356 769358376363234562763432753438585()*+,-DE8773745963793 763432753438567693583763632345628534385856)F()*+,-D E8773D3396379376343275343837762932C5276+ =<

G547438

H576876345383436377743234562547438I5623793 763432753438437936547438358

%J

! "

5

6 8 7

9

: 5

6 8 7

9 : ;

;

' <

<

=<

=

= K= K K

K >?

@

>? +

@

>? + A @%

(11)

34 5267898758688968879585657898 ! 89759576579858688797" 9#8$#5957#8#%

957&'(986998879857988598868879)5898587 586656898!9878987699886*9565758988969 +&9,69867988!885957585867566759577 988-5698788$#5957#8#%957!89,887986887965798859875 86

)87,9#795798588896#898878#6#6578969#9#89 96878,#8-858785787#6#6578969#9#899578698

5798!89,88768879655998.#88898878#68969#9#8 ,8765898588896669878$#6689688796/6 68879688-68998686*98756957957987#689 69#9#856985798!89,8876887965.87!8$#5957#8#%957)88-866 665798678987*,57,88687966555957878987 ,5,8.8.58.#88,87986#65856878756857689570 )8579#898,571

23456557681/69789879:;<;'==<896887961 4

3 34 34

34> ? + ? 2 ?

? @ @ @

/6595.8A7895.8B6978987568598#898#957A57868B576#

757868A8868B576687C!5757285759578,59988-866576ADB%A8EB ,868858889658!89,887896887967985786F98!A8118B8.87 ,876697898788$#6689688796)58985976998 85868$#6

=

=

G 4 3

H @8

?

? 985975798859885868$#6

IJ L K

M NO

@

= +=

+ +

G G

4 3

H 8 8

?? *79958586*

IJ L K

M

N I

J L K

M NO IJ L K

M NO

@

= +=

+ 2+ 2

2

G G

G

4 3

H 8 8 8

?

? )8688

58889658!89,8876887968.87,878-6898$#6685887958 88968#8998575898896757#%957

(12)

345675867599594696967666 8966969979

3! "869#69$9958966946889 79)(%)'%)&%1*

356884956944895678+474

,-./012345678)9:;787&&7;<8=&8>8?7<8@7'>?@8A6=;B87CD>E8>;9=AA8'>9B7<8A7F'7?<A8:A8A<9=?F798<678

&D9<6798D)8<678E>@@798<678A7F'7?<8:A8E=;><7@G8

11$ IH

J H I

J H I

J& ' A K

K K

K K

K L L 6 7&'L2M7'AL2 N44O6+1*

P891694695488467D)Q<9>@:?F8:?@D;7@8)9:;78@:A)79A:=?*95454 5494695849666499795 54679596696R967*

STU2VW-2WX/.-2YZ[\-2[]^-_`21W-20a^^-Z2-bb-\12a]^21W-2WX/.[]c2daZe-12d/01[Y0[-Z2

f5696749796M#g$R#12$M6955466+948

#1"$

h i h i h i

A

A 'A '

&'

&

&

A 'A ' ' A ' A '

&'

&

&

'

& '

&

& IH

) 7 ) 7 ) ) 7 ) IH )

) 7 ) IH )

J )

jj k l mm

n o

jj k l mm

n

o pp q s r st pu pq s r st v u jk m l n v o j v

jk l mm

n

o j

k m l n v o v

%w w w w w w

+64#1"$5495997969955466+6946969 69895475959796x8y<678A:z787&&7;<{66989547595 79|4696449554678*35899694696R9676 6954884679495D)Q<9>@:?F87&&7;<*

35A:z7Q7&&7;<696956x4979M84959 79689669M

: :

)

w*35D)Q<9>@:?F87&&7;<68468957469

8546794956648966966664999466

+9895995467979#896}M"22"$*3456758675995669995 *~47#"21"$4954845467999*

(13)

234567458942377 758942377642777737773 66423728223375234472773277589 423776375782672347 637473423774277 7!5

"

"

#

$

%%

&

' "

#

% $

&

'

( )( ) )

*

*

+ 34758942377663747347

77!5

"

"

#

$

%%

&

' "

#

% $

&

, '

"

#

% $

&

'

- (- ( )( ) ) - (- - -

*

*

*

*

*

+ + 2772378374473232

24276776.2/7776075782672347 77357437447 2327234276776.589423776026737757437 447773267413773677!522345674589423737327 58942377642887347773328675782672347 5 7272/7

134747277737773372826237589423776 75782672347 7632477565777377!5422

3752/772/77767523456237235

67819141:9;5<-=((>?@A523756575+B3+(3+)3+

C2323672322319;3452376

D

+3175782672347 745675

1E0 J3IH,

+

IH

F

(-,)(.1,(-0

G

7 8723.1E07735523756572345673237723 75723752375478226236<5237528272 66727478372375782672347 7 677477 73563 27.K0 L1

MK

MJ 736324723637473472347235

NOPQRSTUVTWXA>YA*?-X@AZ)A[\>=AX]\@]A\*^>?_]X`A_AYZ\-X`A(_?a>A(\b>*b?A-A*?-X>A cYXA-YZ@a-A>ZAX>A](_X]A_?A[\_bAd>cXA(_?a>A-`(X>-eA

