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1 Healthy lifestyle and the risk of lymphoma in the EPIC study

1

(IJC-19-2849) 2

Sabine Naudin1, Marta Solans Margalef2,3, Fatemeh Saberi Hosnijeh4, Alexandra Nieters5, 3

Cecilie Kyrø6, Anne Tjønneland6,7, Christina C Dahm8, Kim Overvad8,9, Yahya Mahamat- 4

saleh10,11, Caroline Besson10,12, Marie-Christine Boutron-Ruault10,11, Tilman Kühn13, Federico 5

Canzian13, Matthias B. Schulze14,15, Eleni Peppa16, Anna Karakatsani16,17, Antonia 6

Trichopoulou16, Sabina Sieri18, Giovana Masala19, Salvatore Panico20, Rosario Tumino21, 7

Fulvio Ricceri22,23, Sairah Lai Fa Chen24, Leila Luján Barroso25, José María Huerta26,27, Maria- 8

Jose Sánchez27,28,29,30, Eva Ardanaz27,31,32, Virginia Menéndez33, Pilar Amiano Exezarreta27,34, 9

Florentin Spaeth35, Mats Jerkeman36,Karin Jirstom37, Julie A Schmidt38, Dagfinn Aune39,40,41, 10

Elisabete Weiderpass42, Elio Riboli39, Roel Vermeulen4, Delphine Casabonne2,3, Marc 11

Gunter43, Paul Brennan44#, Pietro Ferrari1#*

12

13

1Nutritional Methodology and Biostatistics Group, International Agency for Research on 14

Cancer, World Health Organization, Lyon, France; 2Centro de Investigación Biomédica en 15

Red: Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain; 3Unit of Molecular and 16

Genetic Epidemiology in Infections and Cancer, Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO- 17

IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Spain; 4Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Division 18

of Environmental Epidemiology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; 5Research 19

Group Epidemiology, Institute for Immunodeficiency, Medical Center-University of Freiburg, 20

Freiburg, Germany; 6Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark;

21

7Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of 22

Copenhagen; 8Section for Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, 23

Aarhus, Denmark; 9Department of Cardiology, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, 24

Denmark; 10CESP, Fac. de médecine - Univ. Paris-Sud, Fac. de médecine - UVSQ, INSERM, 25

Université Paris-Saclay, 94805, Villejuif, France; 11Gustave Roussy, F-94805, Villejuif, 26

France; 12Department of Hematology and Oncology, Hospital of Versailles, Le Chesnay, 27

France; 13Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), 28

Heidelberg, Germany; 14Department of Molecular Epidemiology, German Institute of Human 29

Nutrition, Nuthetal, Germany; 15Institute of Nutrition Science, University of Potsdam, 30

Nuthetal, Germany; 16Hellenic Health Foundation, Athens, Greece; 17Pulmonary Medicine 31

Department, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 32

“ATTIKON” University Hospital, Haidari, Greece; 18Epidemiology and Prevention Unit, 33

Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milano, Italy; 19Cancer Risk 34

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2 Factors and Life-Style Epidemiology Unit, Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and 35

Clinical Network - ISPRO, Florence, Italy; 20Department of Clinical and Experimental 36

Medecine, University Federico II, Naples, Italy; 21Cancer Registry and Histopathology 37

Department, Azienda Sanitaria Provinciale (ASP) Ragusa, Italy; 22Department of Clinical and 38

Biological Sciences, University of Turin, Italy; 23Unit of Epidemiology, Regional Health 39

Service ASL TO3, Grugliasco (TO), Italy; 24Institutt for Samfunnsmedisin, Det 40

Helsevitenskapelige fakultet, UiT, Norges arktiske universitet, Tromso, Norway; 25Unit of 41

Nutrition and Cancer, Cancer Epidemiology Research Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology 42

(ICO-IDIBELL), Barcelona, Spain; 26Department of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health 43

Council, IMIB-Arrixaca, Murcia, Spain; 27Spanish Consortium for Research and Public Health 44

(CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain; 28Andalusian School of Public Health (EASP), Granada, Spain;

45

29Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria de Granada (ibs.GRANADA). Granada, Spain;

46

30Universidad de Granada (UGR), Granada, Spain; 31Navarra Public Health Institute, 47

Pamplona, Spain; 32IdiSNA, Navarra Institute for Health Research, Pamplona, Spain; 33Public 48

Health Directorate, Asturias, Spain; 34Public Health Division of Gipuzkoa, Biodonostia Health 49

Research Institute, Ministry of Health of the Basque Government, San Sebastian, Spain;

50

35Department of Radiation Sciences, Oncology, Umeå University, Sweden; 36Division of 51

Oncology, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden; 37Laboratory Medicine, Center for Molecular 52

Pathology, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden; 38Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield 53

Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom;

54

39Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College 55

London, United Kingdom; 40Department of Nutrition, Bjørknes University College, Oslo, 56

Norway; 41Department of Endocrinology, Morbid Obesity and Preventive Medicine, Oslo 57

University Hospital, Oslo, Norway; 42Office of the Director, International Agency for Research 58

on Cancer, World Health Organization, Lyon, France; 43Nutritional Epidemiology Group, 59

International Agency for Research on Cancer, World Health Organization, Lyon, France;

60

44Genetic Epidemiology Group, International Agency for Research on Cancer, World Health 61

Organization, Lyon, France.

