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The role of cod in the decline in arctic fishes in the Barents Sea

The 18

th

Russian Norwegian symposium Murmansk June 5-7 2018

Edda Johannesen

1

, Andrey Dolgov

2

and Geir Ottersen

1

1Institute of Marine Research, Norway

2PINRO, Russia

CoDINA - Cod: DIet and food web dyNAmics, Norwegian Research Council project no 255460/E40

(2)

Background

The «borealization» of the Barents Sea….

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Frainer et al 2017 PNAS

Boreal fishes are expanding north - Arctic fishes are retracting

Fish communities Atlantic (red)

Central (yellow) Arctic (blue)

Fossheim et al. 2015 Nature Clim. Change

Data from ecosystem survey 2004-2012

2004

2012

2012 2004

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Cod has expanded North…..

Change in distribution cod 2004-2012

Blue: decline, Red: increase 0

1 2 3 4 5

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Cod Biomass 3+

Million tons

(5)

The most abundant Arctic fishes have declined...

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The most abundant Arctic fishes have declined

Boreogadus saida Polar cod

Change in dsitribution Polar cod 2004-2012 Blue: decline, Red: increase

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Biomass Polar cod 1000 tons

(7)

Triglops nybelini

Bigeye sculpin

Liparis fabricii

Gelationus snailfish

Johannesen et al 2017

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What is cod’s impact on the local arctic fish fauna?

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Frequency of occurrence % of non-target demersal fish in cod diet North of 76°N

Predation

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

FO %

Ecosystem survey 2004 -2017 Based on Briskina (1939)

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Competition

Based on Dolgov and Benzik 2014

Diet similarity cod and non target fishes North of 76°N

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Cod eats some of the same food

Cod feeds on the local arctic fishes (ca 25-30% of diet by weigth in the Northern Barents Sea) They interact…

But what is the impact?

Cod and the resident arctic fishes

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N 1 = N 0 + B − D + I − E

Birth Death

Immigration Emigration

+ Growth

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How large is the impact of predation from cod on arctic fishes?

Potentially large but….

depends on several factors…

Currently 1663 million cod 3 years or older

Eating over 5 millions tonn prey per year

(14)

• How many cod are found there

• How long do they stay there

• What cod eat there

• How much do they eat relative to the biomass of prey

From Ingvaldsen et al 2014

September 2013 February 2014

The predation on resident arctic fishes

in Northern Barents Sea depends on:

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0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Biomass Polar cod 1000 tons

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Biomass Polar cod Consumed by cod

1000 tons

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Predation index

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Triglops nybelini

Bigeye sculpin

Liparis fabricii

Gelationus snailfish

Johannesen et al 2017

Sculpins and Liparids

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0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Millions of cod 3+ in the "arctic" Barents Sea In September

NB very crude estimate!

From ecosystem survey 2004-2017:

~200-2000 cod per km2

~20 kg cottids and liparids per km2

Preliminary consumption estimate:

1 gram cottids + liparids per day

How long do they stay in the area?

«arctic» Barents Sea ca 0.7 mill km2

1000 cod eat 1 kg per day

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Conclusion

Cod eat arctic fishes in the Northern Barents Sea Cod has partly overlapping diet with arctic fishes

- large cod and predatory arctic fishes compete for fish prey - small cod and planktivorous species compete for plankton Cod likely contributed to the decline in arctic fish species

In addition to changes in abiotic factors and food

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Thank you!

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0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 70 % 80 % 90 % 100 %

30-40 cm 40-50 cm 50-60 cm 60-70 cm 70-80 cm 80-90 cm 90 cm+

Capelin Other crustaceans Polar cod Pandalus borealis Other fish Sculpins Krill Other invertebrates Hyperiids Liparids

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