1;0 L1

H I

J M

M 2 L2

)(

(-L2

(14)

345678994752787759567 !"!#" $

%677&5'4()*54)+544,()8'567()*59869*,4459*7 (5)7459567694(,75$%67(5(,755*57)9-747.)4594896' 695+57(7-594('*9(7/9544(/7987&/(4*5989567694 (,750*6)*7+*945*594*959)*7+59+4*9(759$1348*507-74674

*947469*,59))'97(47&*97(74569*,7()872 8757*9()757'))77674*947469(9749694(,755*57$

3459459()8'469*,567)+547887*5(,769*,598877457(74598 5676947754887745875759567697)*747.$

345445677&5'/7577475*57-74/'478459424567'((75* 694(,755*57-74/'478459450/54994897(745+)7*8*69*, 4/4944478459410-756789946

789:;<=>?==

@ ! ! " A!#B!A !A AC "!! DD C!!! #C A E! D! AF! "AA !CCG

11H

D IJ

K IJ

K IJ

K

L L L

L L

L M M 88 DON0O1PD

Q998634R))74.1$

75578775945678994C#" ! "AA B DD C!G

S674694(,757*6*577/'7&5'+4*7)+54069*,59567557 T457(757H69(77(745/456559477887*559567697)*747.564 69*,59457(757T8('H69(7$%67594*777(489557

T457(757H69(75(577&5'-74567(,757(74589557T457(757H 69(7499(769(79475957)59457(757T8('H69(7$%67

*(5-7*9454/9567*5447*57887*5(,45677887*59869*,59567 7(48955769(77.*77569798089454*708('69(705675577(745

1U97744V9((7-9T2N11H69567(7794489567)*7+59+745594(974*4/55594$

(15)

345674898833847837735795473598559864998485465 95735

5335559843565784759578658446749568444684 35746595995846435736356565673557858 655786

!" #$$%&%#"'()*%&+ ,%-

5467586598539459474935787368984956488 856733573635648558.5658/0112368467584956 5855745

678475849/6488573478578556885673784755988476 35984784485856738594684447435545673 35673735988485675669953

6796949/843598856736635647364657945738 353988495879468673735988485675669953

67:89849/7373;477495659879476898479468673856 44673

67:5647358449/8485946873565477945

9655987985<5578647867385554485 65494853

575855765578688994783743566849357568 7555968859458533555984668855786537=>?@A673 35736356565684368535578586557865468595784 4575787755344468743577465959956

B844635984C5682888598478546595735464984758 357366847585853478533584996.57958784357465 9548688765656858768854565455957887 846533566778553854456D565855867687385 45757885684688598858478557847679567485 85656868479847485779534678856868564

(16)

345678859795355343459375393957863795

47973595844737657885335 973!7566735953 639395559375555!"##2!359535734353455

953937953553$$379387%5345479$53

73!45776345479$5395673379537673!7 55953953%673757958&85995'7%657 544955784595345479$537345393 839679355787%937353999585%653($56!

"##278895795%653%9653455953733653678 78)%6*3733457535!345795393%955345%959766 934599859378573557634553%9735%378776 3763+95755%653663345578,-.,/012345%73

%35645%9545637595754%%63453459478 664757.,/0125573555345%95534589535735553

%95345)57954685758735'%78345%%6566376 45+3455379953433457665355334545%9585'!47 359537'5345%9763347334589535536687353458953553! 7$34559766%7345%95%35

+34563%6598376563795'345594%5795!

958345576687%57675479$537'7%37679 3978557634565*9$59178237834957983787537636

9

:;9<=>?@A=?BC9CBDDEFG9=AH9>AIJ=>9J=>9HKA9K?BCL=@9IJMNAH9IBEHLDELAM99

3453558554%%6!465737345857885393957 595476697%653575534%3978%7345%95 +634565O7$"##"!4%%6473%5357479$53 553P93!34595795566345!Q !, 574553O58!537$53 73345%73%39784%%6R546863454678859 78857845535%%!7957583%334595'34534579$53!78 6375673347759787756659R55!345%%676645!S!S 5676566376645!Q !%6S 345857893595873545!U T $55!