62 63

# Shared Senior Authorship.

64 65

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3

*Corresponding Author 66

Pietro Ferrari, PhD 67

Nutritional Methodology and Biostatistics Group 68

International Agency for Research on Cancer, WHO 69

150 cours Albert Thomas 70

69372 Lyon CEDEX 08, France 71

Tel. +33 472 738 031 72

E-mail: ferrarip@iarc.fr 73

74

Key words 75

Hodgkin lymphoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, healthy lifestyle index, EPIC, prospective 76

study.

77 78

Abbreviations 79

HLI: healthy lifestyle index 80

CI: confidence interval 81

EPIC: European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition 82

NHL: non-Hodgkin lymphoma 83

HL: Hodgkin lymphoma 84

BCL: mature B-cell lymphoma 85

MT/NK: mature T and natural killer-cell lymphoma 86

DLBCL: diffuse large B-cell lymphoma 87

FL: follicular lymphoma 88

CLL/SLL: chronic lymphocytic leukemia and small lymphocytic leukemia 89

PCN/MM: plasma cell neoplasm and multiple myeloma 90

HR: hazard ratio 91

92

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4 Article category

93

Short Report, Cancer Epidemiology 94

95

Novelty and impact statements (Words=75) 96

The role of lifestyle factors in the etiology of lymphoma remains unclear and most 97

epidemiological studies faced limited statistical power to evaluate lymphoma subtypes in 98

prospective investigations. In this study, the relationship between a score combining lifestyle 99

exposures and the occurrence of lymphoma subtypes was examined within a large European 100

prospective cohort. Although an inverse association was observed with the risk of Hodgkin 101

lymphoma, findings indicated a limited role of lifestyle factors in lymphoma etiology.

102 103

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5 Abstract (Words = 248)

104

Limited evidence exists on the role of modifiable lifestyle factors on the risk of lymphoma. In 105

this work, the associations between adherence to healthy lifestyles and risks of Hodgkin 106

lymphoma (HL) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) were evaluated in a large-scale European 107

prospective cohort. Within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition 108

(EPIC), 2,999 incident lymphoma cases (132 HL and 2,746 NHL) were diagnosed among 109

453,808 participants after 15 years (median) of follow-up. The healthy lifestyle index (HLI) 110

score combined information on smoking, alcohol intake, diet, physical activity and BMI, with 111

large values of HLI expressing adherence to healthy behavior. Cox proportional hazards 112

models were used to estimate lymphoma hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

113

Sensitivity analyses were conducted by excluding, in turn, each lifestyle factor from the HLI 114

score. The HLI was inversely associated with HL, with HR for a 1-standard deviation (SD) 115

increment in the score equal to 0.78 (95%CI: 0.66, 0.94). Sensitivity analyses showed that the 116

association was mainly driven by smoking and marginally by diet. NHL risk was not associated 117

with the HLI, with HRs for a 1-SD increment equal to 0.99 (0.95, 1.03), with no evidence for 118

heterogeneity in the association across NHL subtypes. In the EPIC study, adherence to healthy 119

lifestyles was not associated with overall lymphoma or NHL risk, while an inverse association 120

was observed for HL, although this was largely attributable to smoking. These findings suggest 121

a limited role of lifestyle factors in the etiology of lymphoma subtypes.

122 123

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6 Introduction (Words = 2,481)

124

Lymphoma comprises a heterogeneous group of malignancies occurring in the lymphatic 125

system, traditionally grouped as Hodgkin (HL) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL),1 which 126

accounts for about 3.2% of cancers worldwide.2 During recent decades, lymphomas incidence 127

rates increased with relatively higher rates in high-income countries2 and significant disparities 128

among ethnic groups,3 suggesting an influence of lifestyle factors in lymphomagenesis that are 129

more prevalent in the Western world.

130

Although the roles of lifestyle factors have been extensively investigated in association with 131

solid neoplasms, evidence on lymphoma risk remains unclear.4 Obesity and alcohol 132

consumption have been most consistently associated with lymphoma, with positive5 and 133

inverse6 relationships, respectively. However, most studies, predominantly case-control, faced 134

differential recall bias for the assessment of lifestyle habits and sample size limitations for the 135

investigation of lymphoma subtypes. Additionally, lifestyle factors were often evaluated 136

independently in etiological models.

137

In this study, a set of modifiable exposures, including smoking, alcohol intake, dietary habits, 138

body mass index (BMI), and physical activity were combined into the Healthy Lifestyle Index 139

(HLI) to reflect adherence to healthy habits. The HLI was previously related to the risks of site- 140

specific and overall cancers in prospective studies.7 In this analysis, associations between the 141

HLI and lymphoma risks were examined within the EPIC study. The contributing role of each 142

component of the HLI to lymphoma risk was also investigated.

143 144

Methods 145

Study population. EPIC is a multicenter prospective study designed to investigate the etiology 146

of cancer in relation to diet and lifestyle factors. From 1992 to 2000, a total of 521,324 147

participants (70% women, 35–70 years of age at baseline) were recruited in 10 European 148

countries, mostly from the general population, as explained previously.8 In France, Norway, 149

Utrecht and Naples, only women were recruited. Approval was obtained from IARC and 150

participating institutions’ ethical review boards and participants provided informed consent 151

before completing questionnaires at baseline.