(17)

3456788935535456 579 65979335535456 89 76345 59456 33 45963583459545573457836 995345678899456 579634573597939456

!12" $#

!1%" $#

!1&" $

'5(4)536553597934765657(363455685(3*5)536553 8(5,+

!1-" +$/+#.+,+

455/+650576853559353345*9939579 )536553.+6345678895963(3145678896556534559 996(50635(53459793476567654565(4655315 6675585(3345506347663()&

23456789:;5<:=>:?;5@8AB:<5

1456788965565555335535566!CD"535!ED"3 6376453555375656345678895656476)536 5685(3*59

154494334589(3678334583(5)5365536F553 863634547695566345575636GH63IJKLMNOLPMNQORLSOTPOURL VN+WOSLMXXOWROYLZ[LSIJWQSLRJLS\VV][LMUYLYOPMUYLO^\M]LMWNJSSLPMNQORLSOTPOURS_`5(IJKL MNOLPMNQORLSOTPOURLVN+WOSLMXXOWROYLZ[LZM]MUWOYLSIJWQSLRJLUORLYOPMUYL+ULaMN+J\SLPMNQORL SOTPOURSb34IJKLMNOLPMNQORLSOTPOURLVN+WOSLMXXOWROYLZ[LZM]MUWOYLSIJWQSLRJLUORL YOPMUYLO^\M]LMWNJSSLPMNQORLSOTPOURSbLL

L

&99585(3345506347663()53457536(9846(95664385 345678896555(3678344943534665(3c3453454785(3 345506363()43(735(33458(3585(3H345593535547658(56 7865563(5de!fgg2"h4494334567889655375783563(3 585(3935345i5*5634335853334559(97585(363

(18)

3456789597798554545845797795554558559 459497859885887595868559559 9975458555744755899859558945979 55795457954598575688495754955 85955756459559595458747859597458 3479856579779459458755665969495684956 949934797977747645 8775875795897!45 585665457758587558758

345954547859795749458755665967949 95859587!9495585856547 4567599755897645547558758795685977

8959!949557487554558976497 859"557956757589654955#955995 59!479!457665855555$899%557459!

&

&

& '(

)(, +*-94755899859558949777759456 57954596895754955.57559455 85859976855598545586459556659347985 6559497859485879565859457596345.5 .5/7758605-9945759559759

7997458955!59455747495 8759185745559997558976455578545 675677792

345"36"72-94589:;<8998595592 (

' '(

'(

'(? @ > @ = @

@ , , ,

345"36"A2-94989:;<B8998595592

*

@

@*

@*

@*?, >, =,

3458755665645974558657495975495575854556656 459749797957C

1345054585856589457556659$58745878795%655 586797!4585785956755785966757859597759 97757959787

(19)

3456768697!

"

73#

$

#

#%' %& %

%)*( ( (

34567686972+,!-.//

"

73# 0

$ 0

#

#%' %& %

%)*( ( ( 1

234354674889:;<84==6>91?@1A:

91@?:=B6>;C<=8546

91D: M/#1T

G

PIQJL*/R

E

PIOJSIJ

F

)*JRKJOI'JRKJOI)*IRNI'I

H

9U":MJ

G

J/PIL*/SP/PI)*JRQ/'JRJ/P/OI)*IRQ/KI'I

H

#1T

9U1:MI#1T

G

J/IJL*/SP/IJ)*JRQ/IJ'JSW)*IRV'I

H

X8=83<Y4==6>B88<386;L* ( 3Z7>

( (=6[

' ;C3687>88B676>

836B38438684=;)*(#(S^(](SJ(\(11"

_

`ab_cdefgh_ijk_klhmnohlej_lj_piognq_hnrpnjq_molfnh_

8833633B6438844478348<

3848=83888444;C83=<<8<

3884==6>B7>3<8s@21

583Y=8<8=C3=64==6>38= B6>866=;=B8<C33338841

83<<8<=6388@8B86=6388 t98:38B86=8B=83t8C=; C66866=<43!,K!36183=8=<43.u 36B183>==84833843864=3 646846>74>66;668C46863

(20)

34567859678998558899893568589683788 4684588678636568568589687875889 6348978686858678886785874879 4558658857898567858365685786868586896 6789893568589683786754758896365685

685896878785836858968786858689676678 9893565685966789893568589687878678989353 7878686678368678998578586785858345678568 694686354648 46378585868586896989 7!55886836788867767845

"#$%&'()'*+,-./'0,'12,//'3&4#53'#53'4#2.&0'/&14&50'627-&/''' 8

9:;<=>8?@ABC:D?8

EC<DC:D8@F;:8 GDAH:?8

I=C:D;:>A<C:8

@F;:8GDAH:?8

J<;AKL8@F;:8 GDAH:?8 MN/

O P8 P8 P8

MN4

O Q8 P8 P8

MNR

O Q8 Q8 P8

N M MN MN

MN* O 4 O R O

O S S S T U T

789857!69898 455!86886V836WX9 98589Y856Z[9\89]^X88867656859378 58756858986686_5685896878886 46848]89686598]667865868966785868688678 95868338658967868898998833869678688 49883386786685896878588854446 68367858586858867898935685896878

564987!5886867858833867!8 V836`6458685!868867Y856`2 91189]^

789857!6499898 455!868868 V836W9`58868a6'02#3751'753a-&3'627-&'37/6&2/7,57655675476

(21)

345678965464795646459944563556459944 795659696596946496469956559669 67969669656354963659643611

!"#$%&'(&)*'+$*,-.)/-*0'1',&$+2'1,'-*'3)4-*-%-$*'5'61'.)71*.',-.)',&$+28'1,'()99'1,' 1',&$+2'1,'-*'3)4-*-%-$*':'61',;<<9=',-.)',&$+28'-,'%&)')44)+%'$*'71/2)%',)07)*%'</-+),'

,%/$*0)/'%&)'4;/%&)/';<'%&)'91..)/'%&)',)07)*%'-,'9$+1%).>''

?@@A

3 B

C 3

B C 3 B

C4 7 , D

D D

D D

D E E 9' )7,EF5) E47 )47

5

?@GA

H D D H D D H D

DC4 C7 C, E

E 9' )7,E)I7, 5)47E)J47 K44LM6659N

O6946656354P96QR69994S5R69994T66967U 6676339659VQ76@

W1X9)'Y>'Z&$+2,'%$'*)%'.)71*.'1*.'71/2)%',)07)*%'</-+),'

[\]^_`abc

d ]c c`e\

fcag

h^ c\_a] `e\

icag

j]\ak`e\

fcag

Dl F F F

Dl3 m n n

Dl m m n

l D Dl Dl

DlZo 7o 4o

m n n

p4P46656354643696QR69994S89776966.-/)+%

934qrstuvqwrxqysqzw{xr|}zr~u€qr4-*.-/)+%93446463P6 63696p65635956474949936Q6?6N464A4P4 7643766746Q67?6N464A4P45635

11O69R699945‚Q694UT51F9p659N@86366974ƒ67m6 6546479567464ƒ671V67674ƒ67„866965969496N6659Q476

(22)

345678797458677775787575677747845 696567478758557678565468768549 85575457757678474787456747574457757 6785847957485576778675456756775879745 7889845775767785678575478774 847585456447854947957478677856 !"#

$47957%55696567478784577576788784& !"#

5569677'549788557677847787(5 78696567877578)754475)5677849854 6778)67756755768558578456775675554 457757677857857)56778474567& !"#775

757748557445775767867785875677874 456787475775675778456747577587577485574 4577576787757477578557844778857487757 4787456774457757678

*47478745674757467858479574568557 4457757677856964787587678677754 6778898)58575674757757577485574 45775767887577

4)7487567777584747874475747(88 75879745884+7454,-849.87548/)04114*742174 54585454875774879745845785'574775781185) 787764747874475747(887587974589655 758797457868785875787887674884969748 6849758557

374)56759657757748797458467498479578557 678755655677855868497754)56758

116757557(558567785678*497(7858)44575 7(5948)568785345)7(78585567'5494778784 87(594894549456767879745457745567855767879745) 9747549544757758.456756764)7(7858857495674567578567475 775887569656768497487445647758

(23)

345678985996463393469468399433 993697986688367533 64639496463346946936398 6469 !59 398336"636"343#74 43

$%&'()*')+,-*'./01*'023*4''

5667943#746261298667838 19 @GF2

:

D

:

>?CA

;

E=>?C=BAED<>?<C=B<A<

;

6!3#97736"369598667389 5964633346943=JBIH!6G4!K!3=IH!676 736"966"3989439394

5966743964633346946"!839 94394693=J6646396G4!6!93966"369 5986673439646394!6=IH!66 39966"LJM NOP94634396463943 966"JQLJM NO946343934694996783679 7394367736"94633"36356695933 646394!6RS<

:

TE<

; :

USRS<ER< <

;

93966"369567343934694!6=<IH! 966"LJM NO946343934694487736"

JQLJM NO94633"363566959336463943 39438367!6

:

RVTER ST<

; :

UR<SS<EV

;

86794368946786"699493 W6669X3396NYVZ O PZ[LL M339788

(24)

2345679 !

"1#$

%&

'

%&

'

%&

'

( ( (

( (

( ) ) *++ ,

-- -- - ) )

./010---<"$567+9";$)4*++

2

=8:=

3

)4,?++

2

=8:=

3

@4>0+*67+9";$ABC0

*670A01D*65A0,.0+*670 " $>/010/9"$ 4*++

2

8

3

4,

D8< ;@ =:= @ -

-

E1BB+F?6A/05GG067*H,IJ

K0LB67M>0AN16ABA/05DGO*+*L5A*B6B+8/BLP8F

234567QRSTU!! S!V

"1W$ @I

&

% ' (

( *++

@XXX ./010XXX<

2 3

56709";$)4,

E1BB+F?6A/05GG067*H

YZ06>/06A5P*6[A/08NGGO\8*7058G0LAB+NGA157*6[*6AB5LLBN6AA/0/BN8*6[D51P0AD*[/A C0L/515LA01*807C\CBA/!567!!,]BA/+05AN108510LB67*A*B65OB6A/0*67*10LA 0++0LAC0A>0068A51A01567*6A01D07*5A0/BD080HL007*6[5L1*A*L5OO*D*A068N1*6[510O5A*Z0