152

Ascertainment of outcome. Cancer cases were identified during follow-up based on population 153

cancer registries in Denmark, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Norway and the United 154

Kingdom, and on a combination of methods, including health insurance records, cancer and 155

pathology registries, and active follow-up of EPIC participants and their next of kin in France, 156

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7 Naples, Germany, and Greece. Clinical and morphological data were standardized using a 157

common protocol across centers.8 Mortality data were collected from cancer or mortality 158

registries at the regional or national level.

159

The most recent vital status and cancer diagnosis update was used. Vital status was known for 160

98.4% of all EPIC subjects while 1.6% of participants had emigrated, withdrawn or were lost 161

to follow-up. The follow-up period ended between June 2008 and December 2012 depending 162

on the recruitment centers.7 163

Diagnoses of primary incident lymphoma cases were classified based on the International 164

Classification of Diseases Oncology, 3rd edition (ICD-O-3), and grouped according to 165

recommendations of the InterLymph Pathology Working Group,1 as: Hodgkin lymphoma 166

(HL), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) and lymphoma not otherwise specified (NOS); within 167

NHL as: mature B-cell lymphoma (BCL), mature T and natural killer-cell lymphoma (MT/NK) 168

and other NHL; among BCL as: diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), follicular lymphoma 169

(FL), chronic lymphocytic leukemia and small lymphocytic leukemia (CLL/SLL), multiple 170

myeloma and plasma cell neoplasm (MM/PCN) and other BCL, as detailed in Table 1.

171

Exposure assessment. Habitual diet, including alcohol intake, during the year preceding 172

recruitment was assessed at recruitment using validated center-specific self-reported dietary 173

questionnaires.8 Data on anthropometry (self-reported in France and the UK Oxford center), 174

physical activity, smoking habits, and prevalent chronic conditions were collected using 175

lifestyle questionnaires.8 176

A diet score was built from the combination of six dietary factors reflecting diet quality,7 i.e.

177

cereal fibers, red and processed meat, the ratio of polyunsaturated to saturated fatty acids, 178

margarine (to express industrially produced trans-fats), glycemic load, and fruits and 179

vegetables. For each dietary factor, country-specific residuals were computed in models with 180

total energy intake, grouped into country-specific deciles and scored from 0 to 9 with 0 being 181

the least healthy (i.e. high intake of red meat/processed meat, margarine, and glycaemic load, 182

and low intake of fruits and vegetables, cereal fibres, and ratio of polyunsaturated to saturated 183

fatty acids). Individual scores were summed up and categorized into quintiles.

184

Definition of HLI. Scores of 0 to 4 were assigned to each individual variable category 185

attributing larger values to the healthier behaviours for smoking (current smoking  186

> 15 cigarettes/day = 0, current smoking ≤15 cigarettes/day = 1, ex-smokers quit ≤ 10-years = 2, 187

ex-smokers quit > 10 years = 3, never smokers = 4), alcohol consumption (in g/day) at 188

recruitment (>48 = 0, 24–47.9= 1, 12–23.9 = 2, 6–11.9  = 3, and <6  = 4), diet score (1st quintile = 0 189

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8 to the 5th quintile = 4), physical activity index (inactive=1, moderately inactive=2, moderately 190

active=3, active=4), and body mass index at recruitment (BMI, kg/m2: >30= 0, 26–29.9 = 1, 191

<22=2, 24–25.9 = 3, 22–23.9=4). The final score was the arithmetic sum of the scores for each 192

lifestyle factor and ranged from 1 to 20.

193

Statistical analysis.

194

The association between the HLI and the risk of lymphoma was evaluated using multivariable 195

Cox proportional hazards models, with age as the primary time variable, and Breslow’s method 196

to handle ties. The time at study entry was the age at recruitment, while the exit time was 197

defined as the age at cancer diagnosis, death, loss to, or end of follow-up, whichever occurred 198

first. All models were stratified by country,9 age at recruitment in 1-year categories and sex.

199

The HLI was modelled as a continuous variable to compute HR estimates for a one-standard 200

deviation (SD) corresponding to approximately 3 units in the score, and in quartiles using the 201

second quartile as reference to avoid extreme comparisons within the HLI range. Models were 202

systematically adjusted for education level (no degree/primary school, secondary/technical or 203

professional school, longer education including university degree, unknown (4%)), height (cm, 204

continuous), and energy intake from non-alcohol sources (kcal/day, continuous).

205

Overall tests for statistical significance of HRs were determined by comparing Wald-test 206

statistics to a χ² distribution with three degrees of freedom (dof) for HLI in categories (pWald) 207

and one dof in continuous (ptrend). The assumption of proportional hazards (PH) was evaluated 208

through the Schoenfeld’s residuals.10 209

Potential departure from linearity in the association between HLI and HL risk was evaluated 210

using restricted cubic splines11 and comparing the difference in log-likelihood of models with 211

and without non-linear terms to a χ² distribution with two degrees of freedom.

212

Sensitivity analyses were carried out by excluding, in turn, each factor from the HLI scores to 213

identify factors mostly driving associations with each lymphoma subtype. The excluded 214

component was used as a confounder in the model. Relationships between the HLI and 215

lymphoma risks (HL and NHL) were examined by, in turn, sex, European region (North:

216

Denmark, Norway, Sweden; Central: United Kingdom, The Netherlands, Germany; South:

217

France, Greece, Italy, and Spain), and age at recruitment (<50, 50–60, ≥60 years old).