*6L10580*6*6A01D07*5A0/BD08,

^N16*6[ABA/08/BLP8[*Z06C\_0+*6*A*B68W567`>0800108NOA87*++01C0A>00680[D06A8 7N0ABA/07*8A*6LA*DGO*L5A*B68B++*18AaA*D056710G05ACN\018M108G0LA*Z0O\,

b8*6["1c$567_0+*6*A*B6W>0+*67A/5A5C5O56L078/BLPAB60A70D567+B18A51A01/BD08M

%& (e (d

( < < M7B086BA*DG5LAA/0/BN80G1*L0*670H,^/0*DG5LA*8M/B>0Z01M 5DC*[NBN8MCBA/>/06LB68*701*6[C5O56L078/BLP8ABA/060A70D567+B1*6A01D07*5A0 /BD08M(%&<(e<(dM58>0OO58>/06LB68*701*6[C5O56L078/BLP8ABA/060A70D567 +B1+5D*O\/BD08M(%&<(e<(d,^/0G1*L00++0LA8L56C0GB8*A*Z0B160[5A*Z070G067*6[

B6G515D0A01Z5ON08"K00A/05GG067*H$,

IJK00A/05GG067*H+B158NGGO\8*7071*Z06O577010++0LA,

(25)

34567489945954947897997749658496 9495569749787489754745954945 984987474797547995774 !

"#$%&'()*((+,-./.0123,45617,86,028,329.03,2:;./,.1<644,9.<728,42=92084,5.4,.0,.9->=;6;4,

>9?.18,60,852,56;42,?<>12,>032@A,B52,>9?.18,>4,?64>8>C2,D02=.8>C2E,>F,852,2:;>8G,>03;123,;?H 8<.3>0=,F<69,852,48.<82<,5692,42=9208,>4,/.<=2,D49.//E,206;=5A,

I1J LK MN

MO 7 P

94 94 2

2 RQ 4 RK MN

MO 7 P

94 94 2 2 LQ 2Q94W=

S T

2F9 48U

ST

VRKP

X55Y4947 P

Y4958455748969795Z974854599454 94779474955499759497795495774 4545954945849PY945 74979574445954945849 7895797795495774 P

[\(]^_`&%$a^_$(

b74859797557487495549977 549494748557489549c7999559748 57487897477754964849d5499749 9648497754749557489977d497 5695774 547954899564955P b755977979579749748Pc7967 4787899477496484999547974Z 9748Pb56565799849759794 747946999979957974Z9748Pb7479 9984975459548999849 759PeZ97487477754754755 9849P

(26)

34567897789488797577857885875974578 858759887947575787784985794875 887945678497878544799697875574879 7557489975794578777899775847 7955784875489879784997997875945678945758 75 987488797577496887598987879 475777989796988797789587557748948475 7794777798497579!75875874754 74957985787985759877788797577

"784684884885486945678977898587 7497777979#97985487475984794849 7594977594979879457885947949744457 9456789$7987997579457757848775984 4594567897789488755457487945678777897 79987489969845678977897978%&'(%)*7855 78754784589797789984797978+,'(*7854 78

-78748.85487997945678997475 8757987485797948/598012')34&56*&5407%4*1)&7%*4&81%)8&,59*'(%*7,:1;%'%*

;344%)*%<<%7'487(,08&56*:3)=%'*:0;'&1;&%)89845487579456789

"78745774497874969.78477894977 44796987874848579

-78467878548485787577945678985857 5947478877598494567894578479 456789858577954874857984874858787547877 977899994567898455887.7847485798 574878879698484887559757949749877578 4567897785794574787

(27)

3454647849

!" ""#"$$ "%

$$"&"'""("$""&$1))*+,2+,-.#1,*

/"0"$1 %2"13("451067"8 1)))

9:0;<98'="$$"&('""(

4$""&$1))2+2-+>?>@>-?

9A821, ; 1";

BCDEFGHIGJDKLMCDINOKPCECFQRKBKSIEQFGECFQKTQUIQV "4W$!

X 1))*"! %YY!Y5Y51Y51Z"$Z"$! &

[QQF\KB]K^_DEK`QNECFaKLMCDINOK`GFQQFDKGNbKBCDEFGHIGJDKLMCDINOKPCECFQ "

4W$!X "1))?