218

Heterogeneity was evaluated by comparing the difference in log-likelihood of models with and 219

without interaction terms between the HLI (continuous) and, in turn, sex, European region and 220

age categories, to a χ² distribution with dof equal to the total number of interaction terms minus 221

one. Heterogeneity of associations across BCL subtypes was evaluated through data- 222

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9 augmentation by comparing the difference in log-likelihood of models with and without an 223

interaction term between the HLI and an indicator variable for BCL subtypes to a χ² distribution 224

with four dof.12 To address potential reverse causation, analyses were carried out excluding the 225

first 2 and 5 years of follow-up.

226

Two-sided p-values were determined with nominal statistical significance set to 5%. Analyses 227

were performed using Stata version 14.13 228

Data availability. Information to access EPIC data and/or biospecimens can be found at 229

http://epic.iarc.fr/access/gain_access.php.

230 231

Results 232

Study participants without lifestyle or dietary information (n=6,902), with a ratio of estimated 233

energy intake to energy requirement in the top or bottom 1% (n=10,241), with self-reported 234

prevalent cancer (n=24,221), with missing follow-up information (n=3,800) and with missing 235

smoking status (n=15,685) or physical activity (n=8,824) were excluded. From a total of 236

453,808 participants followed-up over 15 years (median), with a total of 6,328,639 person- 237

years, 2,999 incident lymphoma cases were diagnosed, including 2,746 NHL, 132 HL and 121 238

lymphomas NOS (Table 1). The HLI components and the confounding variables are described 239

in Table 2. HLI was positively related to level of education and showed higher values in 240

women than men.

241

No association was observed between the HLI and the overall risk of lymphoma (Table 3).

242

However, a 1-SD increase of HLI was inversely associated with HL risk (HR=0.78, 95%CI:

243

0.66, 0.94; ptrend= 7.3e-03). The HRs for HL risk comparing the first, third and fourth quartile 244

to the second quartile were 1.21 (0.78, 1.86), 0.64 (0.37, 1.09), and 0.64 (0.37, 1.10), 245

respectively, with a significant trend across categories (pWald=0.03). The HLI was not 246

associated with the risk of the major NHL subtypes (Table 3). The PH assumption was satisfied 247

in each lymphoma subtype model.

248

The HLI and HL risk dose-response relationship using restricted cubic splines presented 249

limited evidence of departure from linearity (pnon-linearity= 0.42) (Online Supplementary 250

Figure 1).

251

Sensitivity analyses indicated that exclusion of smoking or diet from the HLI resulted in HL 252

HRs for a 1-SD increase equal to 0.88 (95%CI: 0.71,1.10; ptrend=0.27) and 0.85 (0.69,1.04;

253

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10 ptrend=0.12), respectively (Online Supplementary Table 1). HRs for the other NHL subtypes 254

were not altered after exclusion of, in turn, each lifestyle factors of the HLI.

255

The associations between the HLIand lymphoma risk did not show evidence of heterogeneity 256

by sex, European region and age at recruitment (results not shown). No evidence for 257

heterogeneity was found across BCL subtypes (pheterogeneity=0.20). Exclusion of the first 2 and 258

5 years of follow-up did not materially alter HR estimates (Online Supplementary Table 2).

259 260

Discussion 261

In a large European prospective study, a score combining five lifestyle factors was not 262

associated with the risk of NHL. An inverse relationship was observed for HL, where smoking 263

and, to a lesser extent, diet were the main drivers of the association.

264

This study is one of the first attempts to investigate the risk of lymphoma with respect to 265

modifiable lifestyle factors combined into a score. Within the NIH-AARP study, a score based 266

on the American Cancer Society recommendations including physical activity, diet, BMI, 267

alcohol, but not smoking, yielded an inverse association between adherence to 268

recommendations and HL risk. A 43% (95%CI: 2%,67%) lower risk of HL was observed when 269

comparing the healthiest with the least healthy score category in an analysis including 113 HL 270

cases, suggesting that lifestyle factors other than smoking may affect HL etiology, while no 271

association was observed with NHL risk, consistently with findings in our study.14 272

Smoking has been consistently positively associated with HL risk,15 with chronic exposure to 273

cigarette smoking believed to promote and support lymphogenic microenvironment and affect 274

immune cells through the impairment of T cells, natural killer cells, B cells and macrophages.16 275

In our work, a comprehensive evaluation of the association between HLI and HL was 276

undertaken via sensitivity analyses where each component of the lifestyle score was, in turn, 277

removed from the HLI. Exclusion of smoking from HLI resulted in a null association 278

suggesting that smoking was largely driving the association between lifestyle factors and HL 279

risk.

280

Although diet has been inconsistently related to HL,17 recent EPIC studies showed that dietary 281

patterns reflecting Mediterranean and anti-inflammatory potential of diet were inversely 282

associated with HL risk.18,19 In our sensitivity analysis a null association was consistently 283

observed after the exclusion of diet from the HLI score, suggesting that diet could be involved 284

in the HLI-HL relationship. Plausible biological mechanisms relating HL pathology to diet may 285

(11)

11 involve inflammation pathways, possibly reflecting, among other factors, a diet rich in 286

saturated fat, refined grains, red and processed meat, and high glycemic load.17,20 287

Cumulative evidence points towards a positive relationship between obesity and HL21 which 288

could be the consequence of an alteration of the immune response and stimulate low-grade 289

chronic inflammation in adipose tissue.5 Alcohol intake has been repeatedly inversely 290

associated with risks of HL and NHL, particularly with DLBCL, CLL and FL subtypes,6 a 291

result that was partially attributed to reverse causation, as early symptoms of lymphomas may 292

lead individuals to either quit or reduce their alcohol intake.22 293

Current evidence suggests a role of lifestyle factors with respect to several NHL subtype risks.

294

While smoking has been positively related to T-cell NHL,15 obesity has been related to an 295

increase in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBC) and multiple myeloma (MM) risks,5 and a 296

pro-inflammatory diet was positively associated with mature B-cell NHL.18 In this study, HLI 297

was not associated with the risk of NHL, either overall or within any of the NHL subtypes.

298

Although HLI was inversely associated with the group of ‘other BCL’ (HR for a 1-SD increase 299

in the HLI: 0.88; 95%CI: 0.79,1.00; ptrend=0.04), the associations of HLI across BCL subtypes 300

was not heterogeneous (pheterogeneity=0.20). Despite the large size of the EPIC cohort, our study 301

was possibly underpowered to detect likely weak associations of lifestyle habits with respect 302

to lymphoma subtypes. Our results were not altered in sensitivity analyses that excluded, in 303

turn, each lifestyle factor from the score.

304

The strength of the current study relies on its prospective multi-country design, which included 305

study populations with heterogeneous lifestyle habits. Among the limitations, we note that 306

EPIC participants represent a healthy proportion of the general population and that risk 307

estimates in our study were likely attenuated. In addition, our analyses did not account for 308

potential changes in lifestyle habits during follow-up, potentially introducing bias in 309

association estimates. These changes may have been the result of incident morbid conditions 310

in ageing study population. Reverse causation could have biased some of our findings, by 311

inducing changes of lifestyle behaviors before recruitment as a result of early symptoms. To 312

partially address this, associations were minimally affected after exclusion of the first two and 313

five years of follow-up. Furthermore, as pathological techniques for lymphoma ascertainment 314

have developed continuously over the last decades, some of the cases of lymphoma subtypes 315

may have been misclassified or simply missed. However, the most recent recommendations for 316

lymphoma ascertainment were used in our study.1,23 Education was used as a proxy for socio- 317

economic status in the adjustment of the models, which may introduce residual confounding.

318

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12 Furthermore, the HLI score considered a selected list of lifestyle factors, each of which was 319

given an equal weight. Information on occupation, pesticide exposure, history of participants’

320

infectious diseases (e.g. Human Immunodeficiency Virus, Epstein-Barr virus, and hepatitis 321

viruses), which are known risk factors of lymphoma,24,25 would provide more informative 322

insights of lymphoma etiology. However, information on these factors was available for a 323

limited proportion of the EPIC cohort.

324

In summary, in a large prospective study of European adults, adherence to a combination of 325

healthy lifestyle habits was not associated with the risk of NHL and was inversely related to 326

the risk of HL, with smoking largely driving this association. These findings suggest a limited 327

role of lifestyle factors in the etiology of lymphoma subtypes. However, the HLI accounts for 328

five lifestyle habits, and other environmental factors like pesticides and occupational exposures 329

might be relevant to lymphoma etiology.

330

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13 Financial disclosure

331

This work was supported by the Direction Générale de la Santé (French Ministry of Health) 332

(Grant GR-IARC-2003-09-12-01), by the European Commission (Directorate General for 333

Health and Consumer Affairs) and the International Agency for Research on Cancer. The 334

national cohorts are supported by the Danish Cancer Society (Denmark); the Ligue Contre le 335

Cancer, the Institut Gustave Roussy, the Mutuelle Générale de l’Education Nationale and the 336

Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (France); the Deutsche Krebshilfe, 337

the Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum, and the Federal Ministry of Education and Research 338

(Germany); the Hellenic Health Foundation, the Stavros Niarchos Foundation and the Hellenic 339

Ministry of Health and Social Solidarity (Greece); the Italian Association for Research on 340

Cancer and the National Research Council (Italy); the Dutch Ministry of Public Health, 341

Welfare and Sports, the Netherlands Cancer Registry, LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention 342

Funds, the Dutch Zorg Onderzoek Nederland, the World Cancer Research Fund and Statistics 343

Netherlands (the Netherlands); the Health Research Fund, Regional Governments of 344

Andalucýa, Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia (project 6236) and Navarra, Instituto de Salud 345

Carlos III, Redes de Investigacion Cooperativa (RD06/0020) (Spain); the Swedish Cancer 346

Society, the Swedish Scientific Council and the Regional Government of Skåne (Sweden);

347

Cancer Research UK (C864/A14136 to EPIC-Norfolk, C570/A16491 and C8221/A19170 to 348

EPIC-Oxford), Medical Research Council (MR/N003284/1 and MC-UU_12015/1 to EPIC- 349

Norfolk, MR/M012190/1 to EPIC-Oxford) (United Kingdom), the Stroke Association, the 350

British Heart Foundation, the Department of Health, the Food Standards Agency, and the 351

Wellcome Trust (UK). This work was part of Sabine Naudin’s PhD at Claude Bernard Lyon I 352

University (France), funded by Région Auvergne Rhône-Alpes, ADR 2016 (France).

353 354

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14 Conflict of interest

355

None to declare.

356 357

Acknowledgments 358

We thank Carine Biessy and Bertrand Hemon for their technical support and contribution to 359

this work. We are also grateful to all the EPIC participants who have been part of the project 360

and to the many other members of the study teams who have enabled this research.