! %YY!Y5Y51Y51Z"$Z"$! &

9:&'0;!"12'c!1""!";"$ d!c!"e '""(W W$!1))>+1*+f1.#f>f

9892/2$!d!A$$$"g 5 9;1$A&"8X%d1"'9hc""("ij""8"(

$"$""&$,...,i,j$! 1,,f>,#,f.f

9"d/"&&5"";0$#W W "W k5$"d!"1/"$11),,A $,#,1

9"dk1 !"8 / $ %X&$ "("0$#"#$"&

&$" 5 "A"!$"&c"801),1l ("451 9"/;"0m/"!"&8 1& e'""(

"$""&$1))f+,1+,1#1-

;='g1W'/!;"&c!(($ %d!/ "$88 5 !"8 5$$"$""&$1))2+2+,#f1

;!&2;/$!!(nBooMCNEINOKpMFK`qGNOQDKINKEqQ LMrQMVNQFDqIsKTGEQ]tKX "$""&$W51))2+2)ifj+*??#?1*)-

"&='X"5 ""8 X$

/""AW598"(/A$"c"801))?#)2

! %YY(("Y$ "Y$""&$YY1))?Y)?#)28(

1A<#("!4=!"&8 "A$1))*+f1+?#,2 W/=<&"$!(($ !/"

&$"$""&1'""("$""&$1))>+,f+f>1#f*?

!2m0" '"$&"!$$!;

5$W"/$$4$""&$,..,+1,+2f.#2>*

2;W"c0d!X&$ "("A$X"5 ""

;"&%d!;"( !"8 '""(A$1),)+*2i,j+fff#f*) 2""&;d2d!""&8& "!"$$ "

$$$1'""("$""&$1))f+,1+,-,#1),

&"9cd!1""& !1 !!"&8 $"""8 W"/$$4$""&$,..,+1,+2>?#221

(28)

3456789349787843439784777579487

!849"#$8%4&781''('()1**

))+++48&)7,785)69))+)1''()+'(1**

"#$854-5% .77994.778479/!7810187779929+

4458%797875442"#$1''1 ))+++48&)7,785)69))+7)1''1)'*

3-4!743778&797584724946!4479.485 49*77789'8:7(5;*:

3897.#8%79+78762789598797557893+8754<777=422+8%9 75788978479>?@AB@@?CDEFGHIJ@EKLMENEOPGP?@P?A@EQCJRGS#21'*' ))+++996)&4564)6597%T6U8947V4U52*(V%7UV5&U

#%4+W745176626766269794&8%7X.7&45 47768649*7(78*7819;51;(

#278!41,79474984647875797257 255979 874779787TW7+&54.747+*7798#2)478975;' -855YZ[\]^_`ab`Z\c`db`eZcf469 g&9759797847 hfhi]j_`klmno]Z\`khn\npqh`e]rq]s*7778:98t;;5t22

-855YZ[\]^_`ab`Z\.2394&#8%7249 -7!8464"7 dunhvw`Z\c`xm]cqy`xn\wymZq\ywjb`.747+44791''28t9/108:;75:(;

7864397847249 17857,5427&828%4&789 4442*77*818*:951'9

744!z8479184&574794&8%7 75+4+527 77917{8785248549*77;8**'189t75:'2

4+%4|%79$14717394&3781,488+4&

9849-.7978#78/494702((1''1W77859!785%

.7978787))+++65)7)47,9

4554937-+7894!&4&394&#8&&7#8%79

17W7+4.754479*215*(1" .$88794377/90}CB@?D~EGDEOCA?G€E

‚GD~IƒE„G@PE…I@PEFIJ@HIAP?†I@E‡ˆˆ‰.57&73 z

z

Š‹‹ŒŽz‘’z

74,*&479789878795974,79529477894775

8.795*

1499%4&7784475578%797&78479+48797Q>

44&74498

>

Q F

>

Q F

>

Q

F” “ @

•

•

•

•

•

• – – 694&78457844799749*

7974497=5

@

@

“@

“

@

“@

“

”“

” H H

I H

H I H

I H

* *

* *

* * —–

˜

š ™

›

œ

—–

—˜

™

šš

›

œ žž

Ÿ

¡  

¡¢

£

žž

Ÿ

¡  

¡¢

£ 1498779

(29)

3

5787897889

4

6

3 4

5789651

! "#$#86%896%

&'()

*"+,,

9 8

-.

/ -.

/ -.

/

0 0 0

0 0

0 1 1

21(+,, 3 0

0 4 -.

/

5 6

8 8

-.

/ 4 53 7 0

0

3

89

5 6

8

4

9

-.

/ 4357 57 0

0 7",,

3

5157815789

5 6

578

4

7 !

86%#6578 8

9::;<=>?8@A8

*++B1,++!# " C

*++!"# DEF++!DGH51F#D5GH15F ,B+"#$#+ + B7

++B+I",(J55 !B

&##+!)

K##"! ##,"!#,#$ LMNOMPQRLSTUVLMTUWXSNYUVZ[a.\4`\7_\^\78\]\7 #, $H #!#+ # $##,"!c4bb87

#$#!e\4d\7b\ +"#$#f++!

#!7#$#!g94e9789 ##g84e878 #"#$#! #7#+!h84d878 #"++! ! ####+#

8 89

9e d e

i4 7 j4g9g87b8897+ "!

(30)

3

6 5 5 56

4

7 98

9

97

3

6595856

4

!"$

3

65856#5

4

%

&"'()!

*%06

+

75/.6

3

957375

4

-.53

3 4 3

95715273957

4

-.732717

,

*

&"!4" ((5)'(!6)75""'()!)(!)7"8))!6' "!4"!! 9)6"%'8""'!"7)"("))7 )'(!")"'46'()!:"'8")')' 8"8')5"')'(!6)75""'()!)) "" "

)6 ()' " 5!)6'5! 5

";!'8")')"')' 7):))5"8"'

!)'(!6)75""'()!

3

3

4

3

+ 3

4 ,

<

5 7 7 5 7 5 75 5

6 9 8

-.

0 = #

>

> " 6)!7):))5"8

)')"'!!"'(5)!'8"8')5"'"'()! 88!6)75"()!")')"'"'"5" 6 "

(")')"')! ((5"8"'

3

3

4

3

3 4

<

7 5 7 5 5

7

6 9 9

-.

0 2 #

>

>

)6"()!88!"8"!46)7:5?8)))"@ABC8)D

EFGHIJKLMNOPQRPST6UVWXTYVT6Z99[\T8]Z^[T^W_V66T5^_X8YT68`58aY6Tb59^WY6Ta8`^Ybc8[\TVaT6Y^_Y8_T UV58T9_bW86TT

1% >>0163ghi*

+ 3

7

3

5875

4 4

79527

,

def<

j""8Dk"")!58"'*%

")6:"7 ""8'!"')"(55)6 )'(!"8"!46)7:5?8)))"A""'()!l"7("))7 88!"8)!'8""'"')6)788!"8)! '8")')8')5"')"88! ':)6 " 5("))7 P

(31)

3456789 !!"#$$##% &

!!$!#

'()* 77453 10.

+ ,

62 /-8

9:;;<=>;??;@ABC:DEF?G<:;H'.)*8

IF)?A;<;??;@ABC:DEF?G<:;H'.)*FJ)F)K)?)LEDBCLE:D)ADCLFJDLDFBDH)LB<;:AF):FD:J;HDA ')ACLMD<CLCFC;LN*O743P17QPOB;DAL;FCHR)EF;LFJDR:CED;<AF):FD:J;HDAO 1-

5

7S

7 8T

K)?)LEDBCLE:D)ADCLFJDLDFBDH)LB<;:CLFD:HDBC)FDJ;HDA;LFJD;FJD:J)LBO74317QO J)A)LDU)FCVDCHR)EFO 1[0.

+

2

W

Z2

X ,

Y-8

5 \ \ 7S

7 ]C^D@CAD)K)?)LEDBCLE:D)ADCLFJDLDF

BDH)LB<;:CLFD:HDBC)FDJ;HDAO743217Q2OCA)?A;LDU)FCVDO 1[0.

+ ,

2 Y-8 2

$

5 \ 7S

7

_JDCLF`CFC;LCAAF:)CUJF<;:@):B=ILE:D)ADBA`RR?G;<CLFD:HDBC)FD'<)HC?G*J;HDAJ)A)BC:DEF LDU)FCVDCHR)EF;LAF):FD:'CLFD:HDBC)FD*J;HDR:CEDA8IL)BBCFC;LOCLE:D)ADBBDH)LB<;:

CLFD:HDBC)FD'<)HC?G*J;HDACLE:D)ADAFJD)V)C?)KC?CFG;<`ADBAF):FD:'CLFD:HDBC)FD*J;HDA FJ:;`UJFJD`RaF:)BCLUR:;EDAAOA;HDFJCLUFJ)F)U)CLCHR)EFALDU)FCVD?G;LAF):FD:J;HD R:CEDA)LBH)^DAFJDF;F)?D<<DEF`L)HKCU`;`A?GLDU)FCVD8

3456789bcd #!# !!"#$

"#% &!!$!#e

f)* .