361 362

Copyright statements 363

Where authors are identified as personnel of the International Agency for Research on Cancer 364

/ World Health Organization, the authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this 365

article and they do not necessarily represent the decisions, policy or views of the International 366

Agency for Research on Cancer / World Health Organization.

367

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18 Table 1. Country-specific distribution of study participants, lymphoma cases and the Healthy Lifestyle Index (HLI) in the EPIC cohort.

Lymphoma

subgroups2 NHL subgroups2 BCL subgroups2

Participants PY FUP1 Overall NHL HL BCL MT/NK DLBCL FL CLL

/SLL

MM

/PCN HLI3

Denmark 53,577 794,546 16 613 569 28 493 23 119 74 115 122 11 (9-14)

France 64,086 829,048 15 219 207 11 196 8 39 41 43 42 13 (11-15)

Germany 48,002 498,396 12 227 211 13 168 11 29 20 39 55 12 (10-14)

Greece 24,687 266,336 11 60 56 3 36 2 2 3 12 15 11 (9-13)

Italy 44,274 627,018 15 296 272 15 216 11 37 32 44 73 11 (9-13)

Norway 29,689 395,178 14 146 141 5 115 14 22 27 23 23 13 (12-15)

Spain 39,855 635,751 17 239 220 14 192 10 33 27 51 51 12 (10-14)

Sweden 47,536 782,458 18 504 436 13 333 20 56 47 72 128 12 (10-14)

The Netherlands 30,555 430,017 15 167 160 6 143 8 37 24 29 38 13 (11-15) United Kingdom 71,547 1,069,891 16 528 474 24 398 18 87 68 81 106 13 (11-15) Total 453,808 6,328,639 15 2,999 2,746 132 2,290 125 461 363 509 653 12 (10-14) Abbreviations: PY, person-years; FUP, follow-up (years); HLI, healthy lifestyle index; NL, The Netherlands; PY, person-years; UK: United Kingdoms; NHL, non-Hodgkin lymphoma; HL, Hodgkin lymphoma; BCL, mature B-cell lymphoma; MT/NK, Mature T and natural killer-cell lymphoma; DLBCL, diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; FL, follicular lymphoma; CLL/SLL, chronic lymphocytic leukemia, small lymphocytic leukemia and prolymphocytic lymphocytic leukemia ; MM/PCN, plasma cell neoplasm and multiple myeloma.

1 Median values;

2 The groups of overall number of lymphoma, NHL and BCL also included lymphomas not otherwise specified (n=121), other NHL subtypes (n=331) and other BCL subtypes (n=304), respectively;

3 Means (25th-75th percentiles).

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19 Table 2. Baseline characteristics1 of the EPIC participants by quartiles of Healthy Lifestyle Index (HLI).

Total cohort HLI

Q1 [1 - 10] Q2 [11 - 12] Q3 [13 - 14] Q4 [15 - 20]

Total participants (n) 453,808 129,429 111,358 110,730 102,291

Lymphoma cases (n) 2,999 937 734 718 610

Index components

Smoking (% never) 45 15 40 56 74

Alcohol intake (g/day) 5 (1 - 15) 13 (3 - 30) 6 (1 - 15) 4 (1 - 11) 3 (0 - 7)

BMI (kg/m²) 25 (22 - 28) 27 (24 - 30) 26 (22 - 28) 24 (22 - 27) 23 (22 - 25)

Diet score (units) 27 (23 - 32) 23 (20 - 27) 26 (22 - 30) 28 (24 - 33) 32 (28 - 36)

Physical activity (% active) 18 9 14 19 34

Covariates

Sex (% women) 70 56 71 77 80

Age at recruitment (years) 52 (45 - 58) 52 (46 - 59) 52 (46 - 59) 51 (45 - 58) 50 (44 - 57)

Energy intake from food (kcal/day) 1,921 (1,572 - 2,339)

1,964 (1,597 - 2,401)

1,918 (1,568 - 2,337)

1,901 (1,559 - 2,308)

1,896 (1,565 - 2,296)

Height (cm) 165 (160 - 172) 167 (160 - 174) 165 (159 - 171) 165 (159 - 171) 165 (160 - 171)

Educational level (% higher education) 24 20 22 25 30

1 Medians (25th - 75th percentiles) are presented for continuous variables, percentages for categorical variables.

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20 Table 3. Hazard ratio estimates1 for associations between the Healthy Lifestyle Index (HLI) (in quartiles and in continuous for a 1-SD increase2) and risks of lymphoma subtypes in the EPIC study.

HLI

Q1 [1 - 10] Q2 [11 - 12] Q3 [13 - 14] Q4 [15 - 20] pWald3 1-SD increase ptrend3

All lymphomas (n=2,999)

n 937 734 718 610

HR (95% CI) 1.04 (0.94 - 1.14) 1.00 (Ref) 1.02 (0.92 - 1.13) 0.97 (0.87 - 1.08) 0.68 0.98 (0.94 - 1.01) 0.23 HL (n=132)

n 53 36 22 21

HR (95% CI) 1.21 (0.78 - 1.86) 1.00 (Ref) 0.64 (0.37 - 1.09) 0.64 (0.37 - 1.10) 0.03 0.78 (0.66 - 0.94) 7.3E-03 NHL (n=2,746)

n 846 669 668 563

HR (95% CI) 1.02 (0.92 - 1.14) 1.00 (Ref) 1.04 (0.93 - 1.16) 0.98 (0.88 - 1.10) 0.78 0.99 (0.95 - 1.03) 0.50 MT/NK (n=125)

n 42 25 24 34

HR (95% CI) 1.77 (0.62 - 5.01) 1.00 (Ref) 0.75 (0.49 - 1.14) 1.44 (0.85 - 2.44) 0.29 1.04 (0.86 - 1.26) 0.68 BCL (n=2,290)

n 692 564 565 469

HR (95% CI) 1.00 (0.89 - 1.11) 1.00 (Ref) 1.04 (0.93 - 1.17) 0.97 (0.85 - 1.09) 0.69 0.99 (0.95 - 1.04) 0.81 DLBCL (n=461)

n 140 117 103 101

HR (95% CI) 0.98 (0.76 - 1.25) 1.00 (Ref) 0.91 (0.7 - 1.19) 0.98 (0.75 - 1.28) 0.91 0.99 (0.90 - 1.09) 0.84 FL (n=363)

n 88 92 97 86

HR (95% CI) 0.82 (0.61 - 1.10) 1.00 (Ref) 1.04 (0.78 - 1.38) 0.98 (0.73 - 1.32) 0.44 1.04 (0.93 - 1.16) 0.49 CLL/SLL (n=509)

n 171 100 127 111

HR (95% CI) 1.33 (1.04 - 1.71) 1.00 (Ref) 1.35 (1.04 - 1.75) 1.34 (1.02 - 1.77) 0.08 1.05 (0.96 - 1.15) 0.28 MM/PCN (n=653)

n 190 169 179 115

HR (95% CI) 0.91 (0.74 - 1.13) 1.00 (Ref) 1.12 (0.91 - 1.38) 0.83 (0.65 - 1.05) 0.06 0.99 (0.91 - 1.07) 0.73 Other BCL4 (n=304)

n 103 86 59 56

HR (95% CI) 0.96 (0.72 - 1.29) 1.00 (Ref) 0.71 (0.51 - 0.99) 0.75 (0.53 - 1.06) 0.12 0.88 (0.79 - 1.00) 0.04

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21 Abbreviations: HLI, Healthy Lifestyle Index; HL, Hodgkin lymphoma; NHL, non-Hodgkin lymphoma; MT/NK, Mature T and natural killer-cell lymphoma; BCL, mature B-cell lymphoma; DLBCL, diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; FL, follicular lymphoma; CLL/SLL, chronic lymphocytic leukemia, small lymphocytic leukemia and prolymphocytic lymphocytic leukemia ; MM/PCN, plasma cell neoplasm and multiple myeloma.

1 Models were adjusted for education level, height, and non-alcohol energy intakes, and stratified by country, age in 1-year category, and sex;

2 One standard deviation corresponded to 3 units in the HLI score;

3 P-values were determined using a Wald test for overall significance, according to a χ2 distribution with three degrees of freedom for evaluation by quartiles, and one degree of freedom for evaluation in continuous.

4 Other BCL includes Burkitt lymphoma, hairy cell leukemia, lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma, Mantle cell lymphoma, marginal zone lymphoma, primary effusion lymphoma and prolymphocytic leukemia subtypes.

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22 Healthy lifestyle and the risk of lymphoma in the EPIC study

(IJC-19-2849)

Sabine Naudin, Marta Solans Margalef, Fatemeh Saberi Hosnijeh, Alexandra Nieters, Cecilie Kyrø, Anne Tjønneland, Christina C Dahm, Kim Overvad, Yahya Mahamat-saleh, Caroline Besson, Marie-Christine Boutron-Ruault, Tilman Kühn, Federico Canzian, Matthias B.

Schulze, Eleni Peppa, Anna Karakatsani, Antonia Trichopoulou, Sabina Sieri, Giovana Masala, Salvatore Panico, Rosario Tumino, Fulvio Ricceri, Sairah Lai Fa Chen, Leila Luján Barroso, José María Huerta, Maria-Jose Sánchez, Eva Ardanaz, Virginia Menéndez, Pilar Amiano Exezarreta, Florentin Spaeth, Mats Jerkeman,Karin Jirstom, Julie A Schmidt, Dagfinn Aune, Elisabete Weiderpass, Elio Riboli, Roel Vermeulen, Delphine Casabonne, Marc Gunter, Paul Brennan, Pietro Ferrari

Table of content for online supplementary material

- Online Supplementary Figure 1. Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) hazard ratios (solid line) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (dashed line) as a function of the healthy lifestyle index (HLI) score and the risk of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL)

- Online Supplementary Table 1. Hazard ratio estimates for the associations between a 1-SD increment of Healthy Lifestyle Index (HLI) and the risks of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) after excluding, in turn, each lifestyle factor from the HLI

- Online Supplementary Table 2. Hodgkin Lymphoma (HL) and non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (NHL) hazard ratio estimates for a 1-SD increase in the Healthy Lifestyle Index (HLI) after exclusion of the first 2 and 5 years of follow-up.

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23 Online Supplementary Figure 1. Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) hazard ratios (solid line) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (dashed line) as a function of the healthy lifestyle index (HLI) score and the risk of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL)1

1 Hazard ratios estimated in Cox models including restricted cubic splines with four internal knots placed at HLI score values of 7, 11, 13 and 17. Departure from linearity was evaluated by comparing the difference in log-likelihood of models with and without non-linear terms to a χ² distribution with two degrees of freedom.