W

'

X

gY-

h j i

k

l Z Z [0

1 2 2

$

5 \ \ 7S

7

9:;;<=>;??;@ABC:DEF?G<:;HFJD:D)A;LCLU)K;VD)A)??R):FC)?D<<DEFA):DmD:;;:LDU)FCVD8

ILFD:HDBC)FDJ;HDR:CEDA

n)* 5

+

\2o3Z\\243[pQ[\q2432[p$2Q2

,

1.0

r`RR?GAJ;E^ACHR)EFALDU)FCVD?G;LFJDR:CED;<CLFD:HDBC)FDJ;HDAC::DARDEFCVD;<CL@JCEJ ADUHDLFAFJDAJ;E^;EE`:A8sJDLE;LACBD:CLUBDH)LBAJ;E^AOFJDR:CEDD<<DEFCAE;LFCLUDLF

;LFJDADUHDLFAR;ACFC;L;LFJDJ;`ACLU?)BBD:8sJC?DR;ACFCVD?G:D?)FDBF;K;FJFJDBDH)LB

<;:AF):FD:)LBF;FJDBDH)LB<;:CLFD:HDBC)FDJ;HDAOR:CEDA;<CLFD:HDBC)FDJ;HDA):D

(32)

3456789478793649636994583786347886 6689689838763638948

855354994848358838466

!"#$%&'()*+,-+./01234/52/067789/:;6<8/<3=200/><=4:5/0:?>:@50/A>7<350/@:?<5AB:89/2@/

A@5:=>:CA<5:/12>:/7=A3:0//

6D G

E E F E F F

IH2

J L K

M

N P O O O PQ

R >0 S >0 0 >0 0 S

> : : : 7

T U U U

V W W

X445Y4994839547Z6D +

!"#$%&'()*+[-./01234/52/C:><@C/:;6<8/<3=200/><=4:5/0:?>:@50/1<0/<@/<>\A?6260/A>7<35/ 2@/A@5:=>:CA<5:/12>:/7=A3:0/ /

]6D WWcT>bRQG

^

:>0U5OUU5`7U0a5

_

6949457676334369876345648588384d6784 e48363 2Qf 58364838454 f2

b c

T>

W

W 668

^

:>0U5OUU5`7U0a5

_

gh83745388355368854736347 34838454 f2

b c

T>

W

W 6h6

E F

PG

H

S S 0

>0 0

: U U a

U Y4837863

47834888363633883553547336347738 7699434696388683765483786347

i38343763855345485883846 64654994j354994839547Z6D363669686837654 36347WlRWVkRWm44387634837863478X 2

7 R Wm

W Y4

66968683765483786347Wl7RWV7RWm758

E F E

0 S >0

F

>

> :

T P P RQGUU G Wm

W 8869867844838454 f2

>

T>

Wm

W 8

668

E

:>0HU0

E F

USPG

F

383838n45388355333636

83786347o944883376545678947

(33)

3 3

453869867

6

"! 67

6 #

82$ %&3' '''((()( +*

67

6 (,')

+ #

!

"

"

%

&-.(53((/()'((01.2

3456789:;<=>?@>ABCDEDFGHBIFGJDBIFBFKBHDFHBLMDEBDGJNBDJOKBPFKBQDBDFB DCIPMNMBIDGKBNFBIFKJHIDKBQNBJIGBB

RS 667 8$2

T

"!#2

2V

#

U

W'32X--1)'-.3''((0%

X'(')'' +* 67

6 ()(Y

T

2V"!V!#2V

U

%&

-(()'331(''()(')(''-0(' ()()3'(')1---()('(()()Z-' '[(00((')'%

X-.'

\S 82$

T

_^V"]^# 9Va]^#`9

U

b(3-.''-(-.())()(0((-% b.('333[0(.53((c()53((d)'-.2

3456789:;<=>e@>ABQNGOBKNBMEfBLMDEBDGJNBDJOKBPFKBIDGKBFPDKIgEfBNFBDIEfB QNBJIGhBB

2*SBBBBB 2

3

iY*

j l k

m

n V V V

#$

8

9 6

6 B

W'32X--1)'-.3'o\S())3((3`%

>

3456789:;<=>pq@>ABQNGOBKNBHDFHBLMDEBDGJNBDJOKBPFKBIDGKBNIKIgEfBNFB DIEfBQNBJIGhBBB

2*S 2

3

i+*

j l k

m

n V V 8 $ r a 6

6

^ ]

Referanser

RELATERTE DOKUMENTER

We present analyses of the duration of house price upturns and downturns and study the price movements around peaks and troughs with two datasets for housing prices: one quarterly

Using a weighted least squares scheme in order to control for heteroskedasticity, we construct a general housing price index by regressing differences in log prices for the subset

momentum effect, we show that a simple extension of the standard supply-demand model with durable housing that allows house price expectations to be different depending on whether

In addition to higher maintenance invest- ment as a result of increased housing stock, the marked increase in housing investment since 2004 is particu- larly influenced

Despite this, co-op loans account for a considerable share of apartment …nancing: in 2008, the total debt held by Swedish co-ops amounted to 220 billion SEK or about 29 billion

The intuition behind this behavior is the following: In the case of mortgage financing bids are more sensitive to recent price changes since credit institutions only focus on

Keywords: efficient market hypothesis, excess returns, house prices, housing market, martingale process, risk, time persistency, trading rules.. JEL classification: C22, C43, D12,

The dependent variable is the log housing price, while the independent variables are the Mahalanobis distance and log appraisal value (which is a proxy for the quality of the house