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24 Online Supplementary Table 1. Hazard ratio estimates for the associations between a 1-SD increment of Healthy Lifestyle Index (HLI)1 and the risks of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) after excluding, in turn, each lifestyle factor from the HLI

HR2 (95% CI) ptrend3 HR2 (95% CI) ptrend3

All lymphoma (n=2,999) DLBCL (n=461)

HLI without Smoking 0.98 (0.93 - 1.02) 0.30 HLI without Smoking 0.98 (0.87 - 1.10) 0.70

HLI without Alcohol 0.97 (0.93 - 1.01) 0.18 HLI without Alcohol 0.95 (0.85 - 1.05) 0.30

HLI without BMI 0.98 (0.94 - 1.03) 0.44 HLI without BMI 1.02 (0.92 - 1.14) 0.69

HLI without Diet 0.98 (0.94 - 1.02) 0.38 HLI without Diet 1.03 (0.92 - 1.15) 0.59

HLI without Physical activity 0.97 (0.93 - 1.02) 0.21 HLI without Physical activity 0.99 (0.89 - 1.10) 0.84

HL (n=132) FL (n=363)

HLI without Smoking 0.88 (0.71 - 1.10) 0.27 HLI without Smoking 1.03 (0.9 - 1.18) 0.64

HLI without Alcohol 0.70 (0.58 - 0.85) 3.50E-04 HLI without Alcohol 1.05 (0.94 - 1.19) 0.39

HLI without BMI 0.80 (0.65 - 0.97) 0.02 HLI without BMI 1.04 (0.92 - 1.17) 0.57

HLI without Diet 0.85 (0.69 - 1.04) 0.12 HLI without Diet 1.03 (0.90 - 1.17) 0.68

HLI without Physical activity 0.75 (0.62 - 0.91) 3.60E-03 HLI without Physical activity 1.04 (0.92 - 1.17) 0.56

NHL (n=2,746) CLL/SLL (n=509)

HLI without Smoking 0.97 (0.93 - 1.02) 0.29 HLI without Smoking 1.05 (0.94 - 1.17) 0.37

HLI without Alcohol 0.98 (0.94 - 1.03) 0.44 HLI without Alcohol 1.07 (0.97 - 1.18) 0.20

HLI without BMI 0.99 (0.95 - 1.04) 0.78 HLI without BMI 1.05 (0.94 - 1.16) 0.40

HLI without Diet 0.99 (0.95 - 1.04) 0.75 HLI without Diet 1.06 (0.95 - 1.18) 0.28

HLI without Physical activity 0.99 (0.94 - 1.03) 0.50 HLI without Physical activity 1.03 (0.93 - 1.14) 0.58

MT / NK cell (n=125) PCN/MM (n=653)

HLI without Smoking 1.03 (0.83 - 1.29) 0.77 HLI without Smoking 0.94 (0.85 - 1.04) 0.21

HLI without Alcohol 1.07 (0.87 - 1.31) 0.52 HLI without Alcohol 0.98 (0.89 - 1.06) 0.58

HLI without BMI 0.93 (0.75 - 1.14) 0.48 HLI without BMI 1.04 (0.95 - 1.14) 0.44

HLI without Diet 0.95 (0.76 - 1.17) 0.61 HLI without Diet 0.98 (0.89 - 1.08) 0.74

HLI without Physical activity 0.94 (0.77 - 1.15) 0.55 HLI without Physical activity 0.98 (0.90 - 1.08) 0.71

BCL (n=2,290) Other BCL4 (n=304)

HLI without Smoking 0.98 (0.93 - 1.03) 0.39 HLI without Smoking 0.88 (0.77 - 1.02) 0.09

HLI without Alcohol 0.99 (0.94 - 1.03) 0.58 HLI without Alcohol 0.88 (0.77 – 1.00) 0.05

HLI without BMI 1.01 (0.96 - 1.06) 0.64 HLI without BMI 0.87 (0.76 – 1.00) 0.04

HLI without Diet 1.00 (0.95 - 1.06) 0.87 HLI without Diet 0.90 (0.78 - 1.03) 0.12

HLI without Physical activity 0.99 (0.94 - 1.04) 0.67 HLI without Physical activity 0.89 (0.78 - 1.02) 0.08

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25 Abbreviations: HLI, Healthy Lifestyle Index; HL, Hodgkin lymphoma; NHL, non-Hodgkin lymphoma; MT/NK, Mature T and natural killer-cell lymphoma; BCL, mature B-cell lymphoma; DLBCL, diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; FL, follicular lymphoma; CLL/SLL, chronic lymphocytic leukemia, small lymphocytic leukemia and prolymphocytic lymphocytic leukemia ; MM/PCN, plasma cell neoplasm and multiple myeloma.

1 One Standard deviation corresponded to 3 points of HLI;

2 Models evaluating associations between the HLI and risks of lymphoma were adjusted for education level, non-alcohol energy intakes, height, and the index components currently excluded from the calculation of the HLI, and stratified by study center, age and sex;

3 P-values for trend were determined using a Wald test for overall significance, according to a χ2 distribution with one degree of freedom.

4 Other BCL includes Burkitt lymphoma, hairy cell leukemia, lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma, Mantle cell lymphoma, marginal zone lymphoma, primary effusion lymphoma and prolymphocytic leukemia subtypes.